Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins Odds
| Steelers Odds | +285 |
| Dolphins Odds | -355 |
| Over/Under | 44.5 |
| Date | Sunday, October 23 |
| Time | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| Channel | NBC |
*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday morning.
There is a historically profitable betting algorithm developed by the Action Network that has a betting edge for this Sunday Night Football contest: Steelers vs. Dolphins.
The algorithm targets the moneyline and factors in injuries, matchups, weather conditions and any other metric involved in tonight’s game.
This edge provides about a 3% edge in betting value, which indicates the pick has implied odds that are more than 3% higher than the odds available to you in the markets.
Essentially, the line is currently at a 3% discount across the market.
Over the long run, if you only bet on lines with at least an 3% betting edge, you’re almost assured to make a profit. In the short term, of course, variance is a constraint.
Steelers vs. Dolphins Algorithm Prediction for Sunday
Odds and betting data updated as of 11 a.m. ET.
The models are rolling heavily with the Steelers moneyline as one of the best NFL moneyline picks of the day.
The algorithm thinks their moneyline should be closer to +240. Meanwhile, the best price you can get on the market is with SuperBook at +290.
Remember, though, even small differences in lines make a big difference in the long run. The market-worst price of Steelers +260 at PointsBet, for instance, saps about 2% of value from this betting edge — enough to downgrade this pick precipitously.
So make sure to line shop properly before placing a bet using our algorithms.
As aforementioned, this line gives you $3 of expected value for every $100 wagered over the long run, according to our algorithms.
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