The best PRO System picks to close out the NFL regular season all hinge on fading the obvious prediction.
We’ll cover two premium betting systems for NFL Week 18, which includes a grand total of four spread picks from betting trends, cashing 59% and roughly 60%. These four games match:
- Browns vs. Ravens
- Bears vs. Packers
- Bills vs. Patriots
- Commanders vs Eagles
- Giants vs. Eagles
- Seahawks vs. Rams
One of the situational models pinged by Action Labs comes courtesy of our elite researcher, Evan Abrams.
His near-60% betting system ties into another betting trend, but both mantras are the same: Fade the public side.
NFL Spread Predictions: Bears vs Packers, Bills vs Patriots Lead Best Week 18 Picks
Picks start Saturday and run through the late-afternoon slate Sunday of Week 18.
Browns vs. Ravens Odds, Pick
In the first game of Week 18, the Cleveland Browns match a PRO System labeled “Bet Against Public After Bad Game.” This angle is live with a bunch of valuable spread picks due to what happened last week.
Using ticket counts, the first PRO Systems finds that teams attracting less than 30% of public betting tickets we log cover the spread about 60% of the time if they’re off a game in which they scored single digits.
The model theory suggests that the public wants nothing to do with offenses that left a bad taste in its mouth the week prior.
The Browns, who scored three points last week, are getting 25% of the handle — a direct hit for Cleveland to cover based on past trends.
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PRO System Pick: Browns to Cover
Bears vs. Packers Odds, Pick
The Chicago Bears are a match against the spread for two systems in the regular-season finale vs. Green Bay.
Chicago, off a 6-3 loss, is bringing in a paltry 6% of the tickets. Historically, these types of teams are great for “Bet Against the Public After a Bad Game.”
Secondly, researcher Evan Abrams found that after Week 5, teams rolling against the spread are way overvalued vs. bad teams.
When an opponent boasts a win percentage between 0-25% (like the Bears), the “bad” teams tend to cover roughly 59% of the time if the rolling team is covering by more than five points per game (like the Packers).
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PRO System Pick: Bears to Cover
Bills vs. Patriots Odds, Pick
The Patriots also fit both systems!
New England got drilled last week in a game that mustered single digits. Now, getting just 25% of tickets, it’s an undervalued side nobody’s highlighting.
PRO System Pick: Patriots to Cover
Giants vs. Eagles Odds, Pick
Sticking with the early-window games, watch out for the Giants plus the points.
New York boasts an appropriately low win percentage against a team (Philly) rolling against the spread — a nice play using Abrams’ betting system.
PRO System Pick: Giants to Cover
Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds, Pick
The Dallas Cowboys are active for “Bet Against Public After Bad Game” following a seven-point offensive performance against the Eagles.
However, due to light ticket counts (Dallas is attracting just 25% of slips), the lifeless Cowboys would be a model pick.
PRO System Pick: Cowboys to Cover
Seahawks vs. Rams Odds, Pick
Finally, the Seahawks were alerted for the Bet Against PRO System. Considering Seattle just scored six points and is landing a minority of tickets, it’s a spread to look out for in Week 18.
PRO System Pick: Seahawks to Cover
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