Fluminense and Inter will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC.
Inter is favored at a -130 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+105o / -150u) goals.
Let’s get into our Inter vs. Fluminense prediction.
Inter vs. Fluminense Betting Pick, Analysis
Inter Milan rose to the occasion by convincingly defeating River Plate, ensuring they topped Group E. Meanwhile, Fluminense appeared cautious in their recent match with Mamelodi Sundowns, seemingly playing to avoid defeat.
The group stage results suggest it may not be a thriller.
Inter’s left side will be key to this match. Flu will look to get the ball to Arias as early and often as possible. That makes his match-up with Alessandro Bastoni particularly interesting.
Inter’s new manager, Christian Chivu, tried a few different approaches in his first three matches. However, on Matchday Three, it was back to his predecessor’s ways, using Inzaghi’s 3-5-2.
Bastoni pushed on high up the pitch, often striding out of defense with or without the ball. If he does the same again here, Kristjan Asllani will have to be vigilant to provide defensive cover.
Bookmakers see Renato Gaucho’s team facing a challenging task, giving the Serie A outfit a 58% chance of victory in the Inter Milan vs Fluminense 1X2 market.
Inter vs Fluminense Prediction
Pick: Under 0.5 Fluminense Goals (+110)
Our Fluminense vs. Inter best bet is on Fluminense not scoring in this match (Under 0.5 Goals).
Fluminense vs. Inter Odds
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Inter vs Fluminense Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Under 0.5 Fluminense Goals (+110)
Leg 2: Over 2.25 Goals (-108)
Leg 3: Inter Over 1.5 goals (-111)
Fluminense narrowly advanced from the group stage after two 0-0 draws against Dortmund and Mamelodi and a 4-2 victory against the Korean side Ulsan HD.
It is difficult to see head coach Renato Gaucho choosing anything other than a defensive approach when Inter awaits in the round of 16. The odds appeal for them to blank here, especially against such a solid Inter backline.
For the total, our in-house tool projects 2.14 goals in the match, aligning with the 52% implied probability of at least two goals being scored. If the match concludes 2-0 in either direction or 1-1, you’ll only lose half your stake on this selection.
The Nerazzurri averaged 2.08 goals in this Serie A season, while the Flu conceded on average 1.09 in the Brazilian top league. In theory, the Italian giants should be able to breach Fluminense a couple of times, given their consistency and Flu’s approach.
Inter vs Fluminense Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Fluminense | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 11.5% | 21.8% | 66.7% |
Projected Total Goals
| Fluminense | Total Goals | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 2.14 | 1.63 |
Inter vs Fluminense Projected Starting Lineups
Fluminense
Fabio; Xavier, Thiago Silva, Freytes, Fuentes; Martinelli, Hercules, Nonato; Arias, Canobbio; Cano.
Inter
Sommer; Darmian, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Asllani, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; F. P. Esposito, L. Martinez.
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