Category: Politics

As candidates endorsed by former President Donald Trump performed poorly in midterm elections relative to expectations this week, Trump’s presidential election odds for 2024 have dropped precipitously. While Trump had been the odds-on betting favorite to win the 2024 presidential election across the market — over incumbent President Joe Biden — he has since been…

2022 Senate Election Betting Odds The Democrats have become the odds-on favorite to retain the Senate majority after making a heavy move last week. It’s the first time in the last three months that the center-left party has been in the lead, according to PredictIt, a non-profit political betting operator and the only way to…

Odds to Win 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Odds via DraftKings (Ontario). Probability with the vig removed. Learn more about how sports betting odds work here. Candidate Odds Probability Donald Trump +250 20.55% Ron DeSantis +300 17.98% Joe Biden +550 11.07% Kamala Harris +1200 5.53% Mike Pence +1400 4.8% Nikki Haley +2500 2.77% Pete Buttigieg +2500…

According to the latest data from a European betting exchange market, former President Donald Trump currently has the best chance to win the 2024 presidential election. Trump, who lost the 2020 election to Democratic nominee Joe Biden, is listed at +275 American odds to become the president once again. President Biden is +550. The other…

2021 NYC Mayor Odds Odds as of Tuesday morning and via Betfair. New to betting? Learn more about American odds here. Candidate Odds Probability Eric Adams -200 52.05% Kathryn Garcia +350 17.35% Andrew Yang +700 9.76% Maya Wiley +1000 7.1% Scott Stringer +1600 4.59% Shaun Donovan +2500 3.00% Ray McGuire +3300 2.30% Curtis Silwa +3300…

NYC 2021 Mayoral Election Odds Candidate Odds Implied Probability Andrew Yang -250 57.0% Eric Adams +500 13.3% Scott Stringer +900 8.0% Maya Wiley +1200 6.2% Ray McGuire +1400 5.4% Kathryn Garcia +1600 4.7% Shaun Donovan +2500 3.0% Max Rose +10000 0.8% Curtis Sliwa +10000 0.8% Donald Trump +10000 0.8% Odds as of Friday, April 4,…

Georgia Senate Odds: Perdue vs. Ossoff Candidate Odds Implied Probability David Perdue (Republican) OFF N/A Jon Ossoff (Democrat) OFF N/A Georgia Senate Odds: Loeffler vs. Warnock Candidate Odds Implied Probability Kelly Loeffler (Republican) OFF N/A Raphael Warnock (Democrat) OFF N/A Odds as of Tuesday, Jan. 5 and via European sportsbook Betfair. If you’re new to…

Some sportsbooks have paid out Joe Biden bettors after electoral college voters made Biden’s victory official on Monday. 2020 Election Odds Candidate Odds Percent Chance Joe Biden OFF OFF Donald Trump OFF OFF Odds as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Saturday and via European sportsbook Betfair. Note that the implied probabilities do not include the…

All the major news networks called Joe Biden as the President elect of the United States late Saturday morning. But the European sportsbook that likely has taken the most bets in the world on this election is keeping its markets open. (It has Biden as a massive -3333 favorite.) Betfair has taken in $714 million…

Swing State Election Odds Saturday, 12 p.m. ET It’s over. Joe Biden is the President-Elect of the United States. Most media outlets called Pennsylvania for Biden on Saturday morning, giving him 273 electoral votes, enough to clinch the presidency. This tracker will be retired for now. _PromoID=[5113,5114] Friday, 9 a.m. ET Early Friday morning, Joe…

Swing State Election Odds We’re tracking all the latest odds movement for key swing states at Betfair.  Never Bet Alone: Download The Action Network App for live odds & scores, picks from experts & your friends, and live win probabilities on all your bets. Friday, 9 a.m. ET Early Friday morning, Joe Biden took the…

