Action PRO touchdown picks were perfect Monday, with both picks (+600 and +200) cashing in the first quarter!
For Saturday of NFL Week 18, four strong touchdown picks from our TD tool stick out across the two games.
We’ll cover two TD predictions in Browns vs. Ravens, and another pair of best bets for Bengals vs. Steelers.
The lowest payout is +310, while the largest is +1200.
Let’s stay hot!
NFL Saturday Picks: Week 18 Touchdown Predictions
Saturday’s touchdown card features a mix of wide receivers, tight ends and quarterbacks
In the Browns vs. Ravens game to open Week 18, the largest touchdown edge for Action PRO Projections is Isaiah Likely.
Expert data pegs Likely for 0.38 touchdowns on Saturday vs. the Browns. The market’s not exactly respecting Baltimore’s tight end in the touchdown space, with Likely priced +375 at Caesars.
Likely scored last weekend and already has six touchdowns on the season.
His +375 price to score vs. the Browns produces a gaudy 10.9% edge and the second-best pick of all players for Week 18 at the time of writing.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Isaiah Likely TD (+375)
The second Ravens player with value in the touchdown market is wide receiver Rashod Bateman.
Lamar Jackson likes to spread the ball around, but Week 18 could be a prime spot for Bateman in particular to feast.
NFL expert Chris Raybon noted on the Fantasy Flex podcast that Bateman’s a solid play in DFS this week, as he excels vs. man coverage – which the Browns play a lot of.
Bateman has eight touchdowns on the year. PRO Projections predict him to score about 0.34 touchdowns Saturday, which means grabbing +320 at Caesars (a +5.2% edge) is an excellent play.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Rashod Bateman TD (+320)
Moving onto the Bengals vs. Steelers game, Pat Freiermuth is the pick to click for Pittsburgh.
Action PRO models whipped up a projection of 0.34 touchdowns for the Penn State product vs. the leaky Bengals defense. FanDuel’s price of +310 suggests a touchdown for Freiermuth about one-quarter of the time.
Freiermuth to score anytime Saturday produces a formidable 4.6% over the market.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Pat Freiermuth TD (+310)
Lastly, Joe Burrow +1200 at FanDuel is a great pick.
Expert Sean Koerner’s fair price for the Bengals QB to run one in is about +1000. Plus, Koerner specifically mentioned Burrow a good bet for a touchdown on the Fantasy Flex podcast.
Koerner stressed Burrow’s health as a positive, evidenced by the quarterback’s recent uptick in rushing yards, as well as his second rushing touchdown of the season last weekend once Chase Brown went down with an injury.
Brown’s banged up and it’s do or die for the Bengals; picking their franchise quarterback to cross the goal line at 12/1 is a smart look.
PRO TD Projections Pick: Joe Burrow TD (+1200)
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