Tag: PRO
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MLB Expert Predictions for Tuesday: Staff’s Favorite Pitcher Props, Over/Under Bets, More
John Ewing: Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.73 ERA) vs. Steven Brault (3-1, 4.15 ERA) Brewers Moneyline: -145 Pirates Moneyline: +130 Over/Under: 10 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/6: How to Bet Zack Greinke in His Astros Debut
Zack Greinke will make his first start for the Houston Astros (73-40) on Tuesday. His new club paces the AL West by nine games, but they are essentially tied with the Yankees (73-39) for home-field advantage in the AL playoffs, so don’t expect the Astros to take their foot off of the gas pedal. Greinke…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Royals vs. Red Sox, 2 Other Tuesday Games
Another makeup game has presented bettors with a 16-game MLB slate on Tuesday, as the White Sox and Tigers will enjoy a day-night doubleheader. Along with tonight’s Royals-Red Sox and Angels-Reds matchups, the second game of that day-nighter has already drawn some significant action from sharp bettors, causing market-wide line movement.
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Nebraska 2019 Betting Guide: Is the Market a Year Early?
Nebraska 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 50-1 To Win Big Ten: 10-1 To Make the Playoff: 12-1 Win Total: 8.5 Nebraska Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Nebraska Answer to what to like about Nebraska will always be Scott Frost, who took Central Florida from 0-12 to 13-0 in just two years. Defensive coordinator…
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Iowa 2019 Betting Guide: Not Many Chances for Kinnick Magic
Iowa 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 300-1 To Win Big Ten: 20-1 To Make the Playoff: 75-1 Win Total: 7.5 Iowa Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Iowa As we discussed on the Action Network Podcast, everyone has shot in the wild wild Big Ten West division. Maybe not so much for Illinois, but for…
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How Ezekiel Elliott’s Holdout, Melvin Gordon’s Trade Request Impact Their Fantasy Football Projections
Editor’s Note: Melvin Gordon’s agent has requested a trade and ESPN’s Josina Anderson has reported that Ezekiel Elliott won’t play without a deal since this analysis was first published. Chris Raybon While the public perception around Le’Veon Bell’s 2018 holdout tends to be negative — James Conner turned in similar production in Bell’s place, and…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Monday: How to Play the Over/Under in Cardinals-Dodgers
Sean Zerillo: St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers Michael Wacha (6-4, 5.15 ERA) vs. Tony Gonsolin (0-1, 5.63 ERA) Cardinals Moneyline: 148 Dodgers Moneyline: -158 Over/Under: 9.5 First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/5: Back A’s, Bassitt To Stay Hot in Wild Card Hunt vs. Cubs?
The Athletics (64-48) and the Cubs (60-51) begin a three-game series in Chicago today, and though the teams aren’t directly in competition with one another for playoff positioning, this is a crucial series for both teams. The Cubs are just 1.5 games up on the Cardinals and four games ahead of the Brewers in the…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Nats vs. Giants, 2 Other Monday Games
As far as Monday MLB slates go, today’s is relatively full. Thanks in part to a Marlins-Mets doubleheader, there are 14 games from which bettors can choose. Sharps aren’t waiting around to make moves either, as they’ve already caused adjustments on three games in particular, including A’s-Cubs and Nats-Giants.
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Michigan State 2019 Betting Guide: Bet on Sparty to Bounce Back
Michigan State 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 100-1 To Win Big Ten: 18-1 To Make the Playoff: 25-1 Win Total: 8 Michigan State Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Michigan State Head coach Mike Dantonio has been straight money for bettors in bounce back seasons. Michigan State had 7 wins or fewer in 2009,…
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Wisconsin 2019 Betting Guide: Major Defensive Rebound Needed
Wisconsin 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 200-1 To Win Big Ten: 12-1 To Make the Playoff: 50-1 Win Total: 8 Wisconsin Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Wisconsin The losses on the Wisconsin defense were completely overlooked heading into last season. While everyone knew about the offensive line and Jonathan Taylor, the 124th rank…
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Sunday Night Baseball Betting Preview: Yankees Look To Sweep Reeling Red Sox
SNB Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Red Sox odds: -114 Yankees odds: +104 Over/Under: 10 Probable starters: David Price (7-4, 3.86 ERA) vs. J.A. Happ (8-6, 5.19 ERA) First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET on ESPN >> All odds as of 3 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and…
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NASCAR GoBowling at The Glen Odds, Picks: How to Bet the Favorites
The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to its second road course race of the year at Watkins Glen International. “The Glen” is a very different road course from Sonoma Raceway, where the first road course race took place. Watkins Glen is full of high-speed corners, whereas Sonoma has more low-speed turns. As a result,…
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NASCAR GoBowling at The Glen Matchup Odds, Picks: Hendrick Drivers Face Off
Today’s race at Watkins Glen International is scheduled for 90 laps at the 2.45-mile road course. Road course racing typically features plenty of randomness that bettors can use to their advantage. Overconfidence in the market, either by the betting public or by the bookmakers setting initial odds can lead to plenty of underdog value, especially…
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Sobel’s Wyndham Championship Matchup Bets: Is Matthew Wolff a Threat in the Final Round?
