Finally, the non-spoiled, long-awaited, potentially all-time great WNBA Finals between the Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty is upon us. That means it’s time to dive into WNBA Finals player props for Game 1 with picks for players on both the Aces and Liberty.
Coming off a 6-1 week, here are our WNBA player props records as they stand.
- WNBA season: 46-29
- WNBA since August 8: 32-12
- WNBA playoffs: 14-6
We begin Game 1 props from each team, and if you read my full WNBA Finals outlook or A’ja Wilson focused prop piece, you might have an idea of where I’m headed.
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WNBA Finals Player Prop Picks for Game 1
In the table below, you’ll find each of our WNBA staff’s top player prop picks for Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 3:00 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”New York Liberty” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/wnba/100/nyl.png” text=”Betnijah Laney”][/teammatchup] |
| 3:00 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Las Vegas Aces” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” text=”A’ja Wilson”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Liberty vs. Aces” center=”true”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”wnba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/wnba/100/nyl.png” awayname=”New York Liberty” awayslug=”” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” homename=”Las Vegas Aces” homeslug=”” date=”Sunday, Oct. 8″ time=”3:00 p.m. ET” network=”ABC”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Betnijah Laney” subtext=”Over 16.5 Points (-115)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/wnba/100/nyl.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/256064_caesars_800x200.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/caesars-sportsbook” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
This is very simple in my opinion.
Betnijah Laney has scored 16+ points in 12 of her last 16 games. If this elevates to 16.5, where it is on DraftKings for -110, that trend remains the same, because Laney’s scored 17 or more in 12 of 16 as well, given that she hasn’t finished with exactly 16 points at all.
Laney’s been excellent, and I simply refuse to fade her right now.
She’s scored at least 15 points in 13 of 16 games, and in every single one of those games, she’s shot the ball a minimum of ten times. The volume alone has helped her consistently clear that number as of late, and at the very least, should get her within striking distance.
Laney was arguably the team’s most consistent player in the conference finals, and she’ll often be the team’s fourth-offensive option, which should provide plenty of scoring opportunities for her. Shortly before tipoff, you can actually get this line at 15.5 at FanDuel — and if you do, make sure to use our FanDuel promo code.
[quickslip picktext=”Pick: Betnijah Laney Over 16.5 Points (-115)” linktext=”Bet Laney Instantly With QuickSlip!” link=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v1/deeplink?marketId=42.398511728&selectionId=7017824&context=qs-articles” linkfollow=”false” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png”][/quickslip]
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[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Liberty vs. Aces” center=”true”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”wnba” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/wnba/100/nyl.png” awayname=”New York Liberty” awayslug=”” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” homename=”Las Vegas Aces” homeslug=”” date=”Sunday, Oct. 8″ time=”3:00 p.m. ET” network=”ABC”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”A’ja Wilson” subtext=”Under 10.5 Rebounds (-130)” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/757250_Aces.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/draftkings” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
A’ja Wilson’s season-high in rebounds against the Liberty is eight, which she has gotten to twice in five matchups against New York.
I’m assuming that, at some point, she’s going to pop for at least a game or two in this series because she is that awesome, but against a Liberty frontcourt duo of Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones, we can’t reasonably expect 11-rebound games from Wilson, regardless of her recent play, which includes three 11 or better-rebounding efforts in five playoff outings.
I wrote about the idea of fading Wilson’s points and rebounds during the series, but between the two, I think the boards may actually be harder to come by. To me, if the Aces are going to win the series, it’ll be with effective perimeter jump shooting foremost, unless Wilson goes nuclear against the team that’s provided her with the most issues in 2023.
[quickslip picktext=”Pick: A’ja Wilson Under 10.5 Rebounds (-130)” linktext=”Fade Wilson Instantly With QuickSlip!” link=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v1/deeplink?marketId=42.398511722&selectionId=7017824&context=qs-articles” linkfollow=”false” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png”][/quickslip]
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