Three sharp systems in Bet Labs all match on a pick for Sun vs. Lynx on WNBA Sunday. Two, in particular, have achieved a 62% success rate on past picks since we started tracking.
WNBA Sunday features five intriguing matchups, but the marquee game pits the league’s worst team against the best record-wise: the Connecticut Sun visiting the Minnesota Lynx at 7 p.m. ET.
The Lynx enter as the largest favorites of the slate, roughly 20-point favorites. The over/under, meanwhile, is 153.5 points.
Here’s where Action PRO betting models show tons of betting value on a Sun vs. Lynx prediction.
WNBA Odds, Picks Sunday: Predictions for Sun vs Lynx (June 29)
PRO Systems and trends through Bet Labs are proprietary betting angles featuring rigorously backtested trends and situational trends designed to identify value where the public might be getting it wrong.
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For Sunday’s Sun vs. Lynx game, PRO Systems actually aligns behind the underdog Connecticut Sun to cover the large spread despite their recent struggles. The Sun have been double-digit underdogs in three straight games and have lost by margins of 16, 24, and 26 points, respectively.
Evan Abrams, PRO’s director of research, identified three separate models that support betting the Sun to cover:
- “Bet Bad Teams Off Loss as Big Dogs” (59% win rate): This system leverages the tendency for the public to overreact to recent losses by bad teams when they are big underdogs. After a modest defeat, markets often inflate spreads, assuming continued blowouts, but these teams frequently battle harder in the follow-up game, keeping the margin closer than expected.
- “Bet Bad Teams as Big Dogs after Non-Close Loss” (62% win rate): Similar to the above, this strategy focuses specifically on teams coming off losses by more than seven points. The market’s negative reaction often drives the spread beyond fair value, especially when the underdog is +11.5 points.
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“Big Dogs on Road Trip” (62% win rate): This system targets large underdogs (11.5+ points) on the road, on losing stretches away from home. It accounts for market overvaluation of road fatigue and travel woes. These inflated spreads regularly provide value when teams stabilize mid-trip and respond competitively.
Though not the most attractive prediction on paper, it’s a suggested bet on the Sun to cover the spread Sunday.
PRO Systems Pick: Sun to Cover
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