The first two point spreads for NFL Thursday’s Thanksgiving games match our proprietary ATS betting models, complete with suggested predictions.
Whether you’re a fan of the teams playing, interested in legitimate edges for the early football games, or are stumped and looking for strong betting resources to tail, PRO Systems provide the answer.
Our advanced betting angles with lifetime win rates show picks for Bears vs. Lions (12:30 p.m. ET) and Giants vs. Cowboys (4:30 p.m.).
One team matches two back-tested systems, in fact, while the other spread is a fit for Action PRO’s “blowout” model.
NFL Spreads Thursday: Expert Data Picks for Bears vs. Lions, Giants vs. Cowboys
Expert Action PRO Model Picks for Bears vs. Lions
Head coach Dan Campbell and the Lions aren’t just Super Bowl contenders; they’re destroying teams and pummeling closing lines.
Detroit’s morphed from hunter to hunted, yet is somehow exceeding betting market expectations this season.
The Lions enter their Week 13 Thanksgiving game vs. the division-rival Bears covering the spread by more than 10 points per game.
Alert! Our “Fade Covering Teams” PRO System is active for Lions vs. Bears. This model kicks in Week 5 and beyond.
When teams covering the spread by more than five points per game face a team with a win percentage between 0-60%, the hot, covering team only covers 44% of the time.
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Detroit’s beating the closing line by 10.32 points per contest, up against a team with a win percentage of 36%.
Historically, teams like the Chicago Bears (+10) have fared well against the spread.
PRO System Pick: Bears Spread
Expert Action PRO Model Picks for Giants vs. Cowboys
Ah, the sides get uglier.
In the second game on Thanksgiving, the New York Giants to cover the spread matches not one, but two PRO Systems.
The Giants are +3.5 at Dallas. The G-Men lost 30-7 last week.
Historically, the Dogs After Blowout PRO System reveals underdogs of +3 after a loss by 20+ the previous week cover 57% of the time.
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Also, the Giants are getting no love in our betting trackers following their dismal performance. We’ve logged just 22% of the bets against the spread on Brian Daboll and New York.
However, here’s where things get interesting.
The public obviously isn’t attracted to bad offenses. We found that when teams are held to single digits, and receive less than 30% of tickets against the spread, they actually outperform expectations, covering 60% of the time!
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PRO System Pick: Giants Spread
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