Our holy grail of NHL Frozen Frenzy predictions is already out for Tuesday. Here, we’re dishing out the two smartest NHL moneyline picks factoring in price, projections and how they stack up to our Action PRO betting models.
The sharpest NHL moneyline grabs for Tuesday, 10/22, are Capitals vs. Flyers and Stars vs. Sabres.
Capitals vs. Flyers picks include an undervalued side contrary to popular belief. Secondly, Stars vs. Sabres features PRO Systems and PRO Projections both aligned on the same team to win.
To reiterate, PRO subscribers can access all seven NHL predictions here. These are the two premier plays based on moneyline odds, advanced model projections and more.
NHL Moneyline Picks, Predictions, Projections for 10/22
Capitals vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks
Our 61% NHL moneyline model favors one side heavily for Capitals vs. Flyers.
The “At Home, Quality Opponent, Early Season” PRO System shows that during the first 24 games of the NHL season, home favorites facing teams with win percentages between 51% and 100% are extremely undervalued.
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It’s a direct hit on the Flyers moneyline Tuesday.
Betting teams like Philadelphia to win has traditionally yielded solid results. Put it this way: A 61% probability implies a fair moneyline price of around -156.
The Flyers are -125 around the market. This price, frankly, is a steal.
PRO System Prediction: Flyers Moneyline
Stars vs. Blue Jackets Prediction, Projections
The second sharp play is Stars moneyline at Buffalo.
Our “Well-Rested Visiting Favorite” PRO Systems reveals a 64% win rate for road favorites who have had 3-4 days of rest, vs. teams that didn’t make the postseason last year (just like the Sabres).
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A 64% probability equates to a fair price of -173! Dallas is -145.
Also, our PRO Projections side with the Stars, too, as we make Dallas more like -174.
PRO Projections Prediction: Stars Moneyline
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