I’m building a 3-leg, +47150 touchdown parlay for Sunday of NFL Week 13 using PRO Projections centered around potential breakouts.
‘Three’ seems to be the magic number taking advantage of profit boosts and parlay promotions. Below, I’ll cover three touchdown picks I bet across the 1 p.m. and 4:05 p.m. ET windows, employing the smartest predictive models from our NFL experts.
The anytime TD scorer odds individually are +600, +650 and +800 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Another reason these are good selections to add: All three picks’ best odds at the time of writing are at FanDuel.
Parlay for NFL Sunday: +47150 Touchdown Bet for Week 13
These three picks made the cut for our weekly PRO holy grail of anytime touchdown scorers Sunday; they are also the top payouts of the six data-driven predictions.
We start in the early window for Colts vs. Patriots. Antonio Gibson is the largest projection edge of the week from Action PRO models and one to jump on earlier than later.
He’s +650 at FanDuel to score, which means a fair probability of 13.3%. Though Gibson doesn’t have a TD yet this season, our data is high on Gibson, logging a 23% chance he ends his season-long drought.
Patriots starting running back Rhamondre Stevenson’s production has been down the toilet the last month. Last week, an early hole to the Dolphins rendered Stevenson virtually useless. He only carried the ball nine times as Drake Maye racked up close to 40 pass attempts.
Gibson out-snapped Stevenson last week, 30 to 29. While that was largely correlated to the game script, can the coaching staff give the latter any more leash?
Gibson’s been good for a batch of touches a game. He’s due to get one sooner than later, especially if he can continue nipping into Stevenson’s share.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Antonio Gibson TD (+650)
Moving onto the second leg of the parlay for NFL Sunday, Rams vs. Saints features one of two picks in the afternoon slates.
New Orleans Saints tight end Foster Moreau feels extremely mispriced at +600.
Moreau is a Sean Koerner special if you tuned into the Week 13 Fantasy Flex podcast. Not only are Moreau’s route-running metrics solid, but his surface stats are pretty supportive, too: He already has three touchdowns this season!
The losses of Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed in the wide receiver room have completely shifted the Saints’ offensive identity — for the better if you’re holding any stock on Moreau, who has made a lot of plays in the wake.
Home game, turf, Rams defense, and a market expectation for nearly 50 points seem like a bunch of pros in favor of a player who seems to be flying extremely under the radar.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Foster Moreau TD (+600)
Predictive models outlook for Panthers QB Bryce Young is too good to pass up when the Panthers host the Buccaneers.
Young is perhaps on the verge of a breakout in the touchdown market. He already has one on the ground this season, which came back in the opener. He’s tallied at least three carries in three of four since taking the reins back. One of his favorite targets, TE Ja’Tavion Sanders, is out this week, chopping off at least one big option to score for Carolina.
Young is +800 to get in the endzone at FanDuel — an 11.1% probability.
Action PRO models give Young a 20% chance to score at any point versus the Bucs in the afternoon window.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Bryce Young TD (+800)
For what it’s worth, I used FanDuel’s 15% boost builder promo to take this +47150 parlay to +54223. Have a great NFL Sunday!
Parlay Price: +47150
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