Following a Saturday where we went 3-for-3 in head-to-head matchups, let’s try to make it 6-for-6 this weekend. Here are the picks for the final round of the Wyndham Championship.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/4: Will D-Backs’ Offense Stay Hot vs. Nats?
The NL-East leading Braves (66-46) outlasted the Reds (51-48) in 10 innings on Saturday, winning 5-4 on a walk-off single by Ronald Acuna Jr. Atlanta edged ahead 4-3 in the eighth inning without putting a ball into play, as Amir Garrett and Michael Lorenzen combined to walk four batters before Cincinnati re-tied the game in…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/3: Trust Bumgarner vs. the Rockies?
The Red Sox opted to start Chris Sale against Domingo German in the first leg of a rivalry doubleheader on Saturday afternoon, pushing Brian Johnson to the Saturday evening game against Chad Green and the Yankees bullpen. Sale and German squared off on July 28 on Sunday Night Baseball in Boston, with Sale surrendering six…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Saturday: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets, Including Giants-Rockies
Collin Wilson: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.48 ERA) vs. Cole Hamels (6-3, 2.98 ERA) Away Moneyline: -133 Home Moneyline: +123 Over/Under: 9 First pitch: 2:20 p.m. ET
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Nats vs. D-backs, 2 Other Saturday Games
A Red Sox-Yankees double-header in the Bronx has presented bettors with a rare 16-game MLB slate from which to choose on Saturday. Sharps have certainly taken notice, as they’ve caused some interesting line moves in three of tonight’s matchups, including the second game of that Sox-Yanks day-nighter. >> All odds as of 12: 45 p.m.…
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Sobel’s Wyndham Championship Matchup Bets: Will Jordan Spieth Surge in Round 3?
Earlier this week, Zack Sucher joined us on the Action Network Podcast. He was terrific while discussing how he bet on himself, and how that bet paid off when he finished co-runner-up at the Travelers Championship recently. (And yes, this is my not-so-subtle way of telling you to give it a listen if you haven’t…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Friday: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets, Including Pirates vs. Mets
Danny Donahue: Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers Tyler Alexander (0-1, 3.86 ERA) vs. Lance Lynn (13-6, 3.83 ERA) Tigers Moneyline: +235 Rangers Moneyline: -260 Over/Under: 10 First pitch: 8:05 p.m. ET
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/2: Can Pirates Play Spoiler to Mets’ Playoff Hopes?
The Mets (53-55) and Pirates (47-61) begin a three-game series in Pittsburgh on Friday. Last weekend, the Mets swept the Pirates at home and they haven’t lost since, coming into tonight’s game on a seven-game winning streak with an outside chance at capturing a wild card. Though the Mets are still in the playoff race,…
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Zerillo: A 500-1 Longshot to Consider Buying After MLB Trade Deadline
In March, when MLB and the MLBPA announced a new, unitary July 31 trade deadline, eliminating August waiver trades, it was in an effort to increase fairness — with the expectation that it would force teams to take a more definitive stance with regards to their immediate future with one third of the season still…
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Ohio State 2019 Betting Guide: Buckeyes Have 2 Major Question Marks
Ohio State 2019 Betting Odds National Title Odds: 16-1 To Win Big 10: +175 To Make The Playoff: +250 Win Total: 10 Ohio State Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Ohio State Urban Meyer and Dwayne Haskins can be a tough act to follow. Both new head coach Ryan Day and transfer quarterback Justin…
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Penn State 2019 Betting Guide: Offense Must Find Itself in Post-Moorhead Era
Penn State 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 100-1 To Win Big Ten: 16-1 To Make the Playoff: 25-1 Win Total: 8.5 Penn State Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Penn State Caesars Entertainment put out Bednarik Award odds early in the summer. The award goes to the best defensive player in the nation as…
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Broncos vs. Falcons Betting Guide: How to Play the Hall of Fame Game
Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds Odds: Broncos -3 Over/Under: 34 Time: 8 p.m. ET on Thursday TV Channel: NBC The days of cherishing the AAF and watching as much NFL Game Pass as possible are over: Football is officially BACK. The Broncos will take on the Falcons in Thursday’s annual Hall of Fame…
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Moore: 2 Bad NBA Teams I Like to Beat Their Win Totals
The NBA win totals are out at the Westgate Las Vegas, and for the first time since the Supreme Court decision on sports gambling legalization, we have a healthy swath of books to analyze and try and find the best value at between providers like FanDuel and the Vegas bookmakers.