2020 Election Odds Candidate Odds Percent Chance Donald Trump +470 17.1% Joe Biden -556 82.9% Odds as of 10:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday and via European exchange Betfair. Note that the implied probabilities do not include the tax the book charges. Election Day Odds Updates 10:45 a.m. ET Joe Biden has taken a commanding lead in…

Win a share of $100,000 in DraftKings’ FREE Presidential Election Pool! 2020 Senate Odds Party Odds Percent Chance Democrat Majority (51+ seats) +100 44.9% Republican Majority (51+ seats) +275 24.0% No Majority (50/50) +188 31.1% Odds updated as of Nov. 3 and via European sportsbook Betfair. If you’re new to betting, Republican’s +275 odds mean…

Check out our Election Day Odds Tracker for real-time updates on the latest movement in the market. Updated 2020 Election Odds Candidate Odds Percent Chance Joe Biden -227 66.6% Donald Trump +188 33.3% Odds updated as of Nov. 2 and via European sportsbook Betfair. If you’re new to betting, Donald Trump’s +188 odds mean a…

Like so many pundits, Paul Krishnamurty heard it in 2016. He was criticized, along with TV reporters, forecasters and every other pundit who got it wrong. He just didn’t see Donald Trump coming. Today, the political betting analyst for European sportsbook and betting exchange Betfair is staking his entire reputation as a political gambling authority…

After months and months of speculation, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has finally made his Vice President choice: Kamala Harris. Harris, a Senator from California since 2017, is a well-known political figure and ran against Biden earlier this year for President. She dropped out early after failing to amass public support in the early states…

Odds To Be Joe Biden’s VP Pick Candidate Odds Implied Probability Kamala Harris -175 63.7% Susan Rice +333 23.1% Karen Bass +1000 9.1% Tammy Duckworth +1300 7.7% Elizabeth Warren +1400 6.7% Val Demings +2000 4.7% Michelle Obama +2500 3.8% Gretchen Whitmer +3300 2.9% Hillary Clinton +3300 2.9% Keisha Lance Bottoms +6600 1.5% _PromoID=[5113, 5114] Odds…

When it comes to volatility, there might not be anything more unstable than American politics. The political landscape seems to change on a weekly basis, including the list of candidates presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has on the short list to become his vice presidential running mate. Biden has not changed his tune when…

I enjoy following politics and often write updates on the political betting market here at The Action Network. There were many to write earlier in the year, especially as the Democratic primary race heated up and Joe Biden over-performed in South Carolina and then Super Tuesday. But the most notable thing about the political betting…

While politics isn’t legal stateside in the U.S. — West Virginia learned that lesson the hard away a couple weeks ago — for European books it’s a very robust market. Our own Darren Rovell reported back at the beginning of March, in fact, that not having political betting for this year’s election will cost sportsbooks…

Party Odds Implied Probability Democrats -300 70.9% Republicans +225 29.1% Odds as of Wednesday, April 1 and via European sportsbook Ladbrokes. If you’re new to betting, -300 odds mean a $300 bet would net $100 with a win. You can also covert odds using our Betting Odds Calculator. Note that the implied probabilities are vig-free. In…

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to shift the world, including betting markets for the 2020 presidential election. As New York governor Andrew Cuomo continues to combat the coronavirus outbreak across his state, European sportsbook Betfair has added odds for him to win the Democratic nomination as well as the general election. Let’s take a quick look…

Joe Biden has all but locked up the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination, putting together another impressive Tuesday sweep against rival Bernie Sanders. The former vice president rolled to wins in Arizona, Florida and Illinois to give him a 1,185 to 855 delegate lead over the Vermont senator. Biden needs just over 46% of the remaining…

2020 Senate Election Odds Scenario Odds Implied Probability Republicans to have over 50 seats -150 54.5% Republicans to have under 50 seats +200 30.3% Republicans to have exactly 50 seats +500 15% Odds as of Friday, March 20 and via European sportsbook Ladbrokes. If you’re new to betting, -150 odds mean a $150 bet would net…

