PRO Report shows a smart bet for Sunday of NFL Week 4, featuring two teams off weird losses.
The San Francisco 49ers, coming off an upset loss to the Rams, are now 1-2 on the season, the same record held by the New England Patriots, who were soundly defeated by a 21-point margin last week.
Sunday’s NFL showdown between the Patriots and 49ers boasts two teams with stark contrasts. The 49ers, out of the NFC, are expected to contend. The rebuilding Patriots, meanwhile, travel from the east out of the AFC.
Scheduled to kick off at 4:05 p.m. ET at Levi’s Stadium, this game has plenty on the line for both teams.
With the 49ers favored by a hefty -10.5 points and the game total set at 40.5, this preview dives into various betting prospects including the spread, moneyline, and totals.
Patriots vs. 49ers Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Patriots vs. 49ers spread: 49ers -10.5
- Patriots vs. 49ers over/under: 40.5
- Patriots vs. 49ers moneyline: Patriots +450, 49ers -550
Spread
The 49ers are -10.5 vs. the Patriots. San Francisco has been favored in all four games.
Over/Under
The over/under is set at 40.5 points, with each side marked at -110.
Moneyline
The Niners’ -550 moneyline is the largest of Week 4. The Patriots are listed at +450 to pull off the upset.
Player Prop
Rhamondre Stevenson’s rush yards over/under is 54.5. PRO Projections make the fair line more like 59.
Patriots vs. 49ers Prediction
There’s a smart way to bet the game, utilizing PRO resources, specifically sharp and big-money signals.
Point Spread
Firstly, the “Bet Against Public After Bad Game (PRO)” System is activated, favoring the Patriots with a 61% win rate and an 18% ROI. This profitable system suggests that betting on the Patriots to cover the spread after a poor performance might yield positive results. Additionally, we’ve tracked sharp action on the 49ers, indicating that professional bettors see value in San Francisco covering the spread.
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Total
For the total, the analysis is clear-cut.
The game falls under the Big Money classification for the under, with 35% of the money against 23% of bets riding on the under 40.5, supported by sharp action.
These alignments indicate a smarter and potentially more profitable choice anchored in the extensive historical back-testing of our systems.
Odds to Win
In terms of winning outright, the Patriots attract significant Big Money support, capturing 48% of the money but only 5% of the bets. This stark difference highlights heavy, confident wagers from seasoned bettors who see potential value in backing the Patriots despite a huge underdog status.
Our PRO Pick
Combining all available PRO insights, it’s evident that the sharpest bet for this matchup lies in the total market. The alignment of sharp action and Big Money favoring the Under 40.5 suggests this option carries the best strategic edge.
Patriots vs. 49ers Betting Trends
- Jacoby Brissett is 32-19 1H ATS in his career.
- The 49ers are now 2-4 SU in games where McCaffrey gets fewer than 10 carries, and his teams (CAR, SF) are 19-30 SU when he either doesn’t play or has fewer than 10 carries.
Patriots vs. 49ers Weather
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