A 61% moneyline trend and a boatload of NHL shot on goal props from predictive models lead the best NHL PRO predictions Wednesday.
Our “At Home” NHL proprietary system loves two, undervalued teams hosting their opponents tonight.
Also, PRO Projections crunched the odds and submitted three shot on goal props with chunky edges stacked up to the market.
Here are five data-driven selections for the 11/13 hockey card, which can be helpful for moneyline bets, prop markets or even SGPs.
NHL Model Picks and Expert Shot on Goal Props for 11/13
Early in the season is when our PRO System, feasting on low-profile home teams, spotlights the best picks.
Tonight, two teams match the “At Home, Quality Opponent, Early Season” model: The Washington Capitals and Colorado Avalanche.
In the first 24 of the NHL season, when favorites are hosting winning teams, the host side has won 61% of the time since tracking began.
It’s suggested straight bets on Washington (vs. Toronto), and Colorado (vs. L.A.).
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Sticking with the Leafs-Capitals game, the top pick in the shot on goal prop market is Maple Leafs‘ Matthew Knies over 1.5 shots.
The price on over 1.5 is -148 at DraftKings, but our models show optimism for the Leafs forward, projecting more like 2.4 pucks on net tonight.
PRO Projections Shot on Goal Prediction: Matthew Knies Over 1.5
In the Kings-Avs clash, taking Los Angeles’ Warren Foegele over 1.5 shots on goal is a solid look: He’s another skater whose prop is set at 1.5 shot, yet we tab at 2.4.
PRO Projections Shot on Goal Prediction: Warren Foegele Over 1.5
Finally, rounding out the juiciest shot on goal prop edges is Vegas star William Karlsson.
His prop is lined at over/under 2.5. Yet, projections forecast for the Golden Knights forward for closer to 2.1, signifying a look on the under.
PRO Projections Shot on Goal Prediction: William Karlsson Under 2.5
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