Monday Update 12:30 p.m. ET: For the first time this cycle, Donald Trump is no longer the betting favorite to win the 2020 presidential election. Trump’s betting odds at European sportsbook Betfair have steadily declined since Super Tuesday, with his implied probability of winning falling from 50.2% to 43.1%. That means Joe Biden is now…

Americans will get a taste of political betting tonight, as DraftKings has taken the break of having no sports by developing a free-to-play game surrounding tonight’s Democratic Presidential Primary Debate. Since the game is free-to-play, it falls under Daily Fantasy Laws, which means that the state gaming control boards that regulate betting don’t have to…

This was supposed to be Selection Sunday. I was supposed to be preparing my NCAA Tournament simulations and begin writing my mega bracket breakdown. Let this be a reminder that we should never take anything for granted. With the Covid-19 pandemic making landfall in America, we’ll each have to do our part to get through…

Sunday Afternoon Update 2 p.m. ET:  Democratic primary odds have held steady since the latest round of primaries and caucuses, with Joe Biden still a heavy -2500 favorite (bet $2,500 to win $100) to win the nomination according to European book Betfair. Biden’s victories this past Tuesday boosted his odds from -1000 to -2500, or…

As the election and news cycle continue to evolve at a fast pace, so do Donald Trump’s odds for reelection. Heading into Super Tuesday (March 3), Trump was a -162 favorite to win the 2020 presidential election (bet $162 to win $100) according to the European sportsbook Betfair — a 52.6% implied probability. Now 10…

Tuesday Update Noon ET: The 2020 Democratic Primary marches on with six states voting in primaries or caucuses on Tuesday, March 10: Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota and Washington. With 352 delegates up for grabs — or 8.8% of the 3,979 total — Joe Biden will look to extend his lead (664) over Bernie…

Tuesday Update 11:50 a.m. ET: The 2020 Democratic Primary marches on with six states voting in primaries or caucuses on Tuesday, March 10: Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota and Washington. With 352 delegates up for grabs — or 8.8% of the 3,979 total — Joe Biden will look to extend his lead (664) over…

Just a few days ago, there were six legitimate candidates chasing the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination. Now, we are down to a new front-runner in former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. Defections of Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Mike Bloomberg and Elizabeth Warren in the past week have led the Democrats to…

In just 48 hours, the entire complexion of the Democratic Primary race changed. Former Vice President Joe Biden overperformed polling this past Saturday and easily won South Carolina after struggling through the first three states in the race: Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada. That surge apparently pushed out fellow moderates in the race in Pete…

Four states have already voted for the 2020 Democratic Primary, and 14 more will join the party on Super Tuesday: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia. It’s the biggest voting day on the primary schedule, and 1,357 of the 3,979 total delegates (34.1%) will be…

There are few things as exciting as Super Tuesday in the world of American politics. And this time around, it’s the Democratic party in the spotlight after a tumultuous 72-hour period that was highlighted by a Joe Biden resurrection in South Carolina and three candidates suspending their campaigns. Biden defied the odds Saturday and scored…

Well, the Democratic primary race changed quickly. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders was a clear favorite yesterday: He leads the field entering Super Tuesday in delegates, and he looked to be a favorite to win a majority today. But former VP Joe Biden has seen a massive surge in odds overnight and early Tuesday morning. Biden…

Four states have already voted for the 2020 Democratic Primary, and 14 more will join the party on Super Tuesday: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia. It’s the biggest voting day on the primary schedule, and 1,357 of the 3,979 total delegates (34.1%) will be…

It’s November 1916 and there’s a betting frenzy over who will be President of the United States. Within days of the election, Supreme Court Justice Charles Evan Hughes, the Republican, has gone from the prohibitive favorite to the underdog, when word of support for Woodrow Wilson spreads. Along with the sentiment of who’s going to…

Despite winning the most delegates in the Iowa caucus and finishing second in New Hampshire, Pete Buttigieg suspended his presidential campaign on Sunday night. The South Bend mayor’s abrupt departure is a shock before Super Tuesday, meaning the odds have shifted for the nomination. Bernie Sanders remains the frontrunner heading into this week’s slate of…

