Expert projections are all over a couple NFL player props for Week 3. And it’s rookie quarterback Bo Nix under the spotlight for two of the best picks.
The lull between Thursday and Sunday can feel like forever. We’re taking that time to capitalize on NFL player props using data powered by expert Sean Koerner and the Action Analytics Team. Koerner’s off an impressive 14-0 record on picks last week, a bulk of them NFL player props.
These two Week 3 picks for Bo Nix are extremely correlated for Broncos vs. Buccaneers player props on Sunday.
Is the Broncos rookie ready for a breakthrough?
NFL Player Props, Week 3 Picks for Bo Nix
Nix has struggled throwing the ball down the field. Naturally, he also looks like a shell of the rookie that blossomed during preseason.
Nix and the Broncos are touchdown-sized underdogs against the Buccaneers, with a total of about 40.
Updated PRO Projections reveal edges in two certain prop markets on Sunday of Week 3.
Bo Nix Pass Attempts
The odds for Nix’s pass attempts are tabbed at 29.5. According to Action PRO Projections, Nix’s attempts should be closer to 32.50
The Broncos are underdogs and could be chucking in a negative game script. It’s a 14.8% edge and a solid bet on Nix to go over his attempts.
PRO Props Pick: Bo Nox Over 29.5 Passing Attempts
Bo Nix Pass Completions
In a correlated move, PRO Projections disagree with Nix’s completions prop posted at over/under 18.5.
Our prediction for Nix is more like 20.4 completions, opening up another beefy edge on the over.
PRO Props Pick: Bo Nix Over 18.5 Completions
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