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Rays-Red Sox, 2 Other Thursday Games
Wiseguys bounced back with a profitable night on Wednesday, cashing both of their unders without a sweat (Cubs-Cardinals and Brewers-Athletics) en route to a 2-1 night.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/1: Where’s the Edge in Padres-Dodgers With Kershaw Pitching?
The Trade Deadline didn’t heat up until the closing bell on Wednesday, and fortunately, Zack Greinke was out of his start against the Yankees by the time that he was traded to the Astros. Unfortunately, the Diamondbacks’ bullpen blew Greinke’s lead, sending him off with a no-decision in his final start with the club. Bad…
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NFL Hall of Fame Game Odds: Late Money Driving Broncos-Falcons Line Movement
The NFL preseason officially begins tonight when the Denver Broncos take on the Atlanta Falcons in the 2019 Hall of Fame Game. While many fans and casual bettors scoff at the idea of betting on exhibition football, NFL preseason games still attract plenty of action — even from professional bettors.
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2019 Wyndham Championship Expert Picks: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets at Sedgefield
The 2019 Wyndham Championship is the last event of the PGA Tour’s regular season, as the FedEx Cup Playoffs begin next weekend at The Northern Trust. The Wyndham takes place at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. You can expect players to go low at Sedgefield as it is a short par-70 course that…
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Sobel’s 2019 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview: Patrick Reed Is Trending Up
I’ll get to the picks for this week’s Wyndham Championship, but first let’s address an issue which reared its ugly head once again recently – an issue which really should be a non-issue. In what has become a highly publicized clap-back – with an eventual happy ending – Max Homa last week took on part…
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2019 Wyndham Championship Matchup Bets: Should You Back Morikawa and Hovland?
In this piece, I’ll be using the golf metrics in the FantasyLabs PGA Models as well as other golf metrics in search of potentially exploitable individual betting matchups for the 2019 Wyndham Championship. Let’s dive into this week’s action.
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Perry’s Wyndham Championship Betting Guide: Mid-Tier and Longshot Values Galore
We were right about Webb Simpson in the St. Jude last week, but he simply ran into Goliath. That brings us to 10 runner-up finishes for the 2018-19 season, although this one isn’t as scaring; it never really felt like Simpson was going to win at any point on Sunday. So we’ll move on to…
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Adon’s Wyndham Championship First-Round Leader Bets: Another Quick Start for Rory Sabbatini?
The last tournament of the regular season is upon us. The 2019 Wyndham Championship takes place at a familiar venue for golf fans and handicappers alike — Sedgefield Country Club. All you need to do is look at course-horses, like Webb Simpson and Brandt Snedeker, to deduce that this is a plodder’s track that emphasizes…
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Moore: Why the OKC Thunder’s 30.5 Win Total Is an Overreaction
With the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook releasing their 2019-20 NBA win totals, we now have a complete set of odds to compare and contrast. The numbers are, of course, largely in line with one another, but one where there is at least some variance is with the Oklahoma City Thunder.
