Vikings vs Broncos Player Prop: How To Bet Ty Chandler

Vikings vs Broncos Player Prop: Ty Chandler

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Ty Chandler Longest Rush Over 10.5 Yards (-114)” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/min.png” awayname=”Vikings” awayslug=”minnesota-vikings” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/den.png” homename=”Broncos” homeslug=”denver-broncos” date=”Sunday, Nov. 19″ time=”8:20 p.m. ET” network=”NBC” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

[quickslip picktext=”Pick: Ty Chandler Longest Rush Over 10.5 Yards” linktext=”Tail Koerner at FanDuel With QuickSlip” link=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v2/deeplink?deeplinkId[0]=ML465791550&bookId=108&context=qs-admin” linkfollow=”false” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png”][/quickslip]

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Ty Chandler stepped up when Alexander Mattison went down last week and ended up rushing 15 times for 45 yards and a TD. He had two runs that went over this number.

While Mattison is more of a short-yardage grinder, Chandler is a smaller back with a ton of speed. He ran a 4.38 40-yard dash and if gets any room to run, he should be able to pick up yards in a hurry. It’s a small sample size, but Chandler has an explosive rush rate at 17% this season.

Chandler is facing a Broncos defense that has allowed a league-high 8% explosive run rate. I think the presence and threat of Josh Dobbs rushing the ball only helps a back like Chandler (similar to Keaton Mitchell). The defense may wait to see who the runner is between Chadler/Dobbs and give Chandler a head start on the edge.

Tom Pelissero of NFL Network reported that the backfield could be a “pretty even split” tonight. I think Chandler should get 6-10 rush attempts tonight, which should be enough for him to break at least one explosive run.

I’m projecting his median closer to 12.5 with around a 65% chance to clear 10.5 and about a 59-60% chance of clearing 11.5. It’s a very tricky market to project for someone with such a small sample size, but I think there is definitely value here and worth investing in.

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