NFL Props: Interception Bets Week 17
In the table below, you’ll find each of Gilles Gallant’s interception prop picks for the Sunday NFL Week 17 slate. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific INT bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#1″ firstfullname=”Baltimore Ravens” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/bal.png” text=”Lamar Jackson”][/teammatchup] |
| 1 p.m. | [teammatchup shadow=”false” link=”#2″ firstfullname=”Indianapolis Colts” firstlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” text=”Gardner Minshew”][/teammatchup] |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
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[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Dolphins vs. Ravens”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/mia.png” awayname=”Miami Dolphins” awayslug=”miami-dolphins” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/bal.png” homename=”Baltimore Ravens” homeslug=”baltimore-ravens” date=”Sunday, Dec. 31″ time=”1 p.m. ET” network=”CBS”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Lamar Jackson” subtext=”Interception (+105)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/bal.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/betmgm” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
It seems fitting to fade Jackson now that he’s the betting favorite for NFL MVP.
Jackson has seven interceptions this season and the Dolphins defense is extremely underrated in this prop market.
The Dolphins are top five in total passes defended and interception rate per dropback. Their defensive line ranks first in pressure rate and the unit is also bottom five in blitz rate. This means they can have the likes of Jalen Ramsey and Xavien Howard sit back in coverage and wait for an errant throw.
Miami has consistently forced turnovers and had an eight-game interception streak before Dak Prescott broke the run. For the season, Miami has forced a pick in 12-of-15 games.
Pick: Lamar Jackson Interception (+105)
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[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Raiders vs. Colts”][/subheader]
[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/oak.png” awayname=”Las Vegas Raiders” awayslug=”las-vegas-raiders” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” homename=”Indianapolis Colts” homeslug=”indianapolis-colts” date=”Sunday, Dec. 31″ time=”1 p.m. ET” network=”CBS”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”Gardner Minshew” subtext=”Interception (+135)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ind.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/859377_Bet365@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/bet365″ trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
This is another gross one, but at these odds, I’m going to bet it every time.
What nobody wants to admit is Gardner Minshew is a backup QB posing as a starter. Now he’s facing a revitalized Raiders defense that forced Patrick Mahomes to throw a pick on Christmas Day.
The Raiders defense has 12 interceptions and has forced an opposing QB to throw a pick in 10-of-15 games. They have an above-average INT rate per dropback (2.4%); the pressure their defensive line generates is why they rarely blitz. Vegas ranks in the bottom three team in blitz rate because they play zone coverage at a top-10 rate.
Games involving Minshew tend to get wild. We’re talking pick-sixes, special teams blunders (poor Tennessee) and overall mayhem because of the chances he takes.
He has nine interceptions and is top five amongst all QBs in balls deflected or tipped at the line of scrimmage. The reason why we’re getting this price is because Minshew is at home and it’s the Raiders.
Pick: Gardner Minshew Interception (+135)
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