NFL anytime touchdown odds and picks are among the most popular prop lines for football bettors for a myriad of reasons.
First, they’re easy to understand — they cash whenever a player scores a touchdown.
And second, outside of the most frequent scorers, there’s an opportunity for plus-money and even long-shot payouts, making NFL touchdown picks a way for bettors to risk a little while potentially winning a lot.
There are a handful of longer shot anytime touchdown picks offering value on Sunday specifically, but according to Action PRO’s projections, which are powered by Sean Koerner, one Bills vs. Chiefs bet stands above the rest for today’s conference championship games.
Below we unveil the largest (and it’s really not that close) NFL touchdown pick for Sunday’s doubleheader.
NFL Touchdown Odds, Smartest Pick for Bills vs. Chiefs
*Odds as of Sunday morning
There are plenty of players capable of finding paydirt for Bills vs. Chiefs, including both quarterbacks.
However, Action PRO’s anytime touchdown projections are pegging Kansas City wide receiver Xavier Worthy as the biggest edge across Sunday’s NFC and AFC Championship Games.
The Chiefs rookie is an absolute burner who can not only score through the air, but can also score in the running game, evidenced by three touchdowns on 20 carries during the regular season.
Our data projects Worthy at 0.48 touchdowns against Buffalo, which translates to a 4.7% edge when compared to his +200 price tag at bet365 and BetMGM as of the time of writing.
A quick scan of the market shows Worthy’s odds ranging from +170 to +200, so don’t be lazy and just settle for any number when 2-1 odds are easily found at multiple sportsbooks.
PRO Pick: Worthy (+200) to Score an Anytime Touchdown
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