NFL Odds for Lions vs Chiefs
| Lions Odds | +4.5 |
| Chiefs Odds | -4.5 |
| Over/Under | 53 |
| Date | Thursday, Sept. 7 |
| Time | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| Channel | NBC |
*NFL odds as of Thursday morning
The 2023 NFL season has yet to start, and we still have lots of drama ahead of Thursday’s Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs opener.
Kansas City’s stud tight end Travis Kelce hyperextended his knee in practice on Tuesday and is still questionable to play as of the time of writing.
Kelce obviously has a significant impact on the Chiefs offense, and the betting market has adjusted accordingly.
NFL odds for Lions vs. Chiefs have moved from Kansas City -6.5 to -4.5, while the over/under has dipped from 54.5 to 53.
For those who track NFL odds movement, like the Action Network’s PRO betting tools, this can pose a bit of a problem.
Simply comparing the current Lions vs. Chiefs spread and total to openers suggests that the sharp sides are Detroit and the under, but much of that can be explained as oddsmakers adjusting on the fly for Kelce’s injury.
So what is the smartest spread or over/under NFL prediction for Lions vs. Chiefs?
By digging into the specific line movement for Thursday night, that answer becomes abundantly clear.
NFL Prediction for Lions vs Chiefs
As mentioned above, the Lions vs. Chiefs over/under has settled at 53 as of Thursday morning.
However, that line actually bottomed out at 51.5 at DraftKings as recently as Wednesday afternoon before pro bettors began buying back on the over at a discount.
Action Labs’ Bet Signals tracked one steam move on the over yesterday evening, which drove the price to its current consensus of 53 and even to 53.5 at some shops, like Caesars and BetMGM.
Interestingly, FanDuel is still offering the total at 52.5, so savvy bettors also looking to take a position on the Lions vs. Chiefs over can do just that at this very enticing number.
PRO Report Prediction: Over 52.5
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