An early-season division matchup’s attracting all sorts of sharp bets – and we know just the side to lock in.
In what promises to be an electrifying NFL Week 4 showdown, the New Orleans Saints are set to battle the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The game kicks off in the early wind on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Both teams come in with different narratives for the season; the Saints stand at 2-1, showing steady performance, while the Falcons are eager to bounce back from a 1-2 start. Star players Alvin Kamara and Kirk Cousins look to make significant impacts for their respective teams.
As we delve into this matchup, the spread is set at -2.5 for the Falcons, with an over/under of 41.
Saints vs. Falcons Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Saints vs. Falcons spread: Saints +2.5 (-102), Falcons -2.5 (-118)
- Saints vs. Falcons over/under: 41 (o-110, u-110)
- Saints vs. Falcons moneyline: Saints: +120, Falcons: -142
Spread
The spread currently favors the Falcons by 2.5 points.
Over/Under
The over/under is set at 41 points, each side marked at -110.
Moneyline
The moneyline presents the Falcons as favorites at -142, with the Saints listed at +120.
Player Prop
Scanning PRO Props, one pick with a small edge for Saints vs. Falcons is Atlanta WR Drake London to score a touchdown at any point of the game. His odds to score anytime are +190 at FanDuel, but we think the fair price should be more like +170.
Saints vs. Falcons Prediction
Transitioning to expert picks and insights, there’s a clear, sharp side for Saints vs. Falcons.
Point Spread
Our top NFL experts are confident in Atlanta covering the spread Sunday at home. These experts in our app have been consistently profitable with high long-term ROI based on verified picks.
We’ve also tracked significant sharp money coming in on the Falcons.
To top it off, for 3/5 PRO signals, the Falcons are also on the big money side, according to our Action PRO models.
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Total
Our advanced power ratings have the total pegged at 42.9 – higher than the market of 41.
Notably, sharp action has come in on the under.
Odds to Win
The Saints are drawing 81% of the money but just 53% of the bets.
Our PRO Pick
Utilizing our PRO insights, it becomes clear the most strategic bet lies with the Falcons covering the spread. With sharp action, top experts’ picks, and key financial indicators all rooting for Atlanta, it’s a recommended selection for Kirk Cousins and the Falcons to bounce back.
Saints vs. Falcons Betting Trends
- Saints QB Derek Carr is 23-35-2 ATS on the road since 2017, the least profitable road QB ATS in that span (135 of 135 QBs). He’s 26-26-1 ATS at home in that span.
Saints vs. Falcons Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227411″ date=”20240929″][/gameforecast]
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