Al Hilal (2-0-2) and Fluminense (2-0-2) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, FL.
Al Hilal is favored at a +147 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-105o / -125u) goals.
Let’s get into my Al Hilal vs. Fluminense prediction.
Al Hilal vs. Fluminense Odds
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Al Hilal vs. Fluminense Betting Analysis
Al-Hilal’s presence in the quarter-finals is no accident. Unbeaten and boasting impressive performances against the likes of Real Madrid and Manchester City, the Saudis haven’t suffered a competitive defeat since late February 2024.
Despite this, bookmakers remain cautious, offering odds of 2.50 (+150) on Simone Inzaghi’s side to win, indicating only a 40% probability of victory in regular time.
But our projection model, gives Al-Hilal a 47.5% chance of winning, presenting a potentially valuable opportunity for punters.
While Fluminense have kept three clean sheets, they rode their luck against Inter, who struck the woodwork twice.
Al-Hilal ranks fifth in both xG and big chances created, and having already matched Europe’s top sides, they should be well-equipped to handle the challenge posed by the Brazilians.
Al Hilal vs. Fluminense Prediction
Pick: Al Hilal Asian Handicap 0.0 (-125) — DraftKings
My Al Hilal vs. Fluminense best bet is on Al Hilal to win outright without any kind of score handicap.
Al Hilal vs. Fluminense Parlay
Leg 1: Al Hilal Asian Handicap 0.0 (-125)
Leg 2: Jhon Arias Shots On Target Outside The Box (+150)
Leg 3: Marcos Leonardo To Score (+150)
Fluminense looked dangerous in their 2-0 win over Inter in the last round. The Nerazzurri had the lion’s share of the ball but created the same number of big opportunities as the Brazilian side.
Jhon Arias was crucial in getting Fluzão further up the pitch. He was a constant thorn in the side of the Inter defense. The Colombian’s pace and strength on the ball made him difficult to tackle, which allowed his team to advance up the pitch on the counter. Arias will need to play a starring role once again if Fluminense is to make it to the semi-finals.
Arias isn’t afraid to shoot. He had four attempts in the win over Inter Milan: two from inside the box and two outside. Both shots from outside the opposition penalty area hit the target. Therefore, we are backing him to have a shot on target from outside the area when Fluminense takes on Al Hilal.
Jhon also had a shot on target from outside the box in two of Fluminense’s three group games at the Club World Cup. In the opening game against Dortmund, the effort that would have seen this bet land came in the 34th minute. Against Ulsan, Arias found the net with an effort from outside the box. In fact, all four of his attempts came from outside the opposition penalty area. Fluzão’s 0-0 draw with Mamelodi Sundowns was the only game where this selection didn’t win.
Al Hilal are conceding an average of 17 shots per game at the Club World Cup, more than any other team remaining in the competition and well above the overall tournament average of 12.91 shots per game.
Al Hilal vs. Fluminense Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Al Hilal | Draw | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 47.5% | 26.3% | 26.2% |
Projected Total Goals
| Al Hilal | Total Goals | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 2.17 | 0.88 |
Al Hilal vs. Fluminense Projected Starting Lineups
Al Hilal
Bounou; Joao Cancelo, Al-Harbi, Koulibaly, Renan Lodi; Nasser Al-Dawsari, Ruben Neves, Milinkovic-Savic; Malcom, Marcos Leonardo, Kanno.
Fluminense
Fabio; Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Freytes, Fuentes; Martinelli, Hercules; Arias, Nonato, Canobbio; Cano.
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