Tag: AMPit

This morning, I awoke to a text from an unnamed source telling me about a crazy stat he heard on Cousin Sal’s “Against All Odds” podcast. At about the 40-minute mark, they mention that 70% of last season’s player props  went under. We’re talking about season-long props, not the ones for individual games, by the…

The fantasy football season finally begins Thursday night at 8:20 p.m. ET with the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Atlanta Falcons. You’ve done your research, built your models, crafted your strategy and (hopefully) crushed your draft. Now there’s only one hurdle remaining on the path to fantasy glory: Start or Sit? Each week we crowdsource Start or…

I’ll be breaking down the top wide receiver/cornerback matchups every week throughout the 2018 NFL season. We kick the season off with data-driven analysis of Week 1’s best passing-game matchup, four potential shadow matchups and eight potential non-shadow, then round it out with a quick look at plus and minus matchups. Visit the FantasyLabs’ NFL page for…

On the latest episode of “The Three Donkeys” Podcast, Adam Levitan, Peter Jennings and Jonathan Bales held their first betting draft of the season. Each member of the show picked three bets in a snake-draft format. Whoever wins the most bets wins $100 from the other two guys. If there is a tie, the winners…

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the most well-known football pool in the world. Run by the Westgate SuperBook, contestants pick five games each week against the spread based on lines the Westgate releases on Wednesday night. Every NFL season, the SuperContest grows in size — and so does the grand prize. Last year, the…

Which tight ends have the most favorable fantasy matchups? Which ones should you fade? Here’s a breakdown of five of the top fantasy football tight ends, as ranked by Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon and Matthew Freedman in their Week 1 fantasy football rankings. The No. 1 TE Rob Gronkowski Given the wide gap in tight-end usage…

The New Orleans Saints are the biggest favorites in Week 1. According to the consensus odds, the defending NFC South champions are favored by 9.5 points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFL Week 1: A Great Time to Exploit Betting Biases from Last YearRead now The Saints won 11 games last season and finished second…

Which wide receivers have the most favorable fantasy matchups? Whom should you fade? Here’s a breakdown of five of the top fantasy football wide receivers, as ranked by Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon and Matthew Freedman in their Week 1 fantasy football rankings. The No. 1 WR Antonio Brown Unsurprisingly, our experts have Brown as the No.…

Sept. 20, 2015 … this is the last date that the New England Patriots were listed as underdogs with Tom Brady starting at quarterback. It was Week 2 of the 2015 season, 1,085 before the Patriots’ 2018 opener this Sunday. Tyrod Taylor was starting at quarterback and Rex Ryan was the head coach for the…

NFL player props can be volatile. Some of the props we discussed on The Action Network NFL Podcast just last week have moved enough where I wouldn’t bet them anymore. Fortunately, 12 of the 32 props we covered in our team previews are still “in play” for me at their current price. So if you’re…

I broke down the daily fantasy tidbits on all 32 NFL teams in our 2018 previews. Now here’s a selection of the best DFS stacks throughout the league, from Jared Goff and Todd Gurley in Los Angeles to Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. in New York. Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff + RB…

Welcome to the first installment of this season-long series that will leverage my experience as not only a fantasy analyst with a statistics background but also a high school football coach. Each week I will use my knowledge of the game to identify an aspect of an upcoming matchup that can help you set your…

An interesting narrative in Week 1 is that popular teams such as the Patriots, Cowboys and Seahawks aren’t really making much noise in the betting world this weekend. It will be interesting to monitor if those teams continue to remain out of the conversation or if this is just a Week 1 quirk. Here are some…

The season opener between the Falcons and Eagles has bettors drifting with the wind. When books opened this game, the assumption was that Philadelphia would have Carson Wentz under center. Obviously, that was incorrect as Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles will start in Week 1. Wentz being on the sidelines coupled with Foles’ less-than-stellar play…

Which running backs have the most favorable fantasy matchups? Who should you fade? Here’s a breakdown of five of the top fantasy football running backs, as ranked by Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon and Matthew Freedman in their Week 1 fantasy football rankings. The No. 1 RB Todd Gurley Gurley is our rankers’ unanimous No. 1 RB…

In the debut episode of The Action Network’s new podcast The Favorites, Bob “Scooch” Scucci, Director of Race and Sports for Boyd Gaming, joined Chad Millman and discussed line movement for Thursday’s NFL season opener between the Atlanta Falcons and Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles opened between -4.5 and -4 at most sportsbooks and the line has…

