Tag: PRO
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Auburn 2019 Betting Guide: Is More Odd Year Magic In Store?
Auburn 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 50-1 To Win SEC: 20-1 To Make The Playoff: 12-1 Win Total: 7.5 Auburn Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Auburn The defensive front 7 may be the best in all of college football. A defensive line with a havoc rate of 17th in the nation returns Derrick…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 19: Count On Zac Gallen’s Arm in Diamondbacks-Rockies?
The Astros (79-46) and Tigers (37-84) begin a series today; a matchup between the World Series favorite and arguably the worst team in baseball; both by record and offensive production. Respectively, the two teams have the second-highest (+178) and second-lowest (-237) run differentials this season, behind only the Dodgers (+210) and Orioles (-261). AL Cy…
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Georgia 2019 Betting Guide: Finding Worthwhile Dawgs Futures After Price Drop
Georgia 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 6-1 To Win SEC: +275 To Make The Playoff: +120 Win Total: 11 Georgia Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Georgia A host of people joined me and my podcast partner Stuckey at the Westgate SuperBook for the national title game last January. The rumor around the book…
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Broncos-49ers Total Draws Public, Sharps Interest on Same Side
San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos Betting Odds Spread: Broncos -1 Over/Under: 40 Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET Television: ESPN Monday Night Football is (sort of) here! It’s Monday and there’s NFL football on TV, which means bettors are getting down hard whether it’s an exhibition or not. Sounds like Monday Night Football to me. Though…
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49ers-Broncos Betting Guide: Who Has the Edge in This Preseason Matchup?
San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos Spread: Broncos -2.5 Over/Under: 41.5 Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET Television: ESPN The Broncos host the 49ers in the final game of Preseason Week 2. Let’s take a look at key storylines and actionable betting takeaways for both teams ahead of Monday night’s matchups. San Francisco 49ers The 49ers have…
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MLB Expert Predictions: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Monday, Including Nationals-Pirates
Sean Zerillo: Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates Joe Ross (3-3, 5.91 ERA) vs. Trevor Williams (5-5, 5.25 ERA) Nationals Moneyline: -115 Pirates Moneyline: +107 Over/Under: 10 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET Following their 7-1 loss to the Cubs on Sunday night in the Little League Classic, the Pirates are now 20 games below .500 since…
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Tennessee 2019 Betting Guide: Is a Bowl Game Guaranteed in Pruitt’s Year 2?
Tennessee 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 1,000-1 To Win SEC: 100-1 To Make The Playoff: 250-1 Win Total: 6.5 Tennessee Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Tennessee One year past the Butch Jones era at Tennessee and we’ve already seen big offensive improvements. The Volunteers 2017 offense ranked 118th in S&P+ and swiftly rebounded…
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Zerillo’s Cubs-Pirates Mega Guide: How to Bet Sunday Night Baseball
Sunday Night Baseball Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates Probable starters: Jose Quintana (10-7, 4.11 ERA) vs. Mitch Keller (1-1, 7.94 ERA) Cubs odds: -152 Pirates odds: +141 Over/Under: 10 First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET on ESPN On Sunday night, the Cubs (65-58) and Pirates (51-71) will take part in the third annual MLB Little League Classic, located at…
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NFL Preseason Week 2: Betting Odds & Angles for Seahawks-Vikings, Saints-Chargers
We get a two-game slate of preseason football on Sunday. It’s only Week 2, so don’t expect to see many starters play for more than a quarter or two in most cases. Either way, offenses and defenses will largely rely on simplified schemes. Let’s take a look at key storylines and actionable betting takeaways for…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 18: How to Play Astros-Athletics
On Saturday, the Brewers and Nationals played one of the most exciting games of the 2019 season. Per The Action Network App, both teams had multiple instances when they had an 85%+ chance to win as a result of major situational changes throughout the Brewers 15-14 win: Top 3rd, Brewers lead 5-0 (94% chance to win)…
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Stuckey: The Major Pitching Edge to Know Before Betting Indians-Yankees on Sunday
Betting Odds: Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees Mike Clevinger (7-2 3.34 ERA) vs. CC Sabathia (5-6, 4.78 ERA) Indians odds: -124 Yankees odds: +115 Over/Under: 10 First pitch: 1:05 p.m. ET The Indians’ extended New York trip will continue today as they finish up a series with the Yankees, who have run away and…
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NASCAR Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race Odds, Outright Winner Picks: It’s Bristol Baby!
