A 59%-winning betting model popped with multiple picks Sunday for NFL Week 13.
After crunching Sunday’s NFL spreads, the profitable angle revealed picks for two games in the early window: Cardinals vs. Steelers and Broncos vs. Texans.
Today’s NFL model picks are derived from an angle accounting for spread range, over/under and other key, betting info.
Sunday’s Broncos vs. Texans NFL odds feature CJ Stroud and Houston as home favorites against Russell Wilson and the Broncos.
The trendy Steelers, meanwhile, are home favorites against the Cardinals.
Check out two picks against the spread Sunday of NFL Week 12, backed by a betting model 363-253-16 (59%) lifetime on predictions.
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NFL Spread Picks | Sunday, Week 13
Get this: Today’s model picks also account for how teams performed last season.
Action Network’s “Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season” PRO system is alerted to bet:
- Road underdogs
- Between +0.5 and +6.5
- With an over/under lower than 50
The most unique filter, though, is adding teams which won six or fewer games a year ago.
The theory claims:
“This system looks to take advantage of the perception that the team may not be very good based on last season’s results. Small dogs when the total isn’t too high have covered at a very high rate.”
Broncos vs. Texans ATS Pick
[gamematchup league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/den.png” awayname=”Broncos” awayslug=”denver-broncos” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/hou.png” homename=”Texans” homeslug=”houston-texans” date=”Sunday, Dec 3″ time=”1:00pm ET” network=”CBS” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+3″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”-3″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”47.5″ col2hometext=”47.5″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+136″ col3hometext=”-162″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/448044_DKIcon_3x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
It’s a model pick on head coach Sean Payton and the Broncos to cover the spread in a matchup of two teams trending the right direction.
Denver’s won five straight entering Week 13, covering four.
PRO System Prediction: Broncos ATS
Cardinals vs. Steelers ATS Pick
[gamematchup league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ari.png” awayname=”Cardinals” awayslug=”arizona-cardinals” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/pit.png” homename=”Steelers” homeslug=”pittsburgh-steelers” date=”Sunday, Dec 3″ time=”1:00pm ET” network=”CBS” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+6.5″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”-6.5″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”41″ col2hometext=”41″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+228″ col3hometext=”-285″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”Caesars” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/463646_Caesars.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars”][/gamematchup]
The Cardinals fit this system — and another in Week 13!
Our PRO system labeled “Dogs After Blowout” shows value betting NFL spreads of +3 or more after a team loses by 20 – just as Arizona did last week.
PRO System Prediction: Cardinals ATS
For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NFL season, check out the latest NFL odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.
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