Tag: gid-64318
-
Patriots-Chiefs Bad Beat: 38 Fourth Quarter Points Cash the over in AFC Championship Game
The talk around the AFC Championship Game all week was the weather. Forecasts called for frozen tundra-like conditions early in the week, which drove the over/under from 59.5 down to 54.5. But as we got closer to Sunday, the forecast began to clear up a bit with the temperature rising to about 21 degrees at…
-
Patriots-Chiefs Live Betting: See How Our Experts Are Wagering on the AFC Championship
Championship Sunday is here. And what better way to celebrate this showcase of football than some live betting? There’s plenty of reasons to get in on the live action, especially in games of this caliber. But we’ll let Collin Wilson take it from here: “In this day and age, it’s important to have a live betting account.…
-
Patriots-Chiefs Betting Odds: Tracking AFC Championship Game Line Moves
Patriots-Chiefs Betting Odds, Line Odds: Chiefs -3 Over/Under: 56 Time: 6:40 p.m. ET TV: CBS >> All odds as of 4:40 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets. Cold? What cold. Sunday is here, and the Patriots and Chiefs are ready to play in what will…
-
Updated Patriots-Chiefs Weather Forecast: Should Bettors Worry About Cold Temperatures?
The weather forecast for today’s AFC Championship Game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs (6:40 p.m. ET, CBS) has been one helluva ride for anyone following along throughout the week. Oddsmakers opened the Patriots-Chiefs over/under at 58.5, but early forecasts calling for kickoff temperatures in the single digits sent the total plummeting…
-
NFL Conference Championship Picks: Our Experts’ Favorite Bets for Patriots-Chiefs, Rams-Saints
Well, at least we get to follow up the first Saturday in a long time without any football with NFL Conference Championship Sunday. And what a day we have in store as the top two seeds in both the AFC and NFC will go at it with a trip to Super Bowl 53 on the…
-
Stuckey: My 10 Favorite Player Props for Rams-Saints, Patriots-Chiefs
With only three football games left until August, I know some of you won’t be able to resist betting both conference championship games on Sunday. But sometimes lines are just pretty spot on, which shouldn’t surprise anybody at this stage of the enormous NFL market — especially with four similarly rated teams. After diving in…
-
Bill Simmons’ NFL Betting Theory: Does Cold Weather Impact Playoff Over/Unders?
Stop me if you’ve heard this one before … Bill Simmons has an NFL betting theory. On the latest episode of The Bill Simmons Podcast, “The Sports Guy” and the guru of gambling, Cousin Sal, discussed the cold weather expected for Sunday’s AFC Championship game (6:40 p.m. ET, CBS). Tom Brady’s History as a Playoff Underdog:…
-
Koerner: Why the Rams-Saints Spread and Over/Under Both Offer Betting Value
Each week, I release an updated version of The Action Network’s NFL Power Rankings. These ratings mirror those used by Vegas oddsmakers and project NFL point spreads each week. Below I’ve listed each matchup with the actual consensus spread (via The Action Network App) and compared them to our numbers and added a few thoughts…
-
Best Patriots-Chiefs Player Props: Should You Trust James White as a Rusher in AFC Championship?
Sunday’s AFC Championship game features a rematch of 43-40 white knuckler, and considering the fireworks in that game, it’s no surprise that many of the best Patriots Chiefs prop bets in the Fantasy Labs Player Props Tool are leaning under. It’s a game loaded with current and future legends who the public likes to bet…
-
Stuckey: The Best NFL Teaser for Championship Sunday
Contrary to popular opinion, teasers can be a very valuable tool to bettors — but really only in the NFL as long as you follow a few basic rules of thumb. Here’s a recap of the five teaser rules that novice bettors should know (read more about all five here): Don’t ever tease across zero. Cross…
-
BlackJack’s Conference Championships Betting Preview: Picks for Rams-Saints, Patriots-Chiefs
We’re down to the Final Four, brother. These are the best four teams in football and have been for quite some time. I said months ago you could write these conference title game matchups in ink and here we sit, ready to crown conference champions. I expect some great football in both games. I can’t…
-
AFC Championship Sharp Report: Pros Betting Patriots-Chiefs Over/Under
In case you didn’t know, “sharps” aka wiseguys are professional bettors with long track records of success. They don’t bet games based on bias or gut instinct. Instead, they are 100% analytical and value-driven. Wiseguys bet numbers, not teams. When they place big wagers on a game, they force bookmakers to move the lines. AFC,…
-
Zylbert’s Patriots-Chiefs Over/Under: Is Tom Brady’s Recent Playoff Work Being Overlooked?