One of NASCAR’s crown-jewel events takes place tonight at the half-mile bullring at Bristol Motor Speedway. Bristol is a high-banked, concrete track known for lots of action. Because it’s such a unique track, where the car is less in play and the driver more in play, it’s not uncommon to see a driver that generally…
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NASCAR Matchup Odds, Picks for Bristol: Two Underdogs Offering Big Value
Tonight’s Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race at Bristol should be a high-intensity affair, with playoff spots on the line. However, the real competition should be up front, with many drivers in contention to win, especially with race favorite Kyle Busch qualifying in 31st. Bristol often features lots of carnage, and one mistake can set…
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NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Guide: Picks for Browns-Colts, 4 Other Saturday Games
We get a five-game slate of preseason football on Saturday. It’s only Week 2, so don’t expect to see many starters play for more than a quarter or two in most cases. Either way, offenses and defenses will largely rely on simplified schemes. Let’s take a look at key storylines and actionable betting takeaways for…
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MLB Expert Predictions: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Saturday Including Orioles-Red Sox
Sean Zerillo: Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Asher Wojciechowski (2-5, 4.84 ERA) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (13-5, 4.31 ERA) Away Moneyline: 260 Home Moneyline: -320 Over/Under: 10.5 First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET Coming off of 9-1 drubbing at the hands of the Red Sox on Friday night, there is no question that the Orioles will…
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NFL Preseason Sharp Report: Pros Betting Pats-Titans, Rams-Cowboys
New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans 7 p.m. ET Spread: Patriots -1 Total: 42.5 With both teams coming off decisive wins last week, public bettors are somewhat split on this spread. Still, as you’d probably expect, the Patriots are drawing the majority of bettors tonight (56%). Despite that, though, this line has dropped from Pats…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 17: Take the Pirates Again vs. Jon Lester, Cubs?
The Chicago Cubs (64-58) have blown ninth innings in each of their past two games. On Thursday, they surrendered six runs to Bryce Harper and the Phillies in the final frame of a 7-5 loss. On Friday, Kyle Ryan and Brandon Kintlzer loaded the bases with last licks in Pittsburgh, before rookie Cole Tucker drew…
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Saturday MLB Sharp Report: Cardinals-Reds, Twins-Rangers Lead Top Pro Bets
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds 6:40 p.m. ET | Miles Mikolas (7-12, 4.13 ERA) vs. Anthony DeSclafani (7-7, 4.51 ERA) As is usually the case, the over is drawing the majority of bets in tonight’s Cardinals-Reds matchup. Eighty-two percent of bettors have decided they’d rather root for hits and runs than ground balls and…
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Sobel’s BMW Championship Matchup Bets: Matsuyama Won’t Repeat Magical Putting in Round 3
Halfway through the BMW Championship, the serious contenders to this second playoff event have started separating themselves. Expect more of that separation today — and expect a few favorites to win their matchups. Patrick Cantlay (-145) over Hideki Matsuyama What a crazy game. Matsuyama, the guy who’s made us cringe on so many 8-foot putts…
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8 College Football Coaching Changes The Betting Market Needs to Account For
When handicapping college football, you must consider what a team is trying to do from a scheme perspective. Some teams want to push the tempo while others prefer to chew clock. Some air it out and some run the ball on almost every play. With 130 teams in FBS, you’re sure to find many different…
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ATP Cincinnati Open Friday Picks, Preview: Will Pouille Test Djokovic?
Friday features all four men’s quarterfinals matches at the Cincinnati Masters, otherwise known a the Western and Southern Open, the last major tournament for top players before the US Open begins on August 26. Roger Federer will not be in action today, as we saw him ousted by 21-year-old Russian Andrey Rublev on Thursday. As…
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Moore: What I Got Right and Wrong On 2018-19 NBA Win Totals
There are three things on the NBA calendar I pay the most attention to. Some folks adore the draft; others love the big narratives that emerge. For me, it’s about the fine details. The MVP race, the playoff picture and the NBA’s win totals are the three things I devote the most time and energy…
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Sharp NFL Bettors Hitting Bears vs. Giants Friday Night Matchup
Yesterday, The Action Network’s Mark Gallant brought news of a couple preseason totals getting hit by sharp action. Both were sub-40 numbers, and both were drawing pros to the under. Tonight’s sharpest play looks a bit different. Chicago Bears @ New York Giants 7:30 p.m. ET | NFL Network Spread: Giants -2 Total: 42 The…
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NFL Preseason Week 2: Betting Odds & Angles for Bears-Giants, Bills-Panthers, Dolphins-Bucs
We get a three-game slate of preseason football on Friday night. It’s only Week 2, so don’t expect to see many starters play for more than a quarter or two in most cases. Either way, offenses and defenses will largely rely on simplified schemes. Let’s start with a look at key storylines and actionable betting…
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MLB Expert Predictions: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Friday, Including Twins-Rangers
Danny Donahue: Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Matt Wisler (2-2, 4.35 ERA) vs. Jacob Waguespack (3-1, 4.31 ERA) Mariners Moneyline: -140 Blue Jays Moneyline: +130 Over/Under: 10 First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET The Mariners fit two simple betting strategies that, when combined, create an especially profitable spot. They’re a bad team off a win,…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 16: Bet With the House on Houser vs. Nationals?
