Packers vs Bears NFL Odds, Pick, Prediction | Justin Fields Prop Bet for Week 1

[gamematchup league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/gb.png” awayname=”Packers” awayslug=”green-bay-packers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/chi.png” homename=”Bears” homeslug=”chicago-bears” date=”Sunday, Sept. 10″ time=”4:25 p.m. ET” network=”FOX” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+1.5″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”-1.5″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”41″ col2hometext=”41″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+105″ col3hometext=”-125″ col3awayline=”” col3homeLine=”” bookname=”bet365″ bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/860991_Bet365ALT.png” bookreviewslug=”bet365″][/gamematchup]

NFL Week 1 Packers vs. Bears odds have Chicago as a slight favorite in this NFC North rivalry matchup in Soldier Field.

Following a long offseason, I have my eyes on a Justin Fields prop. The Bears invested plenty into their offense – notably acquiring receiver DJ Moore – to make sure Fields takes a leap in his third season. We know Fields can run, but will passing catch up?

Let’s break down the matchup and make a Packers vs. Bears pick.

_InlineAdBlock

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Packers vs. Bears” subtext=”Matchup Analysis” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/gb.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/odds/green-bay-packers” link1follow=”false” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/chi.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/odds/chicago-bears” link2follow=”false”][/subheader]

The range of outcomes for Week 1 is wider than any other week of the season. With new players, new coaches, and another year of development, we’re never quite sure of what will happen until we see it on the field.

That uncertainty gives savvy bettors an opportunity to take advantage, which is why I’m a fan of taking angles on alternate lines at this point in the season.

There’s plenty of uncertainty on both sides in this game. Will Fields take a big leap with another year and the addition of D.J. Moore? Will Jordan Love be able to lead an efficient offense as he takes over for Aaron Rodgers?

[appcard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/27440_NFLArticleCard.png” cta=”The must-have app for NFL bettors” firstupsell=”The best NFL betting scoreboard” secondupsell=”Free picks from proven pros” thirdupsell=”Live win probabilities for your bets” buttontext=”DOWNLOAD NOW” buttonurl=”https://action.onelink.me/qhpb/c4aa6ad8″][/appcard]

However, my favorite angle to attack is with this Bears offense.

The Bears injury report is completely clean. Guard Teven Jenkins is on Injured Reserve, but he’s been out for a couple of weeks, so the Bears have had some time to plan. They’re shifting Cody Whitehair to left guard and Lucas Patrick will start at center.

Down the stretch in 2022, the run game jumpstarted Chicago’s offense. Once more designed runs for Fields were deployed, the Bears’ offense became more efficient.

While Fields’ rushing is great, both he and the team know he needs to improve as a passer. That’s why Chicago traded for Moore and drafted right tackle Darnell Wright in the first round

Fields has only thrown for over 200 yards six times in his career, two of which came last season. As a result, his passing yards prop is often set around 183 yards.

Green Bay was just a middle-of-the-pack passing defense and a poor run defense last season. The Packers ranked 15th in dropback success rate and 14th in EPA per dropback.

[procard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/965809_Book_Card.png” cta=”The ultimate NFL betting cheat code” firstupsell=”Best bets for every game” secondupsell=”Our model’s biggest weekly edges” thirdupsell=”Profitable data-driven system picks” buttontext=”SAVE 55% NOW!” buttonurl=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/pricing?intcmp=ArticleProCard&intcid=602442392″][/procard]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Packers vs. Bears” subtext=”Betting Picks & Predictions” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]

The Chicago Bears’ passing attack is all just imagination at this point. However, I think there’s a chance we’ll see what Fields and offensive coordinator Luke Getsy have been working over the offseason and that Fields will provide some juice in the passing game.

A +320 price implies there’s a 23.8% chance Fields will throw for over 225 yards, which is by no means a crazy expectation in terms of passing yards.

With all of the uncertainty in the air, I believe there’s significant upside in this bet.

[quickslip picktext=”Pick: Justin Fields 225+ Passing Yards (+350)” linktext=”Bet the NFL at FanDuel Using QuickSlip” link=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v1/deeplink?marketId=42.395604606&selectionId=41076122&context=qs-articles” linkfollow=”false” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png”][/quickslip]

_InlineAdBlockRestart