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Wilson’s 2019 ACC Betting Guide: The Right Price on Clemson, A Sleeping Giant and More
The ACC in 2019: Clemson and 13 others. The gap has widened between Clemson and the rest of the ACC so much the Tigers would be 21-point favorites against any other ACC team at a neutral site. There are plenty of questions for the ACC in 2019. Will Clemson run the table after losing an…
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Michigan 2019 Betting Guide: How To Bet The New-Look, Faster-Paced Wolverines
Michigan 2019 Betting Odds National Title: 14-1 To Win Big Ten: +160 To Make the Playoff: +250 Win Total: 10 Michigan Schedule, Projected Spreads What to Like about Michigan After a 10-1 start to 2019, Michigan closed last season by giving up 103 points combined to Ohio State and Florida. Changes were imminent, as head…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Wednesday: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets, Including Mets vs. White Sox
Sean Zerillo: San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Jeff Samardzija (7-8, 3.95 ERA) vs. Vince Velasquez (3-5, 4.46 ERA) Giants Moneyline: +120 Phillies Moneyline: -130 Over/Under: 9.5 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Brewers-Athletics, 2 Other Wednesday Games
Wiseguys gave a unit back to the house yesterday, cashing the Braves moneyline but losing the Cubs moneyline and Giants-Phillies over. Tuesday wasn’t all that bad for contrarian-minded sharps, as road teams profited +8.53 units and dogs and unders also produced a decent payout.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/31: Dare to Back the Marlins Against Berrios?
MLB’s new unitary trading deadline will pass at 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday afternoon, but today’s baseball betting slate will already have four games underway by that time. With Zack Greinke on the mound and Masahiro Tanaka scuffling of late, I like the Diamondbacks to sweep their two-game set in New York this afternoon, and there’s…
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How A.J. Green Injury Impacts His Fantasy Ranking, Tyler Boyd’s Value, More
Editor’s note: Bengals head coach Zac Taylor confirmed on Tuesday that A.J. Green is expected to miss a couple of regular-season games. A.J. Green suffered torn ligaments in his left ankle during training camp and is expected to miss six to eight weeks, which will include at least one regular-season game. Our fantasy football experts discuss…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Tuesday: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets, Including Phillies vs. Giants
Josh Appelbaum: San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.98 ERA) vs. Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA) Giants Moneyline: +111 Phillies Moneyline: -122 Over/Under: 10.5 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET When betting Over/Unders it’s a good practice to build a checklist in your head, think of it like how a lawyer builds a…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Cubs-Cardinals, 2 Other Tuesday Games
Wiseguys kicked off their week in style yesterday, going either 2-0-1 or 2-1 with their Monday plays. After easily cashing the Marlins and Rockies moneylines, the third and final play was the Blue Jays-Royals under. The total opened at 10 and closed at 9.5. Toronto won 7-3, meaning early sharps who hit the under 10…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/30: Believe in Beede and Giants vs. Phillies
The Giants (54-52) and Phillies (55-50) begin a three-game set in Philadelphia today, which will coincide with Wednesday’s trading deadline. Both teams are within 2.5 games of an NL Wild Card spot, and the Giants now appear unlikely to deal Madison Bumgarner, Will Smith, Sam Dyson or other key pieces on their roster in an…
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Stuckey’s Favorite 2019 Big Ten Win Totals, Futures
My colleague Collin Wilson and I recently discussed every Big Ten win total on The Action Network Podcast. In that episode, I mentioned a number of win totals I already bet and thought I’d share my thoughts for those who missed the episode or are just looking for a recap. Let’s start with my three…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/29: Fade the Tigers?
Monday’s slate features just seven games. And in an odd bit of scheduling, the Diamondbacks and Marlins will resume a weekend series on a Monday night before Arizona travels to the Bronx to begin a two-game Interleague set on Tuesday. With the Diamondbacks potentially looking ahead to their overnight travel before having to play the…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Dodgers-Rockies, 2 Other Monday Games
Wiseguys are always conscious of the gambling calendar, specifically what sports are available to bet on each day and how many games are listed on the board. For example, tonight might seem like a quiet Monday with only seven games from which to choose. But wiseguys love this small slate because they know the public…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Monday: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets, Including Rockies vs. Dodgers
Danny Donahue: Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies Kenta Maeda (7-7, 3.81 ERA) vs. Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA) Dodgers Moneyline: -127 Rockies Moneyline: +117 Over/Under: 13 First pitch: 8:40 p.m. ET Seemingly all the basic baseball betting strategies I follow have somehow lined themselves up on the Rockies tonight. Divisional dog? Check. High total?…
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Wilson’s 2019 MWC Betting Guide: Plenty Of Island Magic Expected
This may be the most predictable conference in all of FBS, but not because of Boise State. Since the inception of two divisions and a conference championship game in 2013, only Fresno State and San Diego State have represented the West division. New Mexico and Colorado State are the only teams in the Mountain division…
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NASCAR Gander RV 400 Matchup Odds, Picks: A Head-to-Head Between 2 Favorites
Today’s Gander RV 400 at Pocono Raceway (3:00 p.m. ET, NBCSN) looks to be free of any weather issues, so that makes betting head-to-head props more of a sure thing than some of the questionable weather situations of the past. For Pocono, the key statistical predictors are: Pocono driver rating (last eight races) Flat track…
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NASCAR Gander RV 400 Betting Odds, Picks: 3 Double-Digit Bets to Win
The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series makes its return to Pocono Raceway for the second of two races in 2019. Kyle Busch won the season’s first race at The Tricky Triangle. Busch, Kyle Larson and William Byron were the only drivers to reach double-digits in both laps led and fastest laps. Notably, Larson wrecked his…
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Sobel’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Final Round Matchup: Is the Smart Money on Koepka or McIlroy?
