A single point and two places separate Manchester City and Brighton in the standings. As the season enters its final stretch, this clash could be crucial in determining European competition spots.
Can City capitalize on its superior squad and home advantage? Can the Seagulls continue its high-flying form? The answers will come after kickoff at Etihad Stadium, set for Saturday, March 15, at 11 a.m. ET.
Here is my Manchester City vs. Brighton prediction and Premier League odds for today’s match.
Manchester City vs. Brighton Prediction, Pick, Europa League Odds
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- Manchester City vs. Brighton moneyline odds: Manchester City -145, Draw +330, Brighton +350
- Manchester City vs. Brighton over/under: 3.5 Goals (+120 Over, -155 Under )
- Manchester City vs. Brighton pick: Manchester City Moneyline and Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer
I am backing Manchester City to win and Haaland to score in the Manchester City vs. Brighton match.
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The four-in-a-row title winners know they won’t be extending that streak to five. After an early exit from the Champions League, their focus has shifted to two objectives: securing a place in next season’s edition of Europe’s top club competition and chasing FA Cup glory, where they’ve reached the quarterfinals.
City’s Premier League campaign has been far from convincing. They have already lost nine matches—three times as many as in the previous season. Their form has been erratic and inconsistent, with last Saturday’s 1-0 defeat at Nottingham Forest raising serious concerns. The performance exposed both inefficiencies in attack and worrying defensive lapses.
For this match, the Citizens will still be without Manuel Akanji, John Stones, and Nathan Aké. Phil Foden comes into the game on a high after being called up by new England manager Thomas Tuchel for his first squad selection, though Jack Grealish and Rico Lewis were left out.
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[subheader sizedown=”false” center=”false” text=”Brighton Prediction” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/100×100/24828-13.png”][/subheader]
Six consecutive wins across all competitions are more than enough proof that this Brighton side is a dangerous opponent for anyone. Sitting seventh in the table and set to feature in the FA Cup quarterfinals, their season has only improved over time, marked by a return to their signature style of play in 2025.
Houston-born manager Fabian Hürzeler has not only upheld but even refined the philosophy of his predecessors, Roberto De Zerbi and Graham Potter. Ball possession and quick attacking transitions define this team, though their defense remains their weak spot.
João Pedro, Kaoru Mitoma, and the experienced Danny Welbeck provide a versatile and potent frontline in attack. All are available to play, while center-back Lewis Dunk and midfielder Matt O’Riley are ruled out. However, Tariq Lamptey returns after serving a suspension.
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History favors Manchester City. They have never lost a home league match against Brighton (12 wins, 2 draws), winning each of the last 10. Even more striking, Brighton has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 17 meetings across all competitions.
However, this is no longer the dominant City of previous seasons. At the same time, Brighton boasts the fourth-best away attack in the league (24 goals), having scored in every road game but one this season.
This situation creates great value in an SGP that would typically have shorter odds: Manchester City Moneyline and Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer.
Even below his best form, Haaland has netted 28 goals in 38 matches across all competitions. He has also scored four times in four matches against Brighton, including in City’s 2-1 defeat last November in Brighton.
Manchester City vs. Brighton Pick: Manchester City ML and Haaland Anytime Scorer (+135, DraftKings)
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