The Washington Mystics (8-8) and Dallas Wings (4-13) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. The game will be broadcast live on MNMT.
The Mystics are favored by -3 on the spread, with the over/under set at 164.5 (-110o / -110u). The Mystics are a -155 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +130 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get into my Mystics vs. Wings prediction and WNBA picks.
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Mystics vs. Wings Odds, Pick
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- Mystics vs. Wings Spread: Mystics -3 (-110), Wings +3 (-110)
- Mystics vs. Wings Over/Under: 164.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Mystics vs. Wings Moneyline: Mystics -155, Wings +130
- Mystics vs. Wings Best Bet: Under 164.5
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The Mystics are looking to extends their winning streak to four as they face a Dallas side that is coming off a loss to the Fever.
Washington has been playing much better of late, but knows better than to overlook Dallas as the Wings took the Mystics to overtime last week. In that game Paige Bueckers hit a game-tying 3 at the buzzer as part of a 20-point performance.
Bueckers, however, will not be playing tonight, as she was ruled out with a knee issue. Dallas will need to rely on Arike Ogunbowale to pick up the slack.
Also of note, both these teams cashed the over in their most-recent game, which brings us to tonight’s system play.
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This system is pretty straightforward. It simply tells us to bet the under after both teams have gone over the total in recent games. It exploits the fact that the market tends to averadjust totals based on recent trends, which provides value in betting against the inflated number.
Overall, the “WNBA Under After Over Streak” system has generated a 7% ROI and is 171-139-1 (55%). This season, the systems is 4-3 (57%), which has resulted in a 9% ROI.
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Best Bet: Under 164.5
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