Following Thursday’s dramatic victory, with Bryce Harper drilling a walk-off grand slam into the upper atmosphere, the Phillies (63-58) will need to regroup for a series against the Brewers (63-58). The two teams are tied for third place in the NL Wild Card standings, each sitting a game behind the Cubs and 2.5 games off…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Loading up on Giants-Diamondbacks, 2 Other Games Friday Night
Week 2 of the NFL preseason rolls on tonight with a three-game slate, but the ticket counts indicate that bettors have not yet abandoned professional baseball. Sure, the start of the NFL regular season will eventually attract the large majority of recreational money, but there’s still plenty to like for MLB bettors of all types.…
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Wilson: Finding Undervalued Teams By Meshing Returning Production With Explosiveness & Efficiency
Earlier this summer, we presented a case for why explosiveness will lead to good things for your bankroll and by default, the teams you bet on. While having an offense that regularly produces 20-plus yard plays will lead to points, the ability to stop big plays is also important when trying to cover the spread.…
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Sobel’s BMW Championship Matchup Bets: Another Chance to Fade Tiger in Round 2?
Well, that was easy. (For the pros, at least.) Medinah No. 3, which has hosted both the U.S. Open and PGA Championship, is set up to 7,600-plus yards this week, suggesting it was going to be a brutal test for the PGA Tour’s best players. Not so much. In the opening round of the BMW…
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NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Guide: How to Bet Jets-Falcons, Every Thursday Game
We get a five-game slate of preseason football on Thursday night. It’s only Week 2, so don’t expect to see many starters play for more than a quarter or two in most cases. Either way, offenses and defenses will largely rely on simplified schemes. Let’s start with a look at key storylines and actionable betting…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting White Sox-Angels, Astros-Athletics Over/Unders
Week 2 of the NFL preseason gets underway with a five-game slate tonight, and the majority of bettors are focusing on football over baseball. In fact, our betting tools are reporting very little sharp activity hitting tonight’s MLB schedule. That doesn’t necessarily mean that the pros are ignoring Thursday baseball, it’s just that their opinions…
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NFL Preseason Sharp Report: Pros Betting Eagles-Jaguars, Packers-Ravens Over/Unders
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars 7 p.m. ET Spread: Jaguars -3 Over/Under: 34.5 Are you ready to see Nick Foles get his revenge on the Eagles? Well, you’re probably going to have to wait because he’s unlikely to play this week. Same goes for Carson Wentz. And you wonder why bettors enjoy these games more…
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MLB Expert Predictions: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Thursday, Including A’s-Astros
Danny Donahue: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Yu Darvish (4-6, 4.43 ERA) vs. Drew Smyly (2-6, 6.96 ERA) Cubs Moneyline: -143 Phillies Moneyline: +133 Over/Under: 9.5 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET A few things to like about this under …. The records of the teams involved. The betting and money percentages. The actual number at…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 15: Back Plutko, Indians in Bronx vs. Yankees?
The New York Yankees (81-41) and Cleveland Indians (72-49) begin a four-game set in the Bronx on Thursday, in what could be a preview of an AL Division Series matchup. Though Cleveland just dropped two straight games to the Red Sox, no team has played better baseball over the past few months — as the…
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NFL Preseason Week 2 Thursday Live Betting, DFS Show
Ahead of the Week 2 preseason NFL slate at 7 p.m. ET, our NFL experts — Chris Raybon and Matthew Freedman — will host a live betting and DFS show at 5:45 p.m. ET. In the show, they’ll run through every game, discussing betting trends to know, their leans on each game, DFS plays and…
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Wilson’s 2019 Big 12 Betting Guide: Can You Profit Off the Coaching & Scheme Changes?
The Big 12 has gone through constant change as a conference. The end of the Big Eight era came around the same time the Southwest Conference went defunct. If you are new to the college football landscape, Oklahoma and Texas were not conference opponents until the mid-1990s. Since the formation of the Big 12, Sooners…
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Sobel’s BMW Championship Betting Preview: Which Longshots Can Buck the Trend?
