super bowl picks-mvp-props-49ers chiefs

Super Bowl Picks: Experts’ Prop & MVP Bets for 49ers-Chiefs

Some of our lead Super Bowl betting experts, Chris Raybon and Nick Giffen, joined Chad Millman and Simon Hunter to reveal some of their Super Bowl picks, which include prop & MVP bets for 49ers-Chiefs.

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Super Bowl Picks: Prop & MVP Bets for 49ers-Chiefs

Game Time (ET) Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”San Francisco 49ers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png” secondfullname=”Kansas City Chiefs” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/kc.png”][/teammatchup] 6:30 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”San Francisco 49ers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png” secondfullname=”Kansas City Chiefs” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/kc.png”][/teammatchup] 6:30 p.m.
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”San Francisco 49ers” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png” secondfullname=”Kansas City Chiefs” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/kc.png”][/teammatchup] 6:30 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Get our latest Super Bowl picks and preview content through our NFL hub.


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[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 Interceptions (-115)” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png” awayname=”San Francisco 49ers” awayslug=”san-francisco-49ers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/kc.png” homename=”Kansas City Chiefs” homeslug=”kansas-city-chiefs” date=”Sunday, Feb. 11″ time=”6:30 p.m. ET” network=”CBS” bookname=”FanDuel ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Chris Raybon

Mahomes has thrown an interception in 48 of 96 regular-season games but only four of his 17 in the playoffs. He hasn’t thrown an INT in his last six playoff games.

Also, Mahomes has had 53 interceptions overturned since 2018. No other quarterback has more than seven.

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[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Travis Kelce Super Bowl MVP (+1400)” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png” awayname=”San Francisco 49ers” awayslug=”san-francisco-49ers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/kc.png” homename=”Kansas City Chiefs” homeslug=”kansas-city-chiefs” date=”Sunday, Feb. 11″ time=”6:30 p.m. ET” network=”CBS” bookname=”FanDuel ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Chris Raybon

Kelce has scored in 13 of Mahomes’ 17 playoff games. He has 18 total touchdowns.

The 49ers have allowed big games to TEs like Sam LaPorta, Trey McBride and T.J. Hockenson this season. Also, Tom Brady only won four Super Bowl MVPs in his career with the Patriots. It’s not an automatic for Mahomes to win the award if the Chiefs win.


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[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Rashee Rice Super Bowl MVP (+7000)” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png” awayname=”San Francisco 49ers” awayslug=”san-francisco-49ers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/kc.png” homename=”Kansas City Chiefs” homeslug=”kansas-city-chiefs” date=”Sunday, Feb. 11″ time=”6:30 p.m. ET” network=”CBS” bookname=”FanDuel ” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Nick Giffen

If you like Kelce to win Super Bowl MVP, you have to like Rice. The rookie receiver is averaging more targets per game than Kelce since Thanksgiving, and he has more explosive games (90 or more receiving yards) and more receiving touchdowns than Kelce in that span, including the playoffs.

The last two Super Bowl MVPs who were receivers were Cooper Kupp and Julian Edelman. Kupp had eight catches on 10 targets for only 92 yards, but also two touchdowns. Edelman had 10 catches on 12 targets for 141 yards and no touchdowns. Those performances are within Rice’s range of outcomes.

Some of my calculations put this closer to the 30-1 or 45-1 range, so 70-1 is way too long.

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