This year’s major championships are over, but there’s a major head-to-head battle at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational brewing for the final round. Rory McIlroy leads Brooks Koepka by a single stroke entering the final round. So .. what should we expect?
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/28: Can Willie Calhoun Spark the Rangers?
After a strong start to the 2019 season, the Texas Rangers (53-52) offense has cratered in July with a 79 wrC+ (27th), including a split that ranks 29th vs. righties (66 wrC+). They are 7-14 this month and have been outscored by 36 runs. They recently placed Joey Gallo on the IL with a broken…
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Sunday Night Baseball Betting Guide: Red-Hot Red Sox Seek Four-Game Sweep Over Yankees
Sunday Night Baseball Betting Odds: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Yankees odds: +165 Red Sox odds: -180 Over/Under: 10 Probable starters: Domingo German vs. Chris Sale First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET on ESPN All odds as of 1 p.m. ET Uh oh. Everybody in the American League is officially on high alert. The defending…
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Sobel’s Favorite WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Matchups: Will Justin Rose Make a Run in Round 3?
There are three world-class ball-strikers I want to focus on for Saturday’s third round of the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Unfortunately, the books also like these players, as each has been listed as the favorite against his playing partner.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/27: Value on Astros-Cardinals Over/Under?
Editor’s note: Since publishing, the Nationals announced they will be starting Matt Grace instead of Joe Ross, resulting in all previous Dodgers-Nationals bets being graded as no action. Clayton Kershaw (8-2, 2.84 ERA) takes the mound today as the Dodgers (68-37) look to clinch a series win over the Nationals (55-48). While the Dodgers are…
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MLB Sharp Report: Red Sox-Yankees, Braves-Phillies Lead Saturday’s Pro Bets
Friday proved once again to be a valuable day for sharp, contrarian bettors. Wiseguys enjoyed a clean sweep of their top plays last night, cashing on two plus-money underdogs and a total. On Saturday, a pair of games seem to be taking in the brunt of the professional money hitting the full 15-game schedule, and…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Saturday: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets, Including Braves vs. Phillies
Evan Abrams: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Jon Lester (9-6, 3.87 ERA) vs. Chase Anderson (5-2, 3.90 ERA) Cubs Moneyline: +110 Brewers Moneyline: -120 Over/Under: 9.5 First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET The Cubs have hit a bit of a skid, losing four of their last five games — all on the road. Chicago is now…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Friday: Our Staff’s 6 Favorite Bets, Including Orioles vs. Angels
Josh Appelbaum: Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds German Marquez (9-5, 4.99 ERA) vs. Luis Castillo (9-3, 2.36 ERA) Rockies Moneyline: +124 Reds Moneyline: -134 Over/Under: 8.5 First pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET Recreational bettors love backing favorites, home teams and ace starting pitchers. They also love betting against teams mired in a losing skid. With the…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Rangers-Athletics, 2 Other Friday Games
Wiseguys went 1-1 with their Thursday plays but were able to turn a slight profit thanks to the Red Sox moneyline victory (+109). Baseball is one of the only sports where you can split your plays but still make money thanks to plus-money payouts. In football and basketball, a 1-1 record based on spread or…
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Stuckey: Should You Fade the Dodgers Against the Nationals on Friday?
Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals Hyun-jin Ryu (11-2 1.76 ERA) vs. Anibal Sanchez (6-6, 3.80 ERA) Dodgers odds: -164 Nationals odds: +151 Over/Under: 9.5 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET on MASN The Nationals will look to continue their summer push during a home weekend series with the visiting Dodgers. While Los Angeles…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/26: Can Jakob Junis Dominate With Slider vs. Indians?