As we prepare to break down this week’s BMW Championship, let’s take a look at the last 17 winners of FedEx Cup playoff events, dating back to the first start of the 2015 postseason: Jason Day. Rickie Fowler. Jason Day (again). Jordan Spieth. Patrick Reed. Rory McIlroy. Dustin Johnson. Rory McIlroy (again). Dustin Johnson (again).…
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2019 BMW Championship Matchup Bets: Is Fading Tiger Still the Move?
One of the biggest questions surrounding this week’s BMW Championship is: What can we expect from Tiger Woods? The easy answer: Not a whole lot. Which leads to the next question: Why is he even playing? The slightly more difficult answer: There are whispers that Tiger needs to play a minimum number of events for…
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Perry’s BMW Championship, Czech Masters Betting Guide: Value on Both Sides of the Pond
Playing in the shadow of the Statue of Liberty, of course Patrick Reed came out on top at the Northern Trust. I didn’t have him on my card, but he was a popular pick in betting circles and now Reed is among the contenders for the 2019 FedEx Cup. We now shift focus to the…
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Jennings’ BMW Championship Market Report: The Justin Thomas Bandwagon Rolls into Medinah
We have reached Round 2 of the FedEx Cup playoffs as the surviving golfers head to Course No. 3 at Medinah Country Club on the outskirts of Chicago. Known for its length and thick rough, daily fantasy and betting pundits are placing extra emphasis on tee shots this week with Strokes Gained Off The Tee…
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2019 BMW Championship Expert Picks: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets at Medinah
The 2019 FedEx Cup Playoffs roll on this weekend with the BMW Championship at Medinah Country Club in Illinois. Medinah hasn’t hosted a tournament since the 2012 Ryder Cup, so there’s limited data on the course but what we do know is that it plays long, measuring over 7,600 yards for a par 72. Outside…
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Andrew Luck Injury Status Creating Sneaky NFL Betting Value
Here we go again. After reportedly suffering a calf injury back in April, Colts QB Andrew Luck is still sidelined and may not be ready for Indianapolis’ Week 1 game against the Chargers. On Tuesday, GM Chris Ballard revealed that the team is unsure whether Luck will be ready for its season-opening matchup, forcing several…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 14: Time to Fade Kershaw vs. Marlins?
I played the Twins in the first five innings on Tuesday specifically to avoid Josh Hader in the late innings — but it ultimately wouldn’t have mattered, as Hader surrendered his sixth run (and fourth home run) in six games: Call to the 'pen, pres. by Marwin. pic.twitter.com/3lcEG2PN1b — MLB (@MLB) August 14, 2019 After…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Cardinals vs. Royals, 2 Other Wednesday Games
Getaway Wednesday means a full day of MLB action, and sharp bettors have taken notice. They’ve sprinkled a little action throughout the entire slate, hitting matchups ranging from 2:10 p.m. to 8:15 p.m. ET. Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers 2:10 p.m. ET | Kyle Gibson (11-5, 4.24 ERA) vs. Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.20 ERA) If…
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Action Pro System: Sparks vs. Wings Offering Big Historical Edge
The Wings have won seven games — the second fewest in the WNBA this season — and have scored the fewest points per game (69.8) in the league. You don’t need to be a WNBA expert to see that Dallas is a bad team. But Brian Agler’s squad hasn’t given up on the season. In…
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MLB Expert Predictions: Our Staff’s Favorite Wednesday Bets, Including Pirates-Angels
Collin Wilson: Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Clayton Kershaw (11-2, 2.77 ERA) vs. Elieser Hernandez (2-4, 4.94 ERA) Dodgers Moneyline: -280 Marlins Moneyline: +255 Over/Under: 8 First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET When Clayton Kershaw takes the mound, it’s expected there will be a minimum number of runs from the opposing team. The southpaw will…
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Oklahoma 2019 Betting Guide: Can You Count on Another Playoff Appearance?
Oklahoma 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 14-1 To Win Big 12: -140 To Make The Playoff: +225 Win Total: 10 Oklahoma Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Oklahoma In case you missed it, Jalen Hurts was the biggest free agent in the transfer portal over the offseason. The Sooners won the sweepstakes after cycling…
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Wilson: The Most Pessimistic Texas Longhorns Preview on the Internet
Texas 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 25-1 To Win Big 12: +350 To Make The Playoff: 6-1 Win Total: 9 Texas Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Texas Between ‘Ok Cool, Hook Em‘ and ‘Longhorn Nation, We’re Back‘ the Texas Longhorns have been one of the most animated programs in college football over the last…
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MLB Expert Predictions: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Athletics-Giants, 4 More Tuesday Games
Mark Gallant: Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox (Doubleheader) Game 1: Zack Greinke (11-4, 3.08 ERA) vs. Dylan Cease (2-4, 6.00 ERA) Astros Moneyline: -300 White Sox Moneyline: +270 Over/Under: 9.5 First pitch: 4:40 p.m. ET Game 2: Gerrit Cole (14-5, 2.87 ERA) vs. Ivan Nova (7-9, 4.80 ERA) Astros Moneyline: -350 White Sox Moneyline:…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 13: Will Brendan McKay Stay Poised vs. Lauer, Padres?
