Ravens vs Chargers Player Prop: Gerald Everett
[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Gerald Everett Under 24.5 Receiving Yards (-115)” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/bal.png” awayname=”Ravens” awayslug=”baltimore-ravens” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sd.png” homename=”Chargers” homeslug=”los-angeles-chargers” date=”Sunday, Nov. 26″ time=”8:20 p.m. ET” network=”NBC” bookname=”DraftKings” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/477013_DraftKings@1x.png” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]
Gerald Everett is expected to return to action for the Chargers on Sunday Night Football, but I still expect this to be a fairly murky three-way committee at tight end between him, Donald Parham and Stone Smartt.
Both Parham and Smartt are coming off good games, so we might not see Everett return to a routes run rate of 55%-plus right away. I’m expecting him to be in the 45-55% range on SNF, which sets up nice value on the under against Baltimore.
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The Ravens are stingy against tight ends, allowing just 5.6 Y/A to the position, which is the second-lowest mark in the league Everett has only averaged 8.0 Y/R with an aDot of just 4.0 yards downfield.
I have him as a coin flip to go over 2.5 receptions and if he catches two passes exactly, I have a 75% chance he stays under 24.5 receiving yards. If he catches three passes, it’s still around a 43% chance he stays under.
I have his median closer to 19.5 receiving yards with a 60% chance of staying under 24.5.