After struggling to find traction among voters in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada, Joe Biden surged to a convincing victory in the South Carolina primary on Saturday night. The result will likely revitalize the former vice president’s campaign and will intensify an already polarized Democratic race. The candidates now enter Super Tuesday, where over 30%…

The stakes have been crystal clear for Joe Biden heading into Saturday’s South Carolina Democratic primary. This is the state where the former vice president and his campaign need to win and anything less would effectively end any real chance of him becoming the party’s nominee. Biden entered this week as a slight underdog to…

Updated 2020 Democratic Primary Odds (10 p.m. ET) According to the betting market, the winner of the South Carolina debate on Tuesday night was former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg, who saw his chances to win the Democratic Primary rise from 20.5% to 24.2%. Senator Bernie Sanders remains the odds-on favorite after taking on critics…

As of late Saturday night, the Associated Press and other news outlets are projecting Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders to win the Nevada caucuses. The result wasn’t surprising to those following the betting market, which listed him prior to today as a -700 to -800 favorite (implied probability approaching 90%). With Nevada wrapped up, the Democratic…

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders received the most votes in both Iowa and New Hampshire — the first two states to caucus and vote for the 2020 Democratic Primary — and the betting markets think he’s a large favorite to achieve the same result this weekend. Nevada is the third state in the Democratic Primary calendar,…

If you last tuned into the Democratic Primary race a month or so ago, you are probably expecting former Vice President Joe Biden to be leading. Ah, how fast things can change in the political world. As of Thursday, Feb. 20, Bernie Sanders is the current favorite in the betting market to win the nomination…

Whether you’re a seasoned wiseguy or a casual bettor, we all have an empty feeling with football being over. But that doesn’t mean the sweat ends. With prop betting in the air, it’s time to turn our attention to the next big event. You guessed it, the State of the Union. 2020 Democratic Primary Odds:…

It’s officially 2019, which means the world of politics will now turn its eyes on the 2020 Presidential race. It’s very rare for an incumbent president to be successfully challenged in his party’s own primary, so it’s no surprise to see President Donald Trump with an implied probability of around 80% to be the Republican’s…

Late Thursday night, BuzzFeed dropped a major bombshell that has caused Donald Trump impeachment odds to rise. According to multiple sources, Trump told his former personal attorney Michael Cohen to lie to congress about the Trump Tower Moscow project and also set up a meeting in Russia with Vladimir Putin during the 2016 presidential campaign.…

Tuesday night, President Trump made his first prime-time Oval Office address to the nation. Sportsbooks across the market posted a variety of prop bets ranging from whether or not Trump would declare a state of emergency at the southern border, how long his speech would last and even what color tie he would wear. However,…

For those of you who ignore politics at all costs (honestly, who could blame you), the U.S. government has now been shut down for 18 days. Democrats and Republicans remain at an impasse over how to reopen the government, with the sticking point being whether or not to pay for President Trump’s long-promised border wall.…

The dust has settled on the 2018 Midterm Elections. Unlike in 2016, the bookmakers nailed it, with Democrats winning the House and Republicans retaining control of the Senate, just as the odds predicted. However, the post-Midterm Election buzz quickly evaporated on Wednesday afternoon when President Trump shocked the political world by firing his oft-maligned Attorney…

The 2018 Midterm Elections are finally over, which means the political betting market will now set its sight on the 2020 Presidential Election. On the Republican side of things, the betting market predictably didn’t shift much: Sitting presidents almost always seek a second term, and thus President Donald Trump is the current favorite in betting…

Happy Midterm Election Day! We have covered the politics betting market extensively over the past several months, and we just released the closing odds for almost all races being decided tonight. But there’s more: oddsmakers was kind enough to supply us with betting percentages for several key races, so let’s highlight some interesting ones. 2018…

