The Dallas Wings (1-10) and Las Vegas Aces (4-4) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on ION.
Let’s get into my Wings vs. Aces prediction and WNBA picks.
The Aces are favored by -6 on the spread, with the over/under set at 170.5 (-107o / -110u). The Aces are a -265 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +210 to pull off the upset.
Wings vs. Aces Odds, Pick
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- Wings vs. Aces Spread: Aces -6 (-111 ), Wings +6 (-109)
- Wings vs. Aces Over/Under: 170.5 (-107o / -110u)
- Wings vs. Aces Moneyline: Wings +210, Aces -265
- Wings vs. Aces Best Bet: An Over/Under Play
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The Aces are coming off back-to-back disappointing losses to the Sparks and Valkyries and may be without star A’ja Wilson, who is doubtful, for tonight’s contest.
On the other side, the Wings have lost six straight, but rookie Paige Bueckers is coming off a stellar 35-point performance. Can Bueckers carry the Wings to an upset over the Aces? Will Dallas at least keep it close?
Let’s dive into how I’m betting tonight’s game.
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If Wilson is out, I really love this play.
I’m on Dallas and I’m on this game’s over.
The on-off stuff, this defense hasn’t been great overall, but with Wilson on the court, they’re at 99.8 points per 100 possessions.
You know, what the average defense at this year? 99.2. So, they’re right around average. However, with Wilson off the court, Las Vegas’ defensive rating drops to 125.6. That’s like comically worse.
It’s a small sample because we are early in the season and Wilson plays a lot of minutes, but that’s still an absurd number.
She’s leading the league in steals plus blocks per game right now and is a very, very good defender on a very, very shaky defense.
On the other side, Dallas has the third-worst defensive rating and is allowing the third-most points per game allowed. I think this total, honestly, is one where it’s going to be tough for the market to catch up to where I’m picturing this.
With Wilson out, there are some players who can step up and score, but defensively, I think it’s going to be a disaster.
Best Bet: Over 170.5
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