NFL over/under picks often get overlooked in a spread-driven market.
Let NFL PRO help out with some predictions Sunday Week 1.
Using expert projections, sharp money and more, we’ve spotted three over/under picks to consider betting in Week 1.
These predictions feature Week 1 picks Sunday for:
- San Francisco 49ers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders
- Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
The Steelers were one of the best under bets in the NFL last season (10-7).
The Bears (10-7) and Cardinals (8-7-2), meanwhile, were two profitable bets to the over.
With that in mind, let’s dive into all three picks for Week 1.
NFL over/under odds as of Sept. 10
NFL Over/Under Picks Week 1
49ers vs. Steelers Pick
[gamematchup league="nfl" awaylogo="https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png" awayname="49ers" awayslug="san-francisco-49ers" homelogo="https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/pit.png" homename="Steelers" homeslug="pittsburgh-steelers" date="Sunday, Sep 10" time="1:00pm ET" network="FOX" col1text="Spread" col2text="Total" col3text="Moneyline" col1awaytext="-2.5" col1awayline="-110" col1hometext="+2.5" col1homeline="-110" col2awaytext="41.5" col2hometext="41.5" col2awayline="-110o / -110u" col2homeline="-110o / -110u" col3awaytext="-130" col3hometext="+110" col3awayline="" col3homeline="" bookname="DraftKings" bookthumbnaillogo="https://assets.actionnetwork.com/448044_DKIcon_3x.png" bookreviewslug="draftkings"][/gamematchup]Sharp Action and Big Money signals are active on 49ers vs. Steelers under the total.
We’ve logged 62% of the betting tickets on the San Francisco-Pittsburgh over.
However, the over/under is split 50-50 in terms of the money count, with smart action rolling in on the 49ers-Steelers under.
PRO Report Pick: 49ers vs. Steelers Under
Cardinals vs. Commanders Pick
[gamematchup league="nfl" awaylogo="https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ari.png" awayname="Cardinals" awayslug="arizona-cardinals" homelogo="https://assets.actionnetwork.com/698864_Commanders.png" homename="Commanders" homeslug="washington-football-team" date="Sunday, Sep 10" time="1:00pm ET" network="FOX" col1text="Spread" col2text="Total" col3text="Moneyline" col1awaytext="+7" col1awayline="-110" col1hometext="-7" col1homeline="-110" col2awaytext="38" col2hometext="38" col2awayline="-110o / -110u" col2homeline="-110o / -110u" col3awaytext="+260" col3hometext="-325" col3awayline="" col3homeline="" bookname="DraftKings" bookthumbnaillogo="https://assets.actionnetwork.com/448044_DKIcon_3x.png" bookreviewslug="draftkings"][/gamematchup]Another sharp-action and big-money tool play is Cardinals vs. Commanders under.
Close to 60% of the tickets have landed on Arizona-Washington under the total — and pros agree, with 84% of the money matching.
Both offenses are projected to be below-average relative to league standards this season, particularly Arizona.
PRO Report Pick: Cardinals vs. Commanders Under
Packers vs. Bears Pick
[gamematchup league="nfl" awaylogo="https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/gb.png" awayname="Packers" awayslug="green-bay-packers" homelogo="https://assets.actionnetwork.com/598430_bears1.png" homename="Bears" homeslug="chicago-bears" date="Sunday, Sep 10" time="4:25pm ET" network="FOX" col1text="Spread" col2text="Total" col3text="Moneyline" col1awaytext="+1.5" col1awayline="-110" col1hometext="-1.5" col1homeline="-110" col2awaytext="41.5" col2hometext="41.5" col2awayline="-104o / -118u" col2homeline="-104o / -118u" col3awaytext="+108" col3hometext="-126" col3awayline="" col3homeline="" bookname="FanDuel" bookthumbnaillogo="https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png" bookreviewslug="fanduel"][/gamematchup]PRO Projections’ biggest over/under edge Sunday of NFL Week 1 is Packers vs. Bears over the total.
The Packers vs. Bears over/under dropped a few points during the week as injury reports were released, from 43.5 to 41.5.
However, we’re much more in line with the previous number than the current.
And although the two-point difference was a medium-strength edge from NFL projections standards, experts and big money are in step on the Green Bay-Chicago over.
Justin Fields vs. Jordan Love is about as low-floor, high-ceiling as it gets. Experts are banking on some offense at Soldier Field.
The over in Week 1 is catching 77% of the coin on just 55% of bet slips, triggering aforementioned sharp and money tools.
PRO Report Pick: Packers vs. Bears Over
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For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NCAAF season, check out the latest college football odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.