The Astros (77-41) and White Sox (52-64) will play a doubleheader on Tuesday — the 25th doubleheader of the 2019 season and the sixth of eight doubleheaders scheduled for August. Teams who have won the first game of the doubleheader this season are 15-9 in Game Two, and historically playing the chalk in Game Two…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Eyeing Red Sox-Indians, Rays-Padres Over/Unders
A White Sox-Astros doubleheader has provided bettors with a hefty 16-game MLB slate on Tuesday. As for the sharps, they’ve been zoning in on two of those 16, and have caused some over/under moves on Red Sox-Indians (7:10 p.m. ET) and Rays-Padres (10:10 p.m. ET). Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians 7:10 p.m. ET |…
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4 Biggest Edges Among College Football Week 1 Over/Unders
Oklahoma State at 72? That’s the text that alerted me Week 1 college football game totals have dropped. Circa Sports — a new player in the Las Vegas football scene, with a 1.25 million-square-foot property being built downtown — became the first sportsbook to release totals for every college football Week 1 game on Monday. Week 1…
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Notre Dame 2019 Betting Guide: Can Irish Repeat Last Season’s Magic?
Notre Dame 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 50-1 To Make The Playoff: 12-1 Win Total: 9 Notre Dame Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Notre Dame Last season was a magical run for the Irish. An opening win over Michigan, a seamless transition between quarterbacks, and being the 10th program to compete in the…
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Wilson’s 2019 Pac-12 Betting Guide: Is a College Football Playoff Return Possible?
The Pac-12 continues to entertain the college football masses, as the news this summer centered around possible 9 a.m. kickoffs. ‘Pac-12 After Dawn‘ remains an open question, as fans still search for the Pac-12 network through their various cable providers. The Power 5 conference has not had a College Football Playoff team since 2016 with…
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MLB Sharp Report: How Pros Are Betting a High Coors Field Over/Under
Monday’s slate brings with it the start of eight fresh new series, including a return home to Coors Field for the Rockies. Of course, for bettors that means one thing is almost certain: a high total. Sharps haven’t shied away from betting the high number in Colorado, and they’ve hit a couple of earlier Monday…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 12: Expect a Pirates-Angels Pitchers’ Duel?
The Angels (58-61) and Pirates (48-69) begin an Interleague matchup in Anaheim on Monday, and though this game won’t have an immediate impact on the 2019 playoff race, both teams will send out a couple of young starters who they are looking to develop as rotation pieces for potential runs in 2020. Jose Suarez will…
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MLB Expert Predictions: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Rays-Padres, 4 Other Monday Games
Collin Wilson: Pirates at Angels Mitch Keller (0-1, 10.50 ERA) vs. Jose Suarez (2-3, 6.22 ERA) Pirates Moneyline: +131 Angels Moneyline: -141 Over/Under: 10 First pitch: 10:07 p.m. ET A look at the ERA’s on these starting pitchers screams to the over. In the case of Keller, the Pirates’ pitcher has just 12 innings of…
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2019 Korn Ferry Graduate Power Rankings: Scheffler, Brehm Lead the Pack
The Korn Ferry Tour (think Triple-A for the PGA Tour and was previously known as the Web.com Tour) regular season has come to a close, which means we have 25 new PGA Tour members. It will be another month before we see the new card-holders in action at the Greenbrier in September, but it can’t…
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Sharp Action Already Hitting Cowboys-Rams NFL Preseason Week 2 Game
On Monday morning, spreads and totals for Week 2 of the NFL preseason opened across the betting market. While waiting around for your odds page to populate preseason lines may not seem like a fruitful endeavor for most people, it’s how some folks make a living. If we take a peek at the Cowboys-Rams game…
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College Football Win Totals That Have Moved the Most: Market Love for Syracuse Knows No Bounds
The college football win total market in the United States has always originated in Las Vegas, but this year, FanDuel wanted to take a stab at it. The market leader in New Jersey was first to post win totals for every FBS team (minus Rutgers, due to state law). So how has the market moved…
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Utah 2019 Betting Guide: Can This Hype Train Be Slowed Down?
