Smart bettors are in a tizzy over spread picks for Patriots vs. Ravens and Saints vs. Panthers, both of which kick off in the 1 p.m. window.
The Action Network’s proprietary tracking data has indicated a trove of sharp and big moneyed bettors on the spread for each of those aforementioned games.
Tailing heavy sharp action can allow you to extract value out of retail bettors and the rest of the broader market — especially over the long run.
Patriots vs. Ravens, Saints vs. Panthers Smart Money Action for Sunday
The sharps are riding with the Patriots spread and Panthers spread for the early afternoon window.
While the Patriots have a mere 21% of the retail bettors on them to cover on Sunday, about 33% of the smart bettors are. That 12% discrepancy indicates a handful of big moneyed bettors are rocking with the under tonight.
The best price on the market is with PlayUp at +3 (-120). If you’re outside of New Jersey or Iowa — where that sportsbook operates — roll with the Patriots at +3 (-126) at DraftKings.
Meanwhile, the Panthers are home underdogs against the Saints, who looked haphazard against the Bucs last week.
The splits on Carolina’s spread are wild — across all major American sportsbooks, 87% of the total money is on the Panthers to cover. Compare that to just 59% of the overall tickets.
The Panthers’ best market price is with BetMGM at +3 (-120).
Tailing the wise guys and fading retail bettors is one way to develop a profit in the long run.
In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You’ll lose a few bets along the way.
But one of the best methods to secure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there’s sharp action on a particular pick.
Picks: Panthers +3 (-120) or better | Patriots +3 (-126) or better
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