FC Porto (0-0-1) and Inter Miami CF (0-0-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
Porto is favored at a -140 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-165o / +120u) goals.
Let’s get into my Inter Miami vs. Porto prediction.
Inter Miami vs. Porto Odds
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Inter Miami vs. Porto Betting Analysis
Inter Miami didn’t impress in their opener against Al Ahly. Oscar Ustari made eight saves and earned the Player of the Match Award. Porto were second best against Palmeiras, but gained a valuable point. Against Inter Miami, it’ll likely be a favorable encounter for Porto. When comparing the two teams, Porto is ranked 58th in Opta’s power rankings, with Inter Miami is ranked 153rd.
Despite a quiet display in New Jersey, Samuel Aghehowa will be a threat. The Spaniard scored 25 goals in 43 appearances last season. And on the other hand, no side earned more clean sheets in Portugal’s top flight than Porto’s 16. When analyzing Inter Miami’s performance in the final third, they have outperformed their xG figure by nearly 10 goals in the MLS this season.
Porto’s experience and quality should be the difference at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. We can be sure that their 38-year-old shot-stopper won’t perform as well as he did against Al Ahly. The American outfit looked vulnerable on defense and got bailed out by Ustari. That won’t happen forever.
Inter Miami vs. Porto Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Porto | Draw | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| 58.5% | 20.7% | 20.8% |
Projected Total Goals
| Porto | Total Goals | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 | 2.85 | 1.00 |
Inter Miami vs. Porto Prediction
Pick: Porto -0.75 Asian Handicap (-125)
My Porto vs. Inter Miami best bet is on the Portuguese team to cover the Asian Handicap.
Inter Miami vs. Porto Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Porto -0.75 Asian Handicap (-125)
Leg 2: Highest Scoring Half — Second Half (+100)
Leg 3: Rodrigo Mora To Score or Assist (-120)
Group A is finely poised heading into matchday two. No goals were scored, so all four teams head into this round of fixtures on one point.
A defeat for either of these sides would make it difficult to earn a place in the round of 16. Both Inter Miami and Porto have the attacking quality to do damage to the opposition defence, but with the stakes so high, a cagey first half looks likely. Therefore, we are backing the majority of the goals to come in the second half as part of our Inter Miami vs Porto predictions.
Before that 0-0 draw against Al Ahly, Inter Miami’s recent matches saw plenty of goals. Their last 10 competitive matches have seen an average of 4.8 goals, with 2.6 of those coming in the second half of the match.
This bet has won in six of Javier Mascherano’s side’s last ten outings. Although nobody managed to break the deadlock in Miami’s opener against Al Ahly, Messi and company looked far sharper in the second half than they did in the first, having 10 attempts and creating three big chances.
Porto matches see fewer goals, but the lion’s share still comes in the second half. Since the turn of the year, the first half of their matches have averaged 1.08 goals. This increases to 1.25 after the break.
Porto vs. Inter Miami Projected Starting Lineups
Porto
Ramos; Fernandes, Pedro, Marcano; Joao Mario, Varela, Veiga, Moura; Vieira, Mora; Samu.
Inter Miami
Ustari; Fray, Aviles, Falcon Piccart, Allen; Busquets, Redondo, Allende; Segovia, Messi; Suarez
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