Chelsea (1-1-0) and Esperance de Tunis (1-1-0) will face off today at 9:00 p.m. EDT at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Chelsea is favored at a -375 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-144o / +109u) goals.
Let’s get into our Chelsea vs. ES Tunis prediction.
Chelsea vs. ES Tunis Odds
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Chelsea vs. ES Tunis Betting Analysis
Chelsea, coming off a surprising 3-1 defeat to Flamengo, despite leading at halftime, needs just a point to secure their progression after their opening victory over Los Angeles FC.
Esperance de Tunis had a mixed start, losing 2-0 to Flamengo before narrowly beating the MLS side 1-0, thanks to Youcef Belaïli’s strike.
For Chelsea, exiting the group stage in Philadelphia would be a considerable failure, especially given their resources and reputation. Maresca is expected to field a strong lineup without tactical gambles, aiming to overpower Espérance.
The North Africans, on the other hand, need a victory to stay in the tournament, and that should add some urgency to their approach.
However, creating significant scoring opportunities has been a challenge, with the Tunisian side generating the fewest ‘big’ chances (just two) alongside Botafogo and Urawa Red Diamonds in the competition so far. The absence of their star man, Youcef Belaili, makes their task even harder.
This match is virtually a knockout tie, and therefore, it promises to be entertaining.
Chelsea vs. ES Tunis Prediction
Pick: Chelsea Win to Nil
Our Chelsea vs. ES Tunis best bet is Chelsea Win to Nil, as the Tunisian team may struggle to upset the Premier League side.
Chelsea vs. ES Tunis Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Chelsea Win to Nil
Leg 2: Over 4.5 Cards
Leg 3: Liam Delap to score or assist
Chelsea find themselves in an uncomfortable position ahead of the final game week, needing a point against Tunisian side Esperance De Tunis to qualify. A loss to Flamengo means that the Blues don’t have the luxury of rotating in attack as they chase qualification.
Esperance De Tunis are just behind the Premier team on goal difference and may fancy their chance of causing an upset. But against a possession-heavy Chelsea side, the Tunisian giants may struggle to unsettle the financial powerhouses who conceded just seven shots to LAFC.
While he might not have shown quite a lot so far, the suspension of Nicolas Jackson for a red card will likely put Liam Delap in a more central role. His xGOT of 0.3 per 90 minutes — averaging just one shot on target — might not impress immediately. However, the increased responsibility and positioning in Maresca’s lineups should naturally boost both his involvement and threat in the final third.
Against Tunis, a side that will need to commit men forward at some stage to win, spaces could open for Delap to either finish or provide the final ball.
On the other hand, the referee of the match is a standout appointment in terms of booking records. Yael Falcon Perez has shown nine red cards in his last 18 games, alongside 111 yellows, producing a 6.66 cards per 90 minutes average in that timeframe.
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Chelsea vs. ES Tunis Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | ES Tunis |
|---|---|---|
| 90.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | ES Tunis |
|---|---|---|
| 3.42 | 3.94 | 0.52 |
Chelsea vs. ES Tunis Projected Starting Lineups
Chelsea
Sánchez; James, Adarabioyo, Colwill, Cucurella; Lavia, Caicedo, Neto, Palmer, Madueke; Delap.
ES Tunis
Ben Saïd; Ben Ali, Amine Tougai, Meriah, Ben Hamida; Ogbelu, Guenichi, Mokwana, Sasse, Jabri; Rodrigues.
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