The 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary is here. After Donald Trump’s resounding victory in the Iowa caucuses, will the former president cruise to victory in the second nominating event for Republicans in the 2024 presidential election? Can Nikki Haley pull off a surprising win? And what are the odds for both Trump and Haley in New Hampshire?
Here are the latest 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary odds to win for Trump and Haley — and what it means for 2024 presidential election odds.
New Hampshire Republican Primary: Odds to Win for Trump, Haley
| Candidate | Odds | Chance to Win New Hampshire |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -5000 | 95.80% |
| Nikki Haley | +2400 | 3.91% |
| Ron DeSantis | +100000 | 0.10% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | +100000 | 0.10% |
| Chris Christie | +100000 | 0.10% |
Odds via European exchange Betfair. Implied probability is “fair” implied probability, without the vigorish. Sportsbooks cannot offer political betting in the United States.
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As of Tuesday morning, Donald Trump’s odds to win the New Hampshire primary are -5000, a 95.80% chance of victory. Nikki Haley’s odds to win the New Hampshire primary are+2400, a 3.91% chance of winning.
Not even a week ago, before Ron DeSantis suspended his presidential campaign, Trump was “only” a -555 favorite to win in New Hampshire (a 54.11% chance to win, based on the odds). But after DeSantis’ decision, Trump was as much as a whopping -10000 favorite to win the New Hampshire Republican primary — the same odds he had to win Iowa before the Republican caucuses there. As a reminder, a Trump win in Iowa was called after just 30 minutes.
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Although DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy and Chris Christie all have suspended their presidential campaigns, they are still on the board at incredibly long odds. But those odds are mere technicalities or footnotes. The odds to win the New Hampshire Republican primary reflect that this race is down to Trump and Haley and that the former president is a massive favorite on Tuesday.
For more on the 2024 presidential election, check out Presidential Election Odds: Updated Odds Before New Hampshire Primary.
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