If you don’t like betting on losing clubs, you might have some difficulty finding value on Friday’s board – as my projection only recommends betting on five teams, and four of them are the Marlins, Orioles, Royals, and White Sox. One team that won’t make my card is the Detroit Tigers – who are now…
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Sobel’s Favorite WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Matchups: Will Rory Ride Momentum in Round 2?
Well, first of all, low scores are possible, as overnight leader Jon Rahm proved with a 62.
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Koerner: 18 NFL Games You Should Bet Now
I enjoy betting on Weeks 2-17 lines as a fun way to potentially get early value on certain matchups. To identify the 18 games we’ll highlight below, I compared posted lines to my projected lines and factored in any possible game theory angles to predict likely directions certain teams will be going at certain points…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/25: Choosing a Pair of Sox vs. Twins, Yankees
Tonight features a short slate with just nine games on the board, but we do get to see the Yankees and Red Sox square off for the first of eight games between the two clubs over the next two weekends (including a doubleheader on August 3). The Red Sox are 11 games back of the…
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Stuckey: How I’m Betting Red Sox-Yankees on Thursday Night
Betting Odds: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Masahiro Tanaka (7-5, 4.00 ERA) vs. Rick Porcello (8-7, 5.61 ERA) Yankees odds: -115 Red Sox odds: +106 Over/Under: 11.5 First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET on MLBN We last saw these two starters face off against each other in London in a game both Porcello and…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Yankees vs. Red Sox, Indians vs. Royals
Wiseguys got back to their winning ways on Wednesday, cashing the Yankees moneyline and Royals-Braves under en route to a 2-1 day. Sharps nearly swept the board, but the Padres scored a meaningless run in the ninth to win, 7-2, and kill the Under 8.5. Overall, it was an epic day for sportsbooks and contrarian…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Thursday: Our Staff’s 5 Favorite Bets, Including Twins-White Sox
Evan Abrams: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Masahiro Tanaka (7-5, 4.00 ERA) vs. Rick Porcello (8-7, 5.61 ERA) Yankees Moneyline: -115 Red Sox Moneyline: +105 Over/Under: 11.5 First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET Here are the results of the Red Sox and Yankees last three meetings:
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2019 WGC St. Jude Picks: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for TPC Southwind
Usually the tournament after a major features a weaker field with little fanfare. That’s not the case this weekend as almost all of the big guns are in Memphis this weekend for the 2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Dustin Johnson (9-1) is the favorite but he’s got company atop the board in Rory McIlroy (10-1),…
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Perry’s WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Guide: The Favorite Worth a Look
There’s no time for golf’s stars. Fresh off the final major of the season, they’re all back in action (for the most part) at the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational. This event replaced the Bridgestone Invitational on the schedule. Firestone was one of Tiger Wood’s favorite courses, so he’s decided to pass this week along…
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2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Preview: Justin Thomas Is Close
Ever since the former WGC event at Firestone before the PGA Championship was rescheduled for TPC Southwind on the heels of The Open, I’ve been referring to this cross-continental jaunt as the PGA Tour’s Pneumonia Swing. I mean, talk about climate shock. After a week of being bundled up at Portrush, more than a few…
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Jennings: Can Dustin Johnson Break His Slump at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational?
For those of you who followed this segment last week and built lineups for The Open Championship, we saw first-hand the relevance of market sentiment on DFS ownership trends.
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2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Matchup Preview: Will Matthew Wolff Continue His Roll?
The main theme for this week’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational from my preview column was motivation – and I’m going to carry that over to my favorite matchups bets. I don’t want anyone in Memphis who’s tired or sluggish or apathetic. Give me guys who don’t just want a title contention, but need one. Give…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Wednesday: Our Staff’s 7 Favorite Bets, Including Angels vs. Dodgers
John Ewing: Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros Chris Bassitt (7-4, 3.96 ERA) vs. Justin Verlander (12-4, 2.99 ERA) Athletics Moneyline: +192 Astros Moneyline: -208 Over/Under: 8.5 First pitch: 2:10 p.m. ET Justin Verlander is pitching well this season. His ERA of 2.99 ranks 10th among starters, and he has 172 strikeouts (fifth in the majors).…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Yankees-Twins, 2 Other Wednesday Games
Wiseguys went 1-2 with their Tuesday plays, cashing the Padres-Mets under but losing the White Sox and Cubs moneylines. The Cubs game was the killer. Chicago trailed, 4-2, into the seventh, battled back to force extra innings but then lost on a walk-off homer by Pablo Sandoval in the 13th.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/24: Ride with Miguel Sano, Twins?
