colts vs jaguars-line-pick-prediction-nfl-oct 15-2023-sunday gardner minshew nfl colts qb

NFL Spread Picks Week 6 | Colts vs. Jaguars Prediction from Winning Model (Sunday, Oct. 15)

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Action Network PRO and Bet Labs‘ winning models are live Sunday of NFL Week 6 with plenty of picks to consider.

One 62%-winning NFL angle in particular is buzzing for Sunday’s AFC South clash in Jaguars vs. Colts.

Today, it singled out a prediction to consider against the spread.

Sunday of NFL Week 6 is the second Colts vs. Jaguars matchup of the season. Jacksonville covered in the opening-season win.

Quarterback Gardner Minshew gets the nod for Indianapolis in replace of an injured Anthony Richardson.

Sunday’s Colts vs. Jaguars prediction also features Minshew starting against his former team.

Let’s dive into the top-rated NFL model prediction, backed by an angle that’s come through on 62% of past picks.

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Colts vs. Jaguars Pick, Prediction


Sunday’s model pick is on the Indianapolis Colts against the spread.

Minshew and the Colts Sunday match Bet Labs’ Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season PRO model in Week 7.

This 62%-winning trend banks on:

  • Road underdogs
  • When the betting spread is 0.5-6.5
  • With an over/under at 50 or lower

The biggest factor, though, is teams that won six or fewer games the previous season – as the Colts did (4-12).

[betlabsembed systemid=”1039990″ systemname=”Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season (PRO)” leaguename=”nfl” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20was%20played%20on%20Sunday%20or%20Monday%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Dog%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20previous%20season%20win%20total%20is%20between%200%20and%206%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Visitor%20team%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20spread%20is%20between%200.5%20and%206.5%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%200%20and%2050%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20played%20in%20September%20or%20December%20or%20November%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$8,615″ record=”246-152-10″ winpct=”62%”][/betlabsembed]

The NFL model’s theory states:

This system looks to take advantage of the perceptions that a team may not be very good based on last season’s results. When the total isn’t too high, small dogs have covered at a very high rate.”

Jacksonville has been a bit overvalued as a favorite, covering just three of the last 10 occasions.

The best odds on the Colts against the spread at the time of writing is at BetRivers.

Before wagering on Colts vs. Jags, unlock bonus bets using Action’s BetRivers promo code.

PRO Report Prediction: Colts ATS

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For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NFL season, check out the latest NFL odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.


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