The Phoenix Mercury (7-4) and Las Vegas Aces (5-4) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on Vegas 34.
The Mercury are favored by -4.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 165 (-109o / -113u). The Mercury are a -205 favorite to win outright, while the Aces are +170 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get into my Mercury vs. Aces prediction and WNBA picks.
Mercury vs. Aces Odds, Pick
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- Mercury vs. Aces Spread: Mercury -4.5 (-110), Aces +4.5 (-110)
- Mercury vs. Aces Over/Under: 165 (-109o / -113u)
- Mercury vs. Aces Moneyline: Mercury -205, Aces +170
- Mercury vs. Aces Best Bet: Satou Sabally Player Prop
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Things aren’t going quite as planned for the Aces, who have lost two of their past three and barely squeaked by the Wings in their most-recent contest.
Speaking of players returning from injuries, the Mercury are likely getting Kahleah Copper back into their rotation. Phoenix has won two of three, but is just 1-2 on the road this season.
While I don’t have a moneyline play on this game, I do think Copper’s return will impact Satou Sabally, which leads me to my — Mercury vs. Aces best bet — a player prop pick.
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Kahleah Copper is probable to make her season debut on Sunday, and the books seem to be under-adjusting for the impact that’ll have on her teammates.
Satou Sabally is averaging 31.2 points + rebounds + assists on the season and although the Aces are now a good team to rack up PRA against — especially with A’ja Wilson back — having Copper, a high-usage player, back in the lineup is bound to cut into Sabally’s PRA, especially in the first game that Phoenix’s big three are playing together. There is bound to be an adjustment period for the offense, so I’ll take Under 32.5 and would play it down to Under 28.5 at even money.
Best Bet: Satou Sabally Under 32.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-120)
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