Last night, Action NHL predictive models cashed both premium picks.
Tonight, we have a pair of shot on goal picks bursting with value. The NHL season is underway, and with it, the excitement of NHL shot on goal props has come to life. By comparing odds to betting markets and grading NHL props based on their strength, our PRO Projections system helps maximize the potential for successful bets in this particular betting market.
Looking at Thursday NHL odds, we have our sights set on two data-driven, shot on goal props: Erik Karlsson in the matchup between the Penguins and the Hurricanes, and Connor Bedard in Blackhawks vs. Stars.
NHL Odds, Props: Expert Models Shot on Goal Picks for 11/7
When it comes to making NHL picks, PRO Projections recommend targeting props with at least a 3.5% edge, or a B- grade or better. For today’s matchups, we have identified multiple picks that exceed this threshold.
Starting with Connor Bedard, we already struck gold with his shot on goal prop over 3.5 at plus money last night. His current prop at DraftKings is set at over/under 2.5 shots on goal.
PRO Projections suggest a striking edge here, projecting Bedard for about 3.2 shots. This presents a 5.7% edge for betting the over, making it an appealing pick on Bedard’s over for consecutive nights.
PRO Projections Shot on Goal Prediction: Connor Bedard Over 2.5
Switching focus to veteran defenseman Erik Karlsson, his shot on goal prop vs. Carolina tonight is set at 2.5, with -145 odds on the under at BetMGM.
Our projections estimate Karlsson will rack up around 2.1 shots on net, creating a solid 6% edge for the under.
PRO Projections Shot on Goal Prediction: Erik Karlsson Under 2.5
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.