Before the NFL campaign commences Thursday evening, there’s still plenty of action to be had for all 32 clubs leading up to the first kickoff. By now, you’ve probably already locked in on all your favorite win-total bets, or maybe you’re set with a couple of futures propositions on teams you feel can go all…

Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season is finally upon us, but if you play in dynasty leagues like I do, you’ve been living and breathing fantasy football for weeks…err, months. Maybe even years. The key to success in dynasty leagues is exploiting and maximizing value. Think of your dynasty roster as your stock portfolio.…

The Patriots have routinely utilized multiple running backs during Bill Belichick’s time as head coach. This has enabled an alarming number of running backs to ball out during any given week over the years, as 17 of them have scored multiple touchdowns in a single game for the Patriots since 2000. Random three-touchdown performances from…

The Seahawks defense emerged as one of the most dominant units the league had ever seen during the past six years. Their ‘Legion of Boom’ secondary regularly caused problems for any and every passing attack, as well as for any fantasy investors who dared to test potential future Hall of Famers Richard Sherman, Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor. Per…

Which quarterbacks have the most favorable fantasy matchups? Who is the best streaming option? And whom should you fade? Here’s a breakdown of five of the top fantasy football quarterbacks, as ranked by Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon and Matthew Freedman in their Week 1 fantasy football rankings. The No. 1 QB Tom Brady The Patriots own the…

The NFL season is upon us…cue the music! This time of year, anything can happen weather-wise: 100-degree heat, thunderstorms, hurricanes … you name it. It was even snowing up in Wyoming and Montana a couple weeks back, too. I wonder why they don’t have any NFL teams out there… All the weather data below is…

All odds and percentages as of Tuesday at 3:30 p.m. ET While perusing over/unders and betting-market percentages earlier today, I noticed something odd. Generally speaking, most folks love points and understandably love taking overs. Is the NFL’s New Helmet Rule Affecting Week 1 Over/Unders?Read now There are 3,840 NFL regular-season games in our database. Here’s…

Ready to crush your office’s NFL survivor pool? Here are my recommendations for when to use all 32 teams in 2018. AFC East Buffalo Bills: Week 14 vs. NYJ Miami Dolphins: Week 9 vs. NYJ New England Patriots: Week 4 vs. MIA, Week 16 vs. BUF New York Jets: Week 2 vs. MIA, Week 12…

Last week, I scared some folks off and angered many others when I said I’ve never watched a college football game. Too bad, deal with it. You’re all going to be extra pissed when you learn that I’ve never watched an NFL game. Just kidding. I like the NFL as much of the next guy…

It is officially Week 1 in the NFL. Lines have been available for months, but with games mere days away, public action is hitting the market. By comparing projected point spreads using The Action Network’s NFL Power Rankings to consensus betting lines, we can determine which teams the public is overrating and underrating in Week…

Ahhh, football season. The smell of freshly cut grass, barbecue on the grill, 90-degree scorchers in vagrant parking lots and the existential dread that overcomes you when your top running back tears his ACL during a non-contact drill in practice. Yep, it’s football season all right. But not to worry — each week I’ll break…

This is not a drill: Week 1 of the NFL season is here. As your focus turns from fantasy football drafts and futures bets to your Week 1 wagers, stay glued to all of The Action Network’s NFL coverage. We’ll have in-depth betting previews on every game, along with coverage of profitable trends, sharp action and much…

A popular conversation coming out of the NFL preseason surrounds the league’s new use of the helmet rule and what effect it will have on scoring, specifically for those of us trying to make sense of over/under betting. Theoretically, more penalties — specifically the 15-yard variety — for illegal tackles will significantly benefit offenses and…

The FantasyLabs Injury Dashboard tracks injuries and suspensions from all starters and fantasy-relevant players across the league. The dashboard is constantly updated and displays daily practice participation to gain a clear view of how healthy a player truly is. The team’s official injury designation will go in the “Team” status column once available, but the FantasyLabs Status (which…

Legalized sports betting is changing sports. I don’t think that statement comes as a surprise to anyone. The ways in which it’s making an impact, however, aren’t always the most predictable. The most recent surprise has to do with the relationship between NFL players and casinos. Until now, the league had prohibited players from accepting any…