Chelsea (2-0-1) and Benfica (2-1-0) will face off today at 4:00 p.m. EDT at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Chelsea is favored at a +110 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-104o / -128u) goals.
Let’s get into my Chelsea vs. Benfica prediction.
Chelsea vs. Benfica Betting Analysis
Benfica face Chelsea after surprisingly topping Group C, edging out one of the tournament’s favourites, Bayern Munich.
Riding high from a notable 1-0 win over the Bavarians, Benfica’s goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin starred with a standout performance, a feat that will be crucial against Chelsea’s dynamic and young attackers.
Led by experienced manager Bruno Lage, Benfica are expected to field a similar lineup, provided the sweltering 36-degree heat hasn’t exhausted his players.
With six wins against European sides this season, Benfica has proven to be a formidable opponent, losing only 14 out of 53 UEFA matches since the 2020/21 season.
Meanwhile, Chelsea, who finished second in Group B after a narrow defeat to Flamengo, is eager to progress further. Newcomer Liam Delap is set to start after scoring in their 3-0 win over ES Tunis, especially with Nicolas Jackson suspended.
Manager Enzo Maresca, confident in his squad’s depth, is likely to field his strongest team. Chelsea’s aggressive starts have seen them lead at half-time in all their Club World Cup matches, contrasting with Benfica’s historically slower starts.
While Benfica’s win over a significantly rotated Bayern side was impressive, the resultant fatigue could tip the scales in Chelsea’s favour, possibly leading to the game being decided in extra-time or beyond.
Given that past meetings have been narrowly decided, this promises to be another tightly contested affair.
Chelsea vs. Benfica Prediction
Pick: Chelsea to Win
My Chelsea vs. Benfica best bet is Chelsea to Win, with value on the Blues to progress to the quarter finals.
Chelsea vs. Benfica Odds
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Chelsea vs. Benfica Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Chelsea to Win
Leg 2: Over 2.25 Goals
Leg 3: Chelsea to win and BTTS – Yes
It was a strong end to what has thus far been a tricky Club World Cup for Chelsea. Enzo Maresca has had to deal with illness, injuries, and weather conditions, which he claims make training “impossible”.
The Blues were beaten by a strong Flamengo side in the group stage, but Maresca’s team has shown its quality in recent months. They have won 10 of their last 12 matches in all competitions and played better sides than Benfica in that time. The odds-against price for them to win in 90 minutes here looks good.
As the final group stage matches approach on Friday, Benfica and Chelsea lead the competition in producing big chances, with 14 and 13, respectively. Additionally, Benfica ranks second for expected goals (8.0), just behind Bayern Munich.
Chelsea has kept clean sheets in five of their last eight matches across all competitions. However, three of their previous four games have seen at least three goals scored, indicating their potential for high-scoring affairs.
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Chelsea vs. Benfica Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | 20.% | 29.7% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | 3.42 | 1.47 |
Chelsea vs. Benfica Projected Starting Lineups
Chelsea
Sanchez; James, Adarabioyo, Colwill, Cucurella; Fernandez, Moises Caicedo; Madueke, Palmer, Neto; Delap
Benfica
Trubin; Aursnes, Silva, Otamendi, Dahl; Sanches, Leandro Barreiro; Di Maria, Prestianni, Schjelderup; Pavlidis
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