Betting odds: New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs Over/Under: 56 Time: 6:40 p.m. ET TV: CBS Zylbert’s 2018-19 NFL Over/Under Betting Record Regular Season: 9-8-2, Even Postseason: 1-1, -0.3 units Last Week’s Result: Colts-Chiefs Over 55 (loss) *Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit Oh man, from a quarterback standpoint,…
-
NFL Conference Championships Cheat Sheet: Betting, Fantasy, More for Rams-Saints & Patriots-Chiefs
It’s Conference Championship Sunday. Are you ready? We’ve got every angle of both games covered, from what our experts are betting to which players they’re targeting in DFS. Oh, and tons of props. And a lot, lot more you’ll want to know before placing your bets or setting your lineups. We’re also tracking the odds…
-
Patriots-Chiefs Betting Preview: Trust Mahomes to Out-Duel Brady in AFC Championship?
Betting odds: New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs Spread: Chiefs -3 (-120) Over/Under: 56 Time: Sunday, 6:40 p.m. ET TV channel: CBS >> All odds as of Sunday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets Betting Market Spread bets and dollars remain rather split for this…
-
Koerner: The ‘Most Yardage’ Props With Betting Value for NFL Conference Championships
It’s been a successful couple of weeks navigating the “most yardage” props, cashing Michael Thomas at 8-1 and Sony Michel at 9-2 (he pushed with Damien Williams) in the Divisional Round, along with Marlon Mack at 9-1 two weeks ago. Remember, we’re still providing our Action Network fantasy rankings and plenty of other DFS content and projections over…
-
NFL Conference Championship WR/CB Matchups: Does Bill Belichick Have an Answer for Tyreek Hill?
Welcome to Championship Sunday! Only four teams remain, so we’ll be able to focus on each team’s respective wide receiver and cornerback groups more than usual. Visit the FantasyLabs NFL page for more on this week’s slate. You can also view all of the week’s WR/CB matchups using our Matchups tool and check out matchup-specific stats for every NFC…
-
Patriots-Chiefs Vegas Report: Are Sportsbooks Rooting on New England Again?
LAS VEGAS — Last weekend the betting world was turned on its head when sportsbooks needed the New England Patriots to cover at home in the playoffs. The Patriots did just that in a 41-28 victory over the Chargers. “I don’t think we’ve ever needed the Patriots at home in a playoff game,” Jeff Stoneback,…
-
Win Up To $3,000 in Cash: Enter Our FREE NFL Conference Championship Contest
The NFL’s Conference Championship Round has arrived, with the Patriots facing the Chiefs and the Rams facing the Saints. We are celebrating the occasion by throwing a NFL Conference Championship props contest. Our prop contest is 100% free to enter and we’re giving away up to $3,000 to the winner. Here’s the lowdown on the contest structure:…
-
Ref Trends Bettors Need to Know for NFL Conference Championship Games
There are only four teams remaining in the NFL Playoffs. On Sunday, the New Orleans Saints will host the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Championship Game (3:05 p.m. ET, FOX), followed by the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game (6:40 p.m. ET, CBS). Bill Simmons’ NFL…
-
Koerner: How I’m Betting Travis Kelce, C.J. Anderson Props in NFL Conference Championships
We have an awesome prop tool at FantasyLabs, where we compare the player props from various sportsbooks to my projections to show where you can find the most betting value. Bets with a Bet Quality of 10 have gone 235-119 (64%) this season, so you can find some serious value. Below, I’ll dive into two props I…
-
NFL Power Ratings: Rams-Saints Spread Is Off By a Full Point
The final four is set for the NFL Playoffs with the top seeds advancing to the conference championship games. The home teams are favored to reach the Super Bowl, but are the oddsmakers overvaluing home-field advantage? By comparing the projected point spread created using The Action Network’s NFL Power Rankings to the consensus number, we…
-
NFL Conference Championship Fantasy TE Breakdown: Travis Kelce Is the Only Option
Read the full version of this piece on FantasyLabs We are just two games away from the Super Bowl, and this weekend the four best teams in football will compete to see who will advance to the big game. Although the slate consists of only two contests, they both seem likely to excite. The Saints-Rams game kicks…
-
Patriots-Chiefs AFC Championship Spread Moves Off Key Number for the First Time
All week, the weather and over/under for the Patriots-Chiefs game has been the big story. First it was going to be wicked cold, now it’s expected to be in the mid to upper 20s. Hardly even coat weather. The total went on a bit of a roller coaster ride thanks to the change in the…
-
NFL Conference Championship Fantasy QB Breakdown: Should You Play Patrick Mahomes in the Cold?
Read the full version of this piece on FantasyLabs We are just two games away from the Super Bowl, and this weekend the four best teams in football will compete to see who will advance to the big game. Although the slate consists of only two contests, they both seem likely to excite. The Saints-Rams game kicks…
-
Most Valuable Players to the Spread in NFL Conference Championship Games
One of my favorite articles each year is ESPN’s piece ranking every player in the Super Bowl from 1-106. I like lists. I think many folks do. Unfortunately, if I did that from a gambling perspective next week, there’d be about five players on it. NFL Power Ratings: Rams-Saints Spread Is Off By a Full…
-
Patriots-Chiefs Betting Odds: Latest AFC Championship Game Spread, Over/Under
Betting Odds: New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs Odds: Chiefs -3 Over/Under: 55.5 Time: 6:40 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jan. 20 TV: CBS >> All odds as of Sunday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets The Kansas City Chiefs are up to 3-point favorites against the New England Patriots for…
-
Freedman: Will Chiefs-Patriots Total Break the Arrowhead Under Trend?