Utah 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 50-1 To Win the Pac-12: 3-1 To Make the Playoff: 12-1 Win Total: 9 Utah Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Utah If your college football handicapping started in August, one of the first questions you might’ve asked is this: What is all the Utah noise about? No…
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Sunday Night Baseball Betting Preview: Can Giants Gain Ground on Phillies in NL Wild Card Race?
Sunday Night Baseball Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Phillies odds: -108 Giants odds: -102 Over/Under: 9 Probable starters: Jake Arrieta (8-8, 4.41 ERA) vs. Conner Menez (0-1, 5.73 ERA) First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET on ESPN >> All odds as of 3 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets The…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 11: Can Blue Jays Slug Their Way Past Tanaka, Yankees?
The Blue Jays (49-71) have a chance to win a four-game series against the Yankees (76-41) on Sunday, as they continue to play solid baseball since the beginning of June (18-18, +22 run differential). They will face Masahiro Tanaka, who has been hit extremely hard in his past three starts (12.2 IP, 27 H, 19…
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Sobel’s Northern Trust Matchup Bets: Fade Koepka in Sunday’s Final Round?
JERSEY CITY, N.J. — They say good things come to those who wait. Maybe we can say the same thing about good ideas. When I wrote my preview column before last week’s Wyndham Championship, I failed to mention J.T. Poston. My fault. By the time we taped our Action Network Podcast some 24 hours later,…
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NASCAR Consumers Energy 400 Odds, Picks: 2 Stewart-Haas Drivers Worth a Bet
Michigan International Speedway is the site of the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series’ 23rd race of the year. With only four races remaining until the playoff field is set, the intensity should be high at one of the fastest tracks on the schedule. We’re back to a traditional race weekend schedule, with no post-qualifying inspection…
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NASCAR at Michigan Odds, Picks: Betting Groups for the Consumers Energy 400
Head-to-head matchups are a great way to bet on NASCAR to maximize your chances of having a winning week. Only betting outrights to win can lead to a several race drought, so padding your betting card with props that are easier to hit can give you that winning feeling more frequently. However, head-to-head matchups aren’t…
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USC 2019 Betting Guide: Clay Helton Can’t Turn This Thing Around
USC 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 200-1 To Win the Pac 12: 8-1 To Make the Playoff: 50-1 Win Total: 7 USC Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like About USC Give credit to the administration for realizing change was needed on offense. The hiring and subsequent departure of Kliff Kingsbury was an attempt to get…
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Sobel’s Northern Trust Round 3 Matchup Bets: Rory Is Ready to Go Low
JERSEY CITY, N.J. — Plenty of big names litter the Northern Trust leaderboard, so let’s get right to my three favorite head-to-head matchups for Saturday’s third round, including three of those big names, all of whom are in contention.
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Stuckey: Regression Looms for a Few Pitchers I’m Looking To Bet Against in August
It has been almost two months since I highlighted six pitchers as potential fade targets in the baseball betting market. Well, the regression certainly hit for this group of arms that benefited from extremely good fortune over the first two-plus months of the season. From the beginning of the season through June 11, those six…
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MLB Sharp Report: Royals-Tigers, A’s-White Sox Drawing Saturday’s Pro Money
Week 1 of the NFL preseason caps off tonight, but a 15-game MLB slate has still garnered plenty of attention Saturday, with a couple games in particular drawing action from sharp bettors.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/10: Back Reynaldo Lopez, White Sox vs. Athletics?
The White Sox (51-63) are playing host to the Oakland Athletics (66-50) this weekend in the role of a potential spoiler with the A’s sitting a half game back from Tampa Bay in the AL Wild Card race. Though the Southsiders won’t be making the playoffs in 2019, the development of their young players down…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Saturday: How to Play the Over/Under in Indians-Twins
Evan Abrams: Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox Tanner Roark (7-7, 4.14 ERA) vs. Reynaldo Lopez (6-9, 5.41 ERA) Athletics Moneyline: -170 White Sox Moneyline: +155 Over/Under: 9.5 First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
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NFL Preseason Betting Guide: Picks for Cowboys-49ers, Raiders-Rams, Chiefs-Bengals
We’ve got three preseason games on the docket Saturday night. It’s still only Week 1, so don’t expect to see many starters play for more than a quarter (if at all). Either way, offenses and defenses will largely rely on simplified schemes. You can jump to our Preseason Week 1 Injury Report and find more…
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MLB Sharp Report: Royals-Tigers, Rays-Mariners Among Friday’s Favorite Pro Bets
MLB is back in full force with a loaded 15-game Friday slate. It’s still early in the day, but professionals have wasted no time picking off today’s softest baseball lines. Let’s look at two matchups that appear to be attracting balanced overall action, but are quietly becoming targets of professional bettors.