Though I didn’t love Tuesday’s card overall, the model ended up going 6-2-3 against sides as of writing, and it has 16 more potential plays on tap for Wednesday. The Minnesota Twins showed line value in both halves of their game against the Yankees, and I certainly looked to play them in the first half…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Cubs-Giants, 2 Other Tuesday Games
Wiseguys couldn’t catch a break on Monday as they struck out on all three of their plays. The Cardinals-Pirates under 9.5 was the back-breaker. The game was tied 2-2 entering extra innings and then both teams combined for seven runs in the 10th. St. Louis won, 6-5. Talk about a Hall-of-Fame bad beat. MLB Expert Predictions…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Tuesday: Our Staff’s 6 Favorite Bets, Including Cubs vs. Giants
John Ewing: St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates Dakota Hudson (9-4, 3.57 ERA) vs. Chris Archer (3-6, 5.36 ERA) Cardinals Moneyline: +115 Pirates Moneyline: -125 Over/Under: 9 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET Chris Archer’s ERA is north of 5.00 because he gives up a lot of longballs. His 22 dingers allowed are tied for the…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/23: The Play to Make In Angels-Dodgers
The Boston Red Sox (55-46) are 11-6 in July and playing the best they have all year as we head into the home stretch of the 2019 season. Including tonight, they still have nine games remaining against the Rays (57-46), who are currently one game in front of Boston in the wildcard hunt (though neither…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/22: Will Marco Gonzales Have Another Quality Outing vs. Rangers?
It’s been a rough season thus far for under bettors, but things might finally be turning the corner in July. Inflated totals have guided under bets to a 121-105-9 record this month, good for a profit of $1,063 (4.5% ROI based on $100 bets) despite the recent heat waves which have swept across the country.…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Monday: Our Staff’s 6 Favorite Bets, Including Orioles vs. Diamondbacks
Evan Abrams: Indians at Blue Jays Mike Clevinger (3-2, 3.57 ERA) vs. Ryan Borucki (0-0, 0.00 ERA) Indians Moneyline: -180 Blue Jays Moneyline: +165 Over/Under: 9 First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET Ryan Borucki finally makes his season debut tonight at home against the Indians after numerous injuries have kept him out of the Toronto rotation…
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MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Athletics-Astros, 2 Other Monday Games
Death, taxes and regression in sports betting. In the end, everything comes back to earth. In April, May and June overs absolutely dominated, posting a 552-589 record (48.4%) and losing -65.91 units. But so far in July, unders have bounced back in a big way, going 121-105 (53.5%), +10.63 units.
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Wilson: Which Teams are Worth a Bet to Make the 2019-20 College Football Playoff?
Predicting the College Football Playoff can be just as tough as picking a national champion. The College Football Playoff selection committee has changed members and chairmen over the years, but remains constant in its filter of teams to compete in the semifinals. This year the Peach Bowl and Fiesta Bowl will host the semifinals with…
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Wilson’s 2019 MAC Betting Guide: High Expectations For A First Time MACtion Winner
The list of accolades include a Big 12 Championship, two time Big 12 coach of the year and four MAC East division titles. Ohio head coach Frank Solich has had achieved plenty in his career that began at an Omaha high school in 1967. The one missing accomplishment on his resume is a MAC championship.
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Sunday Night Baseball Betting Guide: Can Red-Hot Nationals Close Divisional Gap vs. Braves?
Sunday Night Baseball Betting Odds: Nationals at Braves Nationals odds: +135 Braves odds: -145 Over/Under: 11 Probable starters: Joe Ross vs. Kevin Gausman First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET on ESPN >> All odds as of 12 p.m. ET. Download the free Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/21: Can Giants’ Conner Menez Top Mets in MLB Debut?
We could be in for a relatively chalky Sunday, with six favorites listed at -190 or higher on the board. Though I see a lot of line value in the market, I was pretty hesitant about selecting many of the potential moneyline plays — I don’t like most of the matchups. That being said, the…
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NASCAR Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Matchup Odds, Picks: Is Paul Menard Worth a Bet?
The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series is set for one of its shortest races of the year with the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway (NHMS) at 3 p.m. ET. The outright bets for today’s race are pretty tough to call, but there is plenty of head-to-head value. The key statistical predictors for…
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NASCAR Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 Betting Odds, Picks: The Lone Long-Shot Worth Betting
NASCAR makes its way to New England for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway (NHMS). This marks the fourth race of the Cup Series season at a short, flat track.