If you’ve listened to The Action Network NFL Podcast or read any of our weekly NFL experts picks pieces, you probably know that it’s almost automatic for me to bet the under at Arrowhead Stadium. With head coach Andy Reid, the Chiefs have been the league’s most profitable home team for under bettors: Since 2013 (including playoffs),…
-
How Tom Brady Has Fared on the Road in the NFL Playoffs
Close your eyes and picture a memory of Tom Brady in the playoffs. I bet he’s wearing blue. Of Brady’s 30 postseason games that’s haven’t been played on a neutral site (commonly referred to as Super Bowls), only seven have come away from Foxborough. Yes, that means Brady has played in more Super Bowls than…
-
NFL Conference Championships: Scouting Every Offense, Key Matchups, More
Only four teams are still vying for the chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in Atlanta. The New Orleans Saints host the Los Angeles Rams to kick off Championship Sunday (3:05p.m. ET on FOX) followed by the New England Patriots’ road trip to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (6:40 p.m. ET…
-
Los Angeles Rams a Trendy Pick in Early NFL Conference Championship Betting
Just three football games remain in the NFL season and you better believe folks will be betting each one heavily. We’ve tracked more than 9,600 bets for Sunday’s New England Patriots-Kansas City Chiefs game, which is already more than 38 regular season games had this year. It’s only Tuesday morning. Super Bowl 53 Matchup Odds:…
-
NFL Playoffs Betting Tip: Finding Over/Under Value in Rematches From Regular Season
We’ve got two juicy NFL conference championship games this week, each of which pits non-divisional teams against one another in rematches from the regular season. Regular-season scheduling protocols assure divisional rematches each season, but never non-divisional ones. We only get to see non-divisional teams face off a second time during the playoffs. NFL Power Ratings:…
-
Weather Forecast Moves Patriots-Chiefs AFC Championship Odds … Again
From mainstream sports media outlets to right here at The Action Network, the weather for Sunday’s AFC Championship Game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs has received plenty of coverage. As recently as Tuesday, the forecast at Arrowhead Stadium was calling for temperatures around 5 degrees at kickoff, inspiring bettors to jump…
-
Highest NFL Playoff Betting Over/Unders: Where Do Rams-Saints and Patriots-Chiefs Rank All Time?
The over/under for the AFC Championship game between the Patriots and Chiefs opened at 59.5 points on Sunday afternoon. It has since been bet down to 55 due to frigid temperatures in Arrowhead Stadium. The over/under for the NFC Championship game between the Rams and Saints opened at 56 points and has since been bet up…
-
Money Flowing on Patriots-Chiefs Over/Under Thanks to Frigid Forecast
As recently as 11:25 p.m. ET Monday, just 31% of money wagered on the New England Patriots-Kansas City Chiefs total had come in on the under. At the time, the over/under sat at 57 after opening at 58.5 on Sunday afternoon. However, the early weather forecast for the AFC Championship Game started gaining attention from…
-
Updated Super Bowl 53 MVP Odds: Brady Trails Brees, Mahomes
Did anyone take Michael Thomas or Tyreek Hill at 50-1 a couple of weeks ago? You got some solid value if you did … With the field of teams down to four, quarterbacks and other star players have all seen substantial rises. More options are being added to the list, but we won’t see the…
-
Frigid Weather Forecast Dropping Patriots-Chiefs Over/Under
In last week’s NFL Divisional round, bettors got wrapped up in early-week snowstorm forecasts for New England. Andrew Siciliano tweeted about the snow on Monday, the over/under dropped from 47.5 to 45 and, shockingly, the snow forecast did not hold up. Bill Simmons’ NFL Betting Theory: Does Cold Weather Impact Playoff Over/Unders?Read now Later in…
-
Tom Brady’s History as a Playoff Underdog: The Goat Is a Pooch for Only 7th Time
With the Patriots’ dismantling of the Chargers as 4-point favorites this past Sunday, Tom Brady is now 19-18-1 against the spread in the playoffs. He’s been listed as the betting favorite in 31 of those 38 starts, going 15-15-1 ATS. (He was listed as a pick-em once in 2005.) Now Brady opens the week leading…
-
Super Bowl 53 Odds Heading Into Conference Championship Games
After a crazy Wild Card Weekend that featured all four underdogs covering, the Divisional Round was one for chalk. The Eagles did scare the Saints (and cover), but the other three home teams won and covered without much of a sweat. It’s been a pretty dramatic postseason, and now both conference’s respective top two seeds…