packers-vikings-prediction-nfl-sunday-betting-algorithm-pick-september-11

Sunday Packers vs. Vikings NFL Prediction: The Betting Algorithm Pick for Late Afternoon Window (Sept. 11)

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

Packers Odds +104
Vikings Odds -122
Over/Under 46.5
Date Sunday, September 11
Time 4:25 p.m. ET
Channel FOX

*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday morning.

There is a historically profitable betting algorithm developed by the Action Network that has a betting edge for this late afternoon contest between the Packers and Vikings.

The algorithm targets the moneyline and factors in injuries, matchups, weather conditions and more.

This edge provides about a 3.4% edge in betting value, which indicates the pick has implied odds that are more than 3.4% higher than the odds available to you in the markets.

Essentially, the line is currently at a 3.4% discount across the market.

Over the long run, if you only bet on lines with at least an 3.4% betting edge, you’re almost assured to make a profit. In the short term, of course, variance is a constraint.

Packers vs. Vikings Algorithm Prediction for Sunday

Odds and betting data updated as of 11 a.m. ET.

The models are rolling heavily with the Packers moneyline as one of the best NFL moneyline picks of the day.

The algorithm thinks their moneyline should be closer to -104. Meanwhile, the best price you can get on the market is with DraftKings and PointsBet at +110.

Remember, though, even small differences in lines make a big difference in the long run. The market-worst price of Packers +102, for instance, saps about 2% of value from this betting edge — enough to downgrade this pick precipitously.

So make sure to line shop properly before placing a bet using our algorithms.

As aforementioned, this line gives you $3.40 of expected value for every $100 wagered over the long run, according to our algorithms.

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