The Golden State Valkyries (2-4) and Phoenix Mercury (5-3) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at PHX Arena in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Mercury are favored by -6.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 157 (-110o / -110u). The Mercury are a -258 favorite to win outright, while the Valkyries are +210 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get into my Valkyries vs. Mercury prediction and WNBA picks.
[quickslipbasic bookname=”BetMGM” booklogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” image=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2025/06/Screenshot-2025-06-05-at-8.27.35%E2%80%AFAM.png” buttontext=”Tail This Pick Instantly” buttonlink=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML1609565587&context=qs-articles”][/quickslipbasic]
Valkyries vs. Mercury Odds, Pick
[gamematchup league=”wnba” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/376325_valkyries.png” awayname=”Valkyries” awayslug=”-” homelogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/207903_Mercury.png” homename=”Mercury” homeslug=”-” date=”Thursday, June 5, 2025″ time=”10:00 p.m. EDT” network=”Amazon Prime Video” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+6.5″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”-6.5″ col1homeline= “-110″ col2awaytext=”157″ col2hometext=”157″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+210″ col3hometext=”-258″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”BetMGM” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/902516_MGM2.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gamematchup]
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Spread: Mercury -6.5 (-110 ), Valkyries +6.5 (-110)
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Over/Under: 157 (-110o / -110u)
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Moneyline: Valkyries +210, Mercury -258
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Best Bet: Mercury -6.5
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Valkyries vs. Mercury Preview” subtext=”” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/376325_valkyries.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/207903_Mercury.png” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]
The Mercury, fresh off a road loss to the Lynx, look to get back on track as they host the Valkyries on Thursday night. Phoenix is 4-1 at home this season and led by Satou Sabally, who is averaging 20.5 points and 8.1 rebounds per game this season.
Meanwhile, Golden State has lost three in a row but has played well in its first season of existence. The Valkyries, led by Kayla Thornton’s 12 points per game, are 1-2 on the road
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Valkyries vs. Mercury Prediction” subtext=”” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]
This system targets WNBA favorites with a spread between -9.5 and -6, specifically in the regular season.
These games fall into a closing total range between 145 and 165, signaling matchups expected to feature a relatively high, but not runaway pace. By focusing on teams coming off a loss by a narrow to significant margin, the system filters for bounce-back opportunities where talent and market pressure align.
It aims to exploit situations where elite teams are undervalued due to recent underperformance, yet remain in control within fast-paced, competitive environments.
Overall, this system is 41-21-1 (66%) with a 26% ROI.
Best Bet: Mercury -6.5
_InlineAdBlock
[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/736824_ActionPRO_promo_1500x844.jpg” cta=”Premium picks, tools & analysis” firstupsell=”Track & follow smart money” secondupsell=”Biggest player prop edges” thirdupsell=”Real-time expert pick alerts” buttontext=”SAVE 66% NOW!” buttonurl=”/pricing”][/procard]