Two PRO Systems submitted 10 combined spread and over/under picks for NFL Week 16. Who’s ready for a big week of betting edges?
Picks start on Thursday Night Football, continue on Saturday and run through Sunday Night Football.
The first spread angle accounts for fading teams that are ripe for letdowns. This PRO System highlighted five best bets.
The over/under betting trend, meanwhile, hinges on divisional matchups — and Week 16 is full of them.
Let’s check out both winning Action PRO models, how they work, and which predictions ultimately made the cut based on situational betting patterns.
NFL Week 16 Picks, Betting Preview: Best Spread, Over/Under Predictions
The first PRO System is titled “Fade Covering Teams”.
In Week 5 and beyond, when two separate factors converge, we get a solid trend cashing 56% against the spread.
When teams covering the spread by more than five points per game face teams with 0-60% win percentages, the teams covering spreads by nearly a touchdown only win against the spread about 44% of the time!
The public usually flocks to teams capable of winning against the spread, especially if they’re facing a non-contender. Our PRO System found these teams struggle performing to market expectations.
In Week 16, five teams are fade material, due to covering by more than five points per game and facing teams with 0-60% win percentages: The Broncos, Bills, Lions, Vikings and Buccaneers.
Therefore, their opponents — the Chargers, Patriots, Bears, Seahawks, and Cowboys — are the picks for Week 16.
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The Broncos and Chargers face off on Thursday Night Football. The Broncos are covering by 5.8 points per game, ultimately signaling a downturn.
The Bills vs. Patriots, Lions vs. Bears, Seahawks vs. Vikings and Buccaneers vs. Cowboys games are on Sunday.
Fade Covering Teams Picks for Week 16:
- Chargers -3
- Patriots +14
- Bears +6.5
- Seahawks +4.5
- Cowboys +4
Transitioning to NFL totals for Week 16, the “Divisional Unders” PRO System is live.
This angle is simple: Divisional matchups taking place in Week 9 and later, outdoors, with a total of 45 or higher, have gone under 59% of the time since tracking began.
Familiarity, weather and other factors contribute to this premium PRO System. Week 16 is loaded with divisional matchups fitting the bill, beginning on Saturday.
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Divisional Unders Picks for Week 16:
- Steelers vs. Ravens Under 45
- Browns vs. Bengals Under 49
- Eagles vs. Commanders Under 45
- Bears vs. Lions Under 46.5
- Patriots vs. Bills Under 46.5
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