My confidence ratings for each pick is next to the player’s name is out of 10.
NFL Underdog, PrizePicks Plays
In the table below, you’ll find each of our NFL staff’s top picks from today’s 1 p.m. ET slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Koerner’s Picks |
|---|---|
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Tennessee Titans” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ten.png” text=”Mason Kinsey”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Chicago Bears” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/chi.png” text=”Isaiah Ford”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#3″ firstfullname=”Indianapolis Colts” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” text=”Sam Ehlinger”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Indianapolis Colts” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” text=”Breshad Perriman”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#5″ firstfullname=”Indianapolis Colts” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” text=”Deon Jackson”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#6″ firstfullname=”Indianapolis Colts” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” text=”Mike Strachan”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#7″ firstfullname=”Tennessee Titans” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ten.png” text=”Will Levis”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. ET | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#8″ firstfullname=”Buffalo Bills” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” text=”Kyle Allen”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bears vs. Titans”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/chi.png” awayname=”Chicago Bears” awayslug=”chicago-bears” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ten.png” homename=”Tennessee Titans” homeslug=”tennessee-titans” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”NFL Network”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Mason Kinsey (8/10)” subtext=”Under 21.5 Receiving Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ten.png” trailinglogourl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/UnderdogFantasy.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/underdog-fantasy” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
The Titans will likely use 10 wide receivers today and rotate between Malik Willis and Will Levis. Kinsey doesn’t stand out from the pack, and I’m projecting him for closer to 14.5 receiving yards.
Pick: Mason Kinsey Under 21.5 Receiving Yards
_PromotionID=[2313]
[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bears vs. Titans”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/chi.png” awayname=”Chicago Bears” awayslug=”chicago-bears” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ten.png” homename=”Tennessee Titans” homeslug=”tennessee-titans” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”NFL Network”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Isaiah Ford (9/10)” subtext=”Under 25.5 Receiving Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/chi.png” trailinglogourl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/UnderdogFantasy.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/underdog-fantasy” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
The Bears may have 10 WRs active. Ford is a veteran who may need 3+ receptions to clear this in a crowded WR room. I’m projecting him for closer to 17.5.
Pick: Isaiah Ford Under 25.5 Receiving Yards
[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Colts vs. Bills”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” awayname=”Indianapolis Colts” awayslug=”indianapolis-colts” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” homename=”Buffalo Bills” homeslug=”buffalo-bills” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”CBS Buffalo | CBS 4″][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Sam Ehlinger (9/10)” subtext=”Over 11.5 Rushing Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” trailinglogourl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/UnderdogFantasy.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/underdog-fantasy” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
Ehlinger should play most of the second half and scramble a ton. I’m projecting closer to 16.5 rushing yards.
Pick: Sam Ehlinger Over 11.5 Rushing Yards
_PromotionID=[2313]
[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Colts vs. Bills”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” awayname=”Indianapolis Colts” awayslug=”indianapolis-colts” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” homename=”Buffalo Bills” homeslug=”buffalo-bills” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”CBS Buffalo | CBS 4″][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Breshad Perriman (8/10)” subtext=”Under 22.5 Receiving Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” trailinglogourl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/UnderdogFantasy.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/underdog-fantasy” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
The Colts might be using 12 wide receivers today. Perriman is a veteran, so they may not need to see him much. I’m projecting him for closer to 15.5.
Pick: Breshad Perriman Under 22.5 Receiving Yards
[anchor name=”5″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Colts vs. Bills”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” awayname=”Indianapolis Colts” awayslug=”indianapolis-colts” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” homename=”Buffalo Bills” homeslug=”buffalo-bills” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”CBS Buffalo | CBS 4″][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Deon Jackson (10/10)” subtext=”Under 35.5 Rush + Receiving Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” trailinglogourl=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/UnderdogFantasy.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/underdog-fantasy” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
Jackson might not suit up due to a quad injury, so this might end up being a DNP. If he does play, I would assume it’s a brief stint. It seems like this will either be an amazing play or a DNP.
Pick: Deon Jackson Under 35.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
_PromotionID=[2313]
[anchor name=”6″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Colts vs. Bills”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” awayname=”Indianapolis Colts” awayslug=”indianapolis-colts” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” homename=”Buffalo Bills” homeslug=”buffalo-bills” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”CBS Buffalo | CBS 4″][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Mike Strachan (8/10)” subtext=”Under 23.5 Receiving Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/11408_PrizePicks.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/prizepicks” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
The Colts might be using 12 WRs today. They already know what they have in Strachan, so I’m not expecting a ton of playing time. I’m projecting him for closer to 16.5.
Pick: Mike Strachan Under 23.5 Receiving Yards
_PromotionID=[20596]
[anchor name=”7″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Bears vs. Titans”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/chi.png” awayname=”Chicago Bears” awayslug=”chicago-bears” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ten.png” homename=”Tennessee Titans” homeslug=”tennessee-titans” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”NFL Network”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Will Levis (9/10)” subtext=”Over 83.5 Passing Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ten.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/11408_PrizePicks.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/prizepicks” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
Levis will alternate every couple drives with Willis, which means he should play about a half of the game. The Titans will want to see him throw the ball as well. I’m projecting him for closer to 108.5.
Pick: Will Levis Over 83.5 Passing Yards
[anchor name=”8″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Colts vs. Bills”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” awayname=”Indianapolis Colts” awayslug=”indianapolis-colts” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” homename=”Buffalo Bills” homeslug=”buffalo-bills” date=”Saturday, Aug. 12″ time=”1 p.m. ET ET” network=”CBS Buffalo | CBS 4″][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Kyle Allen (5/10, rain is a conern)” subtext=”Over 90.5 Passing Yards” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/buf.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/11408_PrizePicks.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/prizepicks” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
By Sean Koerner
Allen should start and play the first half. He’ll have Gabe Davis and Dalton Kincaid to throw to for most of the first quarter. I’m projecting Allen for closer to 100.5.
Pick: Kyle Allen Over 90.5 Passing Yards
_PromotionID=[20596]