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2019 British Open Final Round Betting Roundtable: Can Shane Lowry Be Caught?
The 2019 British Open concludes on Sunday morning (earlier than usual) and Shane Lowry is the one to catch at 16-under par. Lowry, who will head into the final round as the odds-on favorite, owns a four-stroke lead over Tommy Fleetwood, who sits alone in second place. As we head into Sunday, our golf experts…
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Sobel’s British Open Final Round Matchups: Stenson or Spieth in the Weather?
With potentially heavy rains and high winds providing an advantage to earlier starters in Sunday’s final round of The Open, we can at least examine head-to-head matchups within pairings, where neither side will have an edge. Let’s get right to my three favorites for the final day.
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/20: Can Diamondbacks, Greinke, Pass the Brewers in Wild Card Hunt?
Just 10 days out from the unitary July 31 trading deadline, the Arizona Diamondbacks stand at 50-48 with a +71 run differential, the second-best scoring differential in the National League. With a win on Saturday, the Diamondbacks will pass the Brewers (51-48) in the wild card standings, and they could have hold of an NL…
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British Open Expert Picks: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for the Final Round at Royal Portrush
The Final Round of the 2019 Open Championship begins at 2:32 a.m. ET on Sunday and even though Shane Lowry is the odds-on favorite to lift the Claret Jug, there’s plenty to talk about heading into the final round at Royal Portrush. The weather will certainly play a big factor (in fact it already has), and…
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Cardinals-Reds Over/Under Drawing Sharp Action Saturday
Saturday’s slate, as it generally does, offers bettors a variety of start times from which to choose, as first pitches range from 1 to 9 p.m. ET. But just because they can bet early doesn’t mean that sharps necessarily are. In fact, the game drawing the most professional action on Saturday starts at 7:10 p.m. ET. Miles…
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MLB Expert Predictions for Saturday: Our Favorite Bets, Including Marlins at Dodgers
Evan Abrams: Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Rick Porcello (7-7, 5.36 ERA) vs. Tom Eschelman (0-1, 5.06 ERA) Red Sox Moneyline: -215 Home Moneyline: +195 Over/Under: 12 First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET On Friday night, the Orioles beat up on the Red Sox and David Price for an 11-2 win, with Price allowing 8…
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Manny Pacquiao vs. Keith Thurman Fight Odds, Preview: Should Pac Man Be the Favorite?
Betting Odds: Manny Pacquiao vs. Keith Thurman Pacquiao odds: -170 Thurman odds: +145 Over/Under: 11.5 Rounds (-330/+260) Time: Approx. 11 p.m. ET Location: MGM Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada TV: FOX PPV After about six months of chatter, Manny “Pac Man” Pacquiao (61-7-2, 39 KO) and Keith “One Time” Thurman (29-0, 22 KO) will meet in Las Vegas at the MGM Grand…
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Sobel’s Round 3 Matchup Preview: Will Jon Rahm Make a Charge?
We’re onto Round 3 at the 2019 Open Championship and there’s plenty left to play for. The leaderboard is bunched and features a great mix of big names, grinders and first-time contenders. Let’s take a look at a trio of matchups for Round 3, all of which feature big favorites:
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British Open Expert Picks: Our Staff’s Favorite Bets for Round 3 at Royal Portrush
Welcome to moving day at Royal Portrush. Even though Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods failed to make the cut, the leaderboard is still stacked with big names.
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MLB Expert Predictions for Friday: Our Favorite Bets, Including Marlins at Dodgers
Collin Wilson: San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs Eric Lauer (5-7, 4.04 ERA) vs. Jon Lester (9-6, 3.74 ERA) Padres Moneyline: +152 Cubs Moneyline: -165 Over/Under: 12.5 First pitch: 2:20 p.m. ET From his season totals it would seem Eric Lauer cannot be trusted, as his ERA is eclipsed by an xFIP of 4.67. The…
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Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/19: Can Beede, Giants Slide Past deGrom?
The Padres and Cubs have a somewhat random 2:20 p.m. ET game on Friday, amidst an otherwise full night slate of games. The afternoon contest features an extremely high total (12.5) due to the winds blowing out at Wrigley Field. Despite the presence of an under-favoring umpire, Dan Bellino (56.7% under, +24.96 units) and my…