Two low-profile running back props help fuel a +1100 SGP in the Raiders vs. Dolphins game on Sunday. One leg of the parlay is a touchdown best bet, and the other is an over/under pick.
If you’re interested in red-hot PRO models’ best overall touchdown picks for Sunday in general, they’re right here.
Below, we’re taking Action’s premium TD predictor’s strongest pick to score anytime Sunday at current odds and adding one more leg backed by expert analysis for a smart +1100 NFL same-game parlay in Raiders vs. Dolphins Sunday of Week 11 at bet365.
NFL SGP Sunday of Week 11: Same-Game Parlay Prediction for Raiders vs. Dolphins
I’ll be honest: Sunday’s same-game parlay is grimy. It’s not the prettiest parlay, but it’s data-driven, featuring two big edges way off the lines we made for NFL Week 11.
Let’s start with the juicy touchdown pick, anchoring the SGP for Dolphins vs. Raiders.
One of Action PRO TD models’ top eight picks this Sunday is an under-the-radar running back in the Las Vegas-Miami game. If you’ve been listening to resident NFL expert Sean Koerner throughout the week, you may have an idea.
This player wasn’t the top overall edge when we released our holy grail, but as projections update, he is at the time of writing.
The first leg of the parlay is Dolphins running back Jaylen Wright (+550) to score at any point.
Koerner referenced last week’s Dolphins vs. Rams game as a launching point for Wright, a rookie out of Tennessee. The running back is slowly climbing up the depth chart ahead of Raheem Mostert, and Miami’s offense, as Koerner noted, can support a two-back system alongside De’Von Achane.
+650 mean odds means the market’s giving Wright about a 15% chance to score. Action PRO models are much more optimistic, pegging Wright for a 22% chance.
Miami’s a big favorite, there’s potential wind in the forecast, and Wright’s playing time is trending up.
It gets grimier to close out the SGP: Raiders RB Zamir White over 15.5 rushing yards.
Admittedly, it may seem like a terrible spot for White on Sunday. He’s lost nearly his entire role due to early-season inconsistencies and his team’s a big underdog Sunday. However, it’s simply a projection mismatch, in which the market’s way too low on White.
His over/under is 15.5 rushing yards, but our predictive models predict White to rack up around 29. It’s the perfect leg to add to a solid TD edge.
SGP Price: +1100
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