Three sharp Steelers vs. Colts predictions are up for grabs in PRO, producing one of the strongest bets for NFL Week 4.
The Steelers (3-0) travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Colts (1-2) on Sunday for an early-window clash. Steelers defensive end T.J. Watt and Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson headline an intriguing clash.
Quarterbacks Justin Fields has led Pittsburgh not only to an undefeated record, but also a perfect clip against the spread. Indianapolis won its first game of the season last week at home.
As it stands, the Steelers are modest favorites with a spread of -2 and the over/under set at 40 points.
Steelers vs. Colts Odds, Picks, Predictions
[gamematchup league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/pit.png” awayname=”Steelers” awayslug=”pittsburgh-steelers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” homename=”Colts” homeslug=”indianapolis-colts” date=”Sunday, Sep 29″ time=”1 p.m. ET” network=”CBS” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”-2″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”+2″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”40″ col2hometext=”40″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”-135″ col3hometext=”+115″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”Caesars” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/463646_Caesars.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars”][/gamematchup]
- Steelers vs. Colts spread: Steelers -2
- Steelers vs. Colts over/under: 40
- Steelers vs. Colts moneyline: Steelers -135, Colts +115
Spread
The betting spread for this game reflects a tight contest, with the Steelers slightly favored by 2 points.
Over/Under
The over/under for Steelers vs. Colts is 40 points.
Moneyline
The moneyline lists the Steelers as favorites at -135, with the Colts posted as +115 home underdogs.
Player Prop
Scanning PRO Props Projections, one pick with a small edge for Saints vs. Falcons is Indianapolis RB Jonathan Taylor‘s rushing yards is a bit short.
According to market odds, Taylor’s over/under is 73.5 rushing yards. PRO Projections predict Taylor for more like 79. It’s just a 1.2% edge, which falls short of our recommendation of 3.5%.
Steelers vs. Colts Prediction
PRO insights paint a clear picture on the Steelers vs. Colts outcome. Three predictions make sense in PRO, given the alignment of sharp signals.
Point Spread
Our PRO Projections have the spread nearly a toss-up at IND +0.1, showing an edge on the Colts. Interestingly, 51% of the total money bet on the spread has also been placed on Indianapolis, despite them only receiving 38% of the betting tickets. This discrepancy signals significant smart money backing the Colts to cover the spread.
[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227414″ date=”20240929″ week=”4″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
Total
Bettors should note that sharp action is activated on the under. This has influenced the market heavily — despite 46% of the money on 36% of the bets favoring the under — showcasing a consensus among sharp bettors.
Two of our top experts are also betting on the under, reinforcing that a lower-scoring affair might be in the works between two run-heavy teams.
Odds to Win
According to our NFL power ratings, the moneyline for Indianapolis should be +101, indicating a slight edge for bettors looking to back the Colts outright.
Our PRO Picks
Given the insights gathered from various sources like sharp action, big money, and expert picks, the following are our recommended bets for this clash:
- Colts +2: The combination of sharp action and big money backing Indianapolis, alongside our PRO Projections, points to the Colts covering the spread as a strong option.
- Under 40: Sharp money and the consensus among top experts are aligned on a low-scoring game.
- Colts Moneyline (+115): The slight discrepancy in our NFL power ratings combined with the value on offer makes the Colts a potential upset candidate worth considering.
Steelers vs. Colts Betting Trends
- ➤Teams that open as underdogs and close as a favorite have historically struggled to cover that number. They are 71-99 ATS since 2019, failing to cover the spread by 1.9 PPG. The Steelers fit the bill here.
Steelers vs. Colts Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227414″ date=”20240929″][/gameforecast]
_InlineAdBlockRestart
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.