nhl-moneyline-predictions-shot-on-goal-picks-11-20

NHL Best Bets Today: Moneyline Predictions and Shot on Goal Picks for 11/20

Data-driven insights are popping up everywhere for NHL Wednesday.

Two separate PRO Systems submitted three total moneyline predictions. Meanwhile, scanning our cutting-edge shot on goal props tool, three additional over/under picks are loaded with value.

Top moneyline picks include predictions for Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs, Hurricanes vs. Flyers and more.

Top shot on goal props, meanwhile, are in a couple of the same games, offering SGP options.


NHL Best Bets Today: Moneyline Predictions and Shot on Goal Picks for 11/20

NHL Moneyline Predictions Wednesday

Across our various, proprietary NHL betting systems, two popped with picks Wednesday. One model (60% win rate) recommends betting home teams; the other (64%) highlights road teams historically in great spots.

The “At Home, Quality Opponent, Early Season” PRO System reveals that through games 1-24 of the NHL season, home favorites playing winning teams are significantly undervalued from a betting perspective, winning about 60% of games.

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For Wednesday’s games, it’s a bet on the Toronto Maple Leafs, who perfectly fit the trend.


Certain road teams are great moneyline looks Wednesday, too. The “Well-Rested Visiting Favorite” PRO Systems shows road favorites playing on 3-4 days of rest, vs. teams that didn’t make the postseason last year, win 64% of games.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1036524″ systemname=”Well Rested Visiting Faves (PRO)” leaguename=”nhl” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22Did%20the%20opposing%20team%20make%20the%20postseason%20last%20year%3A%20N%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Favorite%22%2C%22the%20team%20has%20had%20between%203%20and%204%20days%20off%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Visitor%20team%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$9,624″ record=”734-419-0″ winpct=”64%”][/betlabsembed]

Tonight’s road picks are the Hurricanes (vs. the Flyers) and the Predators (vs. the Kraken).

NHL Shot on Goal Picks for 11/20

Let’s move on to PRO Projections top predictions for shots on goal props, which all feature edges of 10% or better.

The top pick tonight is Dallas winger Evgeny Dadonov under 1.5 shots on goal in Sharks vs. Stars.

Dadonov’s over/under tonight is 1.5 shots on net, with the under +106 at Caesars. That’s a good look – our models predict Dadonov for just 1.4.


Another solid edge in the Hurricanes vs. Flyers game is Travis Sanheim over 1.5 pucks on net. His over’s -140 at BetMGM. Though pricy, Action NHL predictive models reveal the Flyers defenseman clears this more often than not, slotting Sanheim for more like 2.4.


The third and final shot on goal prop is another skater in a game we previously covered: Vegas vs. Toronto. With a recommended moneyline play already on the Maple Leafs, an added shot on goal prop bursting with value is Leafs center Bobby McCann over 2.5.

PRO Projections are much more optimistic for McCann to be in the mix offensively, tabbing the forward for 3.3.

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