Happy Midterm Election Day! For months, we’ve been tracking the Midterm Election betting odds in an attempt to determine which party will win the House and Senate, along with several key state Senate and Governor’s races. Today, we find out who wins. It's Election Day in America. Find out where to vote: https://t.co/X7wkF0xFXh pic.twitter.com/9Wo2zoCmNe —…

In case you haven’t heard, tomorrow is Midterm Election Day in America. All across the country, millions of voters will be flocking to the polls to elect our next group of political leaders. As it stands now, Democrats are listed as -300 favorites to win the House (75% chance), while Republicans are -450 favorites to…

Florida, the third-most populous state in the U.S., has a little-known measure on its November ballot, which could shape the future of sports betting legislation in the Sunshine State. Amendment 3 — or “Voter Control of Gambling in Florida,” as it will appear on the ballot — has some deep-pocketed backers and detractors. Here’s everything…

Andrew Gillum, current Mayor of Tallahassee, Florida, has gained popularity over the past year on social media and is considered one of the up-and-coming stars of the Democratic party. He is currently running for Governor of Florida against Republican nominee Ron DeSantis, who is a former U.S. Representative from Florida’s 6th district. Some context on…

This Tuesday, tens of millions of Americans will head to the polls to cast their ballots in the 2018 Midterm Elections. At The Action Network, we’ve been tracking the betting odds for months, focusing on which party will win the House and the Senate, as well as individual state-by-state races. As we enter the final…

We’re heading down the home stretch for the 2018 midterm elections. With fewer than three weeks to go until Nov. 6, bookmakers are posting new prop bets and adjusting their odds based on updated polling and the action they’re taking in. The biggest question heading into November: Which party will control the House and Senate?…

On Nov. 6, millions of Americans will head to the polls to vote in the midterm elections. Historically, midterm elections are viewed as a referendum on the President, with the party out of power almost always performing better than the party in power. Currently, Republicans control the Senate 51-49. In order to win control of…

On PredictIt, a politics prediction marketplace, users can buy shares of either side of a betting prop. This weekend, with the “Which party will win the U.S. Senate race in Tennessee in 2018?” prop, Republicans were trading at 77 cents. As of Monday evening, it had dipped down to 69 cents. One potential reason for…

On Thursday morning, the FBI wrapped up its week-long investigation into sexual assault allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. According to the White House, the report found no corroborating evidence of sexual misconduct by Kavanaugh — which all but guarantees that his nomination will move forward and that he will be confirmed. White House…

The 2018 midterm elections are just a little more than a month away, so let’s take a look at how a variety of betting and prediction markets peg the upcoming Senate races. Some context: It’s a brutal map this election cycle for Democrats, who will have only 23 seats that are not up for election. Republicans,…

Texas Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke has been gaining steam in the media for his grassroots campaign against incumbent Ted Cruz. He’s close in the polling, but this from the Washington Post speaks to the odds against him: “No Democrat has won a statewide race in Texas in 24 years, which the Associated Press says is…

Political followers and bettors alike witnessed a whirlwind roller coaster like no other yesterday when Brett Kavanaugh and his accuser, Christine Blasey Ford, took the stand on Capitol Hill. Blasey Ford testified first before the Senate Judiciary Committee. As she explained her sexual assault allegations in detail, the betting market was pummeled with anti-Kavanaugh action.…

Thursday was a whirlwind day on Capitol Hill, with Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford both taking the stand before the Senate Judiciary Committee. During Ford’s testimony, in which she accused Kavanaugh of sexually assaulting her, we saw the betting market change in a hurry. Kavanaugh’s odds to be confirmed dipped from…

On Thursday, the Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court saga reached a tipping point as Kavanaugh’s accuser, Christine Blasey Ford, gave her much-anticipated testimony to the Senate Judiciary Committee. In front of a national television audience, Blasey Ford painstakingly detailed her sexual assault allegations against Kavanaugh. According to many viewers across the political spectrum, Blasey Ford gave…