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NFL Preseason Betting Guide: Full Breakdowns of Steelers vs. Buccaneers & Vikings vs. Saints
We’ve got two preseason games on the docket Friday night. It’s still only Week 1, so don’t expect to see many starters play for more than a quarter (if at all). Either way, offenses and defenses will largely rely on simplified schemes. You can jump to our Preseason Week 1 Injury Report and find more…
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Sobel’s Northern Trust Matchup Bets: Merritt’s Putting Unsustainable in Round 2
JERSEY CITY, N.J. – Scoring conditions during the opening round of The Northern Trust were fairly balanced throughout the day – not that it really felt that way. The morning wave averaged a total of 69.10, while the late wave posted an average score .72 strokes higher. Anyone watching the leaderboard, though, would’ve thought the…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Friday: Which Underdogs Are Worth a Look?
Sean Zerillo: Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Robbie Ray (10-7, 4.03 ERA) vs. Walker Buehler (10-2, 3.22 ERA) Away Moneyline: +166 Home Moneyline: -185 Over/Under: 7.5 First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/9: Dodgers, Buehler Overvalued vs. D-Backs?
Two struggling offenses will take the field in Boston on Friday when the Red Sox (61-56) and Angels (56-60) continue their four-game series into the weekend. Boston won 3-0 on Thursday on the back of 13 strikeouts from Chris Sale, but they have averaged just 3.9 runs scored per game over a 2-9 stretch since…
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Wilson’s 2019 Conference USA Betting Guide: An Always Volatile League Creates Betting Value
The UAB Blazers have been a great story not just for college football, but for gamblers who have backed coach Bill Clark. Not only do the Blazers lead The Action Network home field advantage rankings, a 20-1 to win the Conference USA was the most fun a gambler could have in 2018. Teams move fast…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/8: Should Bettors Trust MadBum as a Home Underdog?
With a 52-65 expected record, the Blue Jays (47-70) have played slightly better than you would expect for a team with the fourth-fewest wins in MLB, thanks to an unlucky 11-19 record in one-run games. Since the All-Star Break, the Blue Jays are 13-13 with a +21 run differential, and outside of a 17-38 run…
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NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Tip: 5 Over/Unders to Consider for Thursday Night
Low-total (35 or fewer points) preseason games are rare. In the Bet Labs database less than 25% of exhibition games feature such a total. Casual bettors love wagering on the over, except in these games. Often matchups featuring a small over/under involve poor offenses, great defenses or both. There have been 238 preseason games with…
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NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Guide: Picks for Broncos-Seahawks, Every Thursday Game
We get an 11-game slate of preseason football on Thursday night. It’s only Week 1, so don’t expect to see many starters play for more than a quarter (if at all) in most cases. Either way, offenses and defenses will largely rely on simplified schemes. You can jump to our Preseason Week 1 Injury Report…
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NFL Preseason Sharp Report: Pros Betting Broncos-Seahawks, 3 Other Thursday Games
Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills 7 p.m. ET Spread: Colts -2.5 Over/Under: 34.5 One of the two games that will get the night started at 7 p.m. ET, Colts-Bills has seen some of the most line movement of any game on the slate. Initially, this thing was all Colts. Everyone and their mother was backing Indy,…
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Action Pro Systems: 2 Edges to Target in NFL Preseason Week 1
The first full week of the 2019 NFL preseason kicks off Thursday with an 11-game slate. These exhibition games provide bettors an opportunity to build their bankroll before the regular season begins. We’ve shared seven betting tips for turning a profit on these glorified scrimmages, but there is one more trend bettors need to know.
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NFL Preseason Week 1 Thursday Live Betting, DFS Show
Ahead of the Week 1 preseason NFL slate at 7 p.m. ET, our NFL experts — Chris Raybon and Ian Hartitz — will host a live betting and DFS show at 5:45 p.m. ET. In the show, they’ll run through every game, discussing betting trends to know, their leans on each game, DFS plays and…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Thursday: Will the Angels Get to Chris Sale?
Danny Donahue: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Domingo German (14-2, 3.98 ERA) vs. Thomas Pannone (2-4, 5.98 ERA) Yankees Moneyline: -187 Blue Jays Moneyline: +173 Over/Under: 10.5 First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Doubling Down on Yankees vs. Blue Jays Matchup
The NFL preseason gets underway in full force with tonight’s 11-game Week 1 slate. Recreational bettors will undoubtedly jump at the chance to bet on football again, but in a relatively surprising turn of events, tonight’s MLB slate is still drawing plenty of attention from the masses. To be specific, tonight’s Yankees vs. Blue Jays…
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Miller: 4 Under-the-Radar College Football Teams to Bet Before the Market Catches Up
One of the most important aspects of preseason college football handicapping is returning production — and just how good that returning production is. It’s only one of the many things you must consider, but players getting more time to develop their bodies and learn the system is going to be a major asset early in…
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2019 Northern Trust Expert Picks: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets at Liberty National
The race for the FedEx Cup begins in earnest this weekend with the 2019 Northern Trust at Liberty National Golf Course in New Jersey. This weekend features one of the deepest fields of the season with Brooks Koepka (10-1) leading the way, ahead of Rory McIlroy (12-1), Dustin Johnson (16-1), Jon Rahm (16-1) and Justin…
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Sobel’s 2019 Northern Trust Preview: Should You Fade Tiger Woods at Liberty National?
JERSEY CITY, N.J. – Ten years ago, the former landfill now known as Liberty National Golf Club held its first major professional golf tournament. (Save your mean tweets: I’m using “major” as a descriptive adjective here, not some overarching decree about the importance of FedEx Cup playoff events.) The list of runners-up from that week…
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Jennings’ Northern Trust Market Report: Cantlay, Thomas Top the Charts
The best thing about an event with such a stacked field? Anyone can win. The worst thing about a stacked field? Anyone can win. And this week’s field for the 2019 Northern Trust is about as deep as it gets. The top 125 players in the world are eligible for the event, though only 122…
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2019 FedEx Cup Betting Guide: Which Longshots Can Make A Run?
JERSEY CITY, N.J. – We’re now a dozen editions into the FedEx Cup, which means we can finally start spotting some trends amongst the winners. In fact, if we examine each of the playoff champions, we can break them down into three specific categories: Best Player for the Entire Season Who Continued in the Playoffs…
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Perry’s Northern Trust Betting Guide: A Great Buy-Low Opportunity
The FedEx Cup Playoffs are back with a more condensed version this year. We’ll get just three tournaments this time instead of the usual four, putting a little more emphasis on the opening event than in years past. We’ve mentioned it in this spot the last two years, but the playoffs are historically where the…
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Sobel: Buy Koepka, Cantlay, Reed in Northern Trust Matchup Bets
JERSEY CITY, N.J. — This week marks the fourth time Liberty National Golf Club will serve as a host to a PGA Tour-sanctioned event. Two years ago, it hosted the Presidents Cup, when the Americans were so dominant over the International side that they almost didn’t have to come back for Sunday’s singles.
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College Football Home-Field Advantage Rankings: How Many Points It’s Worth for All 130 Teams
Forrest Gump once said “It’s funny what a young man recollects.” That statement rings true for me. I could tell you my phone number when I was sixth grade, the hospital room number where my first son was born, and the exact date when I truly figured out how to handicap home-field advantage in college football.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/7: How to Bet Zac Gallen in Diamondbacks Debut vs. Phillies
With their win over the Phillies (59-54) on Tuesday, the Diamondbacks (57-57) got back to a .500 record and within 2.5 games of Philadelphia for the second NL Wild Card spot. Arizona’s run differential (+71) suggests an expected win/loss record of 64-50, whereas the Phillies’ differential (-21) suggests a projected record of 55-58. Based on…
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2019 Northern Trust Open Matchup Bets: Will Bryson DeChambeau Find His Form this Week?
In this piece, I’ll be using the golf metrics in the FantasyLabs PGA Models as well as other golf metrics in search of potentially exploitable individual betting matchups for the 2019 Northern Trust Open. Let’s dive into this week’s action. All odds as of Tuesday morning.
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Marlins vs. Mets Odds: Historic Weather Conditions Creating Betting Value
Betting odds: Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Marlins moneyline: +176 Mets moneyline: -197 Over/Under: 9 First pitch: 12:10 p.m. ET The red-hot Mets are looking to sweep the Fish and gain more ground in the NL Wild Card race, but will be playing in Citi Field conditions like they’ve never seen before.
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MLB Sharp Report: 2 Day Games Drawing Professional Action Wednesday
It’s getaway day in Major League Baseball, which means nine of Wednesday’s 14 games will get underway before 4 p.m. ET. It also means that sharp bettors have been to the window early and are already causing major line moves. Both Braves vs. Twins (1:10 p.m.) and Cardinals vs. Dodgers (3:10 p.m.) have seen significant…
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Wilson’s 2019 Big Ten Betting Guide: How to Wager on the Wild West And Established East
For all the narrative around the Group of 5 not scheduling enough marquee games or the Pac 12’s last appearance coming in 2016, the Big Ten has had equal failures in the College Football Playoff landscape. No team from the Big Ten has scored a point in the playoff since Ohio State’s championship in January…