Three key PRO signals all agree on where the value is at for Monday Night Football.
NFL’s Week 5 prime-time tilt features the New Orleans Saints traveling to Kansas City to take on the undefeated Chiefs for a 8:15 p.m. kick.
This game will highlight some of the league’s most electrifying talents, with Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce aiming to continue their win streak.
The Saints, with a 2-2 record, will rely heavily on star running back Alvin Kamara to challenge the Chiefs’ perfect start. As we dive into betting angles, the Chiefs are favored by 5.5 points, with the over/under set at 43 points.
Monday Night Football is also a non-conference clash featuring two teams that don’t play each other very often. Here’s the smart way to play it.
Saints vs. Chiefs Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Saints vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -5.5, -110 | Saints +5.5, -110
- Saints vs. Chiefs over/under: o43, -111 | u43, -110
- Saints vs. Chiefs moneyline: Chiefs -250 | Saints +202
Spread
As the Chiefs aim to defend their unblemished record, they are favored by 5.5 points with odds of -110.
Over/Under
The over/under is set at 43 points.
Moneyline
The moneyline is set at Chiefs -250, Saints +202.
Player Prop
PRO Projections peg Saints QB Derek Carr‘s passing yards at 215 – slightly higher than the line of 208.5.
It’s only a +1.6% edge. PRO Projections recommend a 3.5% or better when tailing, so this one doesn’t exactly meet the criteria.
Saints vs. Chiefs Prediction
Split opinions surround the Monday Night Football spread. Two of our top NFL experts, representing a 100% consensus, are backing the Saints to cover. Conversely, sharp action has emerged on the Chiefs, indicating contrasting perspectives among seasoned bettors.
[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227434″ date=”20241007″ week=”5″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
Total
The sharpest Chiefs vs. Saints pick in PRO Report at the time of writing is the under. Sharp action and both of our top experts advocate for a low-scoring game, coinciding with a market move down from 43.5.
Moreover, big money influence supports this stance, with 51% of the money on the under despite comprising just 19% of total bets.
Odds to Win
There are no PRO signals active in this market at the time of writing.
Our PRO Pick
Leveraging PRO insights and analyzing expert consensus, it’s evident the best betting choice for this game aligns with the under. The combination of expert backing, sharp money and prime-time trends all point to the under.
Chiefs vs. Saints Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227434″ date=”20241007″][/gameforecast]
Chiefs vs. Saints Betting Trends
Here are some betting trends courtesy of our researcher, Evan Abrams:
- Carr is 24-35-2 ATS on the road since 2017, the least profitable road QB ATS in that span (135 of 135 QBs). He’s 26-26-1 ATS at home in that span.
- In Mahomes’ career, he is 25-8-1 ATS in games where he closes -3 or shorter or is an underdog. When he is above -3, he is 38-43-3 ATS career.
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