The Los Angeles Sparks (3-7) and Las Vegas Aces (4-3) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on CBS Sports Network.
Let’s get into my Sparks vs. Aces prediction and WNBA pick.
The Aces are favored by -10 on the spread, with the over/under set at 167.5 (-105o / -112u). The Aces are a -550 favorite to win outright, while the Sparks are +410 to pull off the upset.
Sparks vs. Aces Prediction, Odds
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- Sparks vs. Aces Spread: Aces -10 (-110 ), Sparks +10 (-110)
- Sparks vs. Aces Over/Under: 167.5 (-105o / -112u)
- Sparks vs. Aces Moneyline: Sparks +410, Aces -550
- Sparks vs. Aces Best Bet: Over/Under Pick
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The Sparks have hit a rough patch and have lost four of their past five contests. Unfortunately for Los Angeles, things don’t get any easier tonight as they face the Aces, a team they lost to by 15 earlier this season.
This game may also be significant for Kelsey Plum, who leads the Sparks in scoring at 21.8 points per game, but also spent the first seven years of her career with the San Antonio/Las Vegas franchise. Plum scored 17 points in 34 minutes in the Sparks first matchup against the Aces and will look to have another big game tonight.
The Aces are also coming off a loss, but have won two of their past three. A’ja Wilson is putting together another dominant campaign, averaging 22 points, 9.9 rebounds, 2.0 steals and 2.4 blocks per game.
Both teams have hit the over more often than not this season, but tonight could be a good spot to be a bit contrarian.
The Sparks are 5-4-1 to the over this season and cashed the over in their most recent game against the Valkyries. Meanwhile, the Aces are 4-3 to the over and are also coming off an over cash against Golden State.
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Our PRO “WNBA Under After Over Streak” system is incredibly straightforward.
It simply tells us to bet the under after both teams have gone over in recent games. The market tends to overadjust and move totals upward based on those recent results, and that creates betting value on the under as we capitalize on the inflated total.
This system doesn’t pop often, but it is effective. Overall, the system is 169-137-1 (55%) and has generated an 8% ROI. Looking at just this season, the system is 2-1 with a 28% ROI.
Best Bet: Under 167.5
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