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Rams vs Bears Picks, Odds, Predictions for NFL Week 4

PRO reveals a couple of best bets bursting with value when the Los Angeles Rams travel to Chicago to face the Bears at 1:00 p.m.

Both teams enter with identical 1-2 records. The Rams will lean on the offensive talents of quarterback Matthew Stafford and running back Kyren Williams, while the Bears’ fate rests on the shoulders of rookie quarterback Caleb Williams to get back on track.

The Rams, off an upset win, are currently 3-point underdogs. The over/under, meanwhile, is set at 40.5 points.

Bettors have intriguing angles to explore in this game, with sharp action indicating potential betting edges.

Rams vs. Bears Odds, Picks, Predictions

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  • Rams vs. Bears spread: Bears -3
  • Rams vs. Bears over/under: 40.5
  • Rams vs. Bears moneyline: Rams +140, Bears -165

Spread

When evaluating the spread, the Bears are three-point favorites. It’s the second time in the season that Matt Eberflus and Co. have been favorites.

Over/Under

The total for this game is set at 40.5 points.

Moneyline

The moneyline for this matchup has the Bears at -165 and the Rams at +140. This indicates a 62% implied probability for a Bears win versus a 42% implied chance for the Rams.

Player Prop

Scanning PRO Props, one of the more interesting bets for the Rams vs. Bears game is Cole Kmet to score the first touchdown. His odds to score first are +2100 at FanDuel, implying a 4.5% chance.

According to our PRO Projections, Kmet has a 0.6 chance to score the first TD. It’s a 1.5% edge, which ultimately falls short of the recommended bet threshold of 3.5%

Rams vs. Bears Prediction

Expert insights show 4/5 PRO Signals matching on the best bet when the Rams and Bears clash, bolstering the case for a strong pick Sunday.

Point Spread

Sharp money is backing the Bears to cover the spread. We’ve logged smart money rolling in on the favorites.

Also, our top NFL expert is siding with the Bears on the spread, further cementing the confidence in this pick.

[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227410″ date=”20240929″ week=”4″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]

Total

Soldier Field is slated for 16 mph winds Sunday.

There’s a noteworthy trend backing for the under, thanks to the “High Winds” PRO System, which carries a 57% win rate and a 10% ROI.
This system identifies games where wind conditions could limit scoring, suggesting that under 40.5 points hold value.

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Also, big money is on the under, even though it has only attracted 30% of the betting tickets, highlighting a potential edge.
To top it off, sharp money is also favoring the under, signaling that professionals expect a lower-scoring game.

Odds to Win

Big money is on the Rams to win. However, our experts locked in the Bears moneyline.

Our PRO Pick

Utilizing the comprehensive PRO insights, two recommendations for this game are to take the Bears -3 and under 40.5 points.

The combination of the High Winds PRO System, big money backing, and sharp action trends present a compelling case for the under.

Plus, sharps and experts converge on the spread to lock in a second sharp selection.

Rams vs. Bears Betting Trends

  • Rams are last in pass block according to PFF and Stafford has been pressured on 29 dropbacks, 2nd-most in NFL ahead of just Deshaun Watson (45).
  • The week after facing San Francisco, Stafford has lost four straight starts SU, he’s 2-5 SU with the Rams and is 2-3-2 ATS in that spot.

Rams vs. Bears Weather

[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227410″ date=”20240929″][/gameforecast]


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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.


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