The NFL Divisional Round gets underway with the Houston Texans taking on the Kansas City Chiefs at 4:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN) on Saturday.
Live NFL odds show the Chiefs as 8.5-point spread favorites against the Texans with Saturday’s over/under listed at 41.5.
Fifty-five percent of spread tickets have come in on Kansas City, though it’s the over/under that’s catching the eyes of professional bettors.
Using Action PRO’s premium tools and betting software, let’s dig into the NFL over/under pick that wiseguys are making for Saturday’s Texans vs. Chiefs Divisional Round matchup.
Sharpest NFL Over/Under Pick for Texans vs. Chiefs
*Odds as of Friday afternoon
Seventy-seven percent of tickets wagered on the total have come in on one side, according to Action Network’s NFL public betting data.
Specifically, public bettors are loading up on the Texans vs. Chiefs over, while the pros are on the under instead.
DraftKings opened this line at 43.5 on Sunday before sharps steamed the under, catalyzing a 2-point move down to the latest consensus of 41.5.
Steam refers to sudden, uniform line movement across the market that is often the result of bettors with the resources and respect to move odds getting down on the same wager at multiple sportsbooks, all at once.
And while professionals popped this under back on Monday, the latest NFL weather report for Saturday’s game may induce a lower-scoring game.
PRO Pick: Under 41.